To find the answer to this question, we need to explore and think from the basic logic of price fluctuation. The following small series takes you to a thinking storm. The factors of price fluctuation can be roughly divided into four types.

The influence of trading mechanism on price. Buying pushes up the price, selling pushes down the price. Traders buy and open positions first, and then sell and close positions, which is unfavorable to the price; Traders sell and open positions first, and then buy and close positions to get more prices. Under the influence of this mechanism, the earlier traders enter and exit, the greater the probability of profit.

The influence of traders' behavior habits on prices. In the bidding process, traders often buy goods at a price higher than the average price of goods; In the auction process, even if the price is lower than the average price of goods, traders will choose to continue to wait and see. This behavior habit of traders will constantly explore the extreme value of the price, so that the price will advance in the form of waves, forming peaks and valleys. At the end of the bidding or auction, the traders who enter and leave have the opportunity to get the maximum profit, and these positions can be used as a reference for entering and leaving.

The role of market expectation in pushing prices. The comprehensive expectation formed by market environment, news, price trend and other factors pushes the price trend. Market expectation determines the direction and approximate scope of price movement, and traders need to learn to borrow from market expectation.

The influence of market speculators on prices. Harvesting operation using trader's psychology. Such as attacking stop loss and designing technical traps. The mantis catches cicadas, and the yellowbird is behind, so we have a prepared battle. Design an invincible plan before operation.

Next, the key to profitability becomes four specific issues. How to close the position fastest? How to find the best layout and liquidation? How to borrow money from the market? How to make an invincible trading plan?

Reduce the take profit amount and set the take profit in advance. Relative peaks and valleys can be defined by the deviation between the price and the moving average of a certain period. Remember not to pursue the limit position too much, which is generally dominant. By comparing the recent two waves of markets with opposite directions, we can use the strength of the strong side to determine the direction of entry, and use the previous high and low points to evaluate the expected price range of the market. Finally, even if you find a suitable layout position, you still need to consider the possibility of technical traps and stop losses being broken, and design countermeasures for these situations. For example, the second approach, improve the entry position, appropriately enlarge the stop loss and so on.

Finally, summarize our trading methods. Judging the general trend in advance, under the precursor of conforming to the direction of the big cycle, the bidding will end with empty orders and the bidding will end with multiple orders. Finally, we will find the take profit position, lighten the position appropriately and set it in advance. Check the stop-loss price and design remedial measures for being cheated. One of the most critical links is to appropriately reduce the take profit and set it in advance.

Review of IF20 14 Contract Market on March 24th

From the K-line observation of 15 minutes, from the comparison of the long and short strength of the previous two markets, it can be concluded that it is best to give priority to empty orders in intraday trading today, and the general movement range of the next day is around 4900-5030.

Observing from the 3-minute K-line and referring to the green moving average, it is estimated that the peak position at the end of bidding is about 50 10, and the trough position at the end of bidding is about 4920. Therefore, today's trading plan can be designed to lay out empty orders around 5000 points, stop losses around 5040 points and take profits around 4940 points. Finally, check the trading plan and execute it.