Pork prices continued their upward trend in April in May! As the epidemic has been effectively controlled across the country, prevention and control controls have begun to be lifted one after another, and market consumption has gradually improved. Coupled with the May Day holiday, the national pig price continues to rise.
However, with the resumption of work after the holidays, market consumption has dropped slightly, and the pig market has begun to fluctuate, and has returned to the decline again in the past two days. What is this situation? #hogprice#
As the price of pigs rebounds, the losses of farmers have eased, and some farmers have even turned losses into profits because of the low-priced restocking of piglets last year! This caused the piglet market to become very popular, and everyone began to "buy the bottom" to replenish the pen. Some farmers even started planning a second fattening, which in turn led to a "surge" in the price of piglets! So at this time, the replenishment piglets are Is it really "buying the bottom" or "being cut off as a leek"? # Piglet Price #
With the above two questions, let's take a look at the latest pig price trend in the market: According to pig data monitoring, 5 On March 13, the national overseas three-yuan live pig price was 15.23 yuan/kg, down 6 cents per kilogram compared with yesterday. Compared with an increase of nearly 4 cents per kilogram, the overall price of piglets is still rising strongly.
#生 pig行情#
Attached: The latest quotation list of ternary pigs in various provinces and cities across the country: < /p>
In fact, we have been analyzing this round of rising pig prices in the past two days and concluded that the current production capacity is not enough to support a sharp rebound in pig prices. The pig price can rise from 12 yuan per kilogram. The price has risen to more than 15 yuan per kilogram, which has basically "exhausted" all the "efforts" of industry participants, whether farmers are reluctant to sell at high prices, or the government has increased the frequency of purchase and storage, or the local government has introduced new transportation policies. All have supported the short-term rebound in pig prices, but in the long term, the market has no substantial positive factors that support a sharp rebound in pig prices.
First of all, with the lifting of epidemic prevention and control, the early stage of the epidemic prevention and control will be lifted. The assessment of passive pen-holding and large-scale slaughter plans will inevitably increase the supply of pigs. However, the current consumption has not yet returned to normal levels. Whether the pig price can "hold" 15 yuan remains to be discussed.
Secondly. The piglet replenishment market is currently in full swing. According to the sales reports of major pig companies, Muyuan’s piglet sales exceeded 1 million in April, setting a record high.
Zhengbang’s piglet sales also rose to 303,500. , up 94.7% month-on-month, and the secondary fattening market is "ready to move", which will definitely increase the production capacity supply in the second half of the year. Once consumption fails to increase in the second half of the year, this will be another wave of "cutting leeks" for pig companies. < /p>
# Pigraising#
So, what should farmers do now? The editor still recommends that farmers put out meat at the right time. After all, the weather is getting hotter and it is not suitable for excessive pressure. Raising piglets in pens will make them fatter.
As for piglet replenishment, the editor recommends that farmers continue to develop their own breeding and self-raising. The cost of purchasing piglets is now significantly higher than that of self-breeding and self-raising.
Then there is secondary fattening. The editor really does not recommend that farmers participate in secondary fattening. On the one hand, it will disrupt the normal production order. On the other hand, the cost of breeding has always been high, and market consumption has been slow to return. If it is less than the normal level, it will probably be "cut off leeks", what do you think? Welcome to leave a message for discussion!
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