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Food prices withered, eggs were empty, urea was weak, and pig prices rose sharply. What happened to the market?
After a period of rising, grain prices have shrunk recently, and the prices of wheat and corn have fallen to varying degrees. The price of eggs is also weakening, and the wholesale price of eggs in many areas has dropped to around 4.5 yuan. Urea prices are also weak. Recently, there has been a large-scale downward adjustment, and the daily decline is mostly around 30- 1 10 yuan/ton. Pig prices took off, and pig prices in East China, Central China, South China, North China and Southwest China rose across the board.

Food prices have "withered"

Recently, the price of wheat has been falling. On April 25th, the price of wheat in Hebei was lowered by 5% to 1.425- 1.44 yuan, and the price of wheat in Shandong was lowered by 0.5- 1 point to 1.43- 1.45 yuan.

Corn prices also continue to fall. The price of corn in Heilongjiang was lowered by 2-5%, in Inner Mongolia by 2-1,in Hebei by 3-5% and in Shandong by 3-1.

The decline in food prices is mainly due to the following logic:

1, grain prices rose in the early stage, reaching the psychological price of farmers and farmers, and the market turnover increased.

2. The processing progress of flour processing enterprises, corn deep processing enterprises and feed enterprises slowed down, and the enthusiasm for grain purchase declined.

3. Some deep processing enterprises use the May Day holiday to shut down for maintenance, and the news that feed enterprises have delayed replenishing stocks has come out, and the upward space of food prices is limited.

There are indeed conditions for food prices to rise in the follow-up market, but the increase in purchasing, storage and holiday consumption can only support the staged market, and it will take time to improve the demand for food prices. Food prices are expected to continue to fluctuate and weaken.

The price of eggs is "virtual"

Compared with the previous days, the price of eggs has fallen sharply. Egg prices in Henan, Shandong, Jiangsu and other regions all fell sharply. The price of red egg cartons in Henan dropped to 4.4-4.6 yuan, the price of eggs in Hebei dropped to 4.5-4.6 yuan, and the price of red eggs in Shandong dropped to 4.43-4.58 yuan.

The downward trend of egg price has a great relationship with the downward trend of pig price some time ago, because the downward trend of pig price has affected pork, which once fell to around 10 yuan, while the price of eggs was as high as that of 6 yuan, and some egg markets were seized by pork. At the level of traders, on the one hand, the price of eggs is high, on the other hand, the consumer market is poor. Traders have limited acceptance of high prices, and there is insufficient motivation for eggs to continue to increase prices. On the supply side, due to the continuous high egg prices in recent months, the production capacity of laying hens has continued to recover and the supply of eggs has continued to increase.

Urea is "weak"

According to the urea price system, on April 25th, the domestic urea price dropped in a large area, mostly around 30-1/0 yuan/ton, in which Shandong lowered 20 yuan/ton, Henan and Hebei lowered 20-30 yuan/ton and 10-20 yuan/ton respectively, and Anhui lowered 20-40 yuan/ton.

At present, the agricultural demand is relatively weak, the agricultural demand in South China is difficult to support, and the market confidence is insufficient. Near the May Day holiday, urea enterprises need to balance holiday sales by reducing inventory or increasing advance receipts, and factory quotations are often lowered to stimulate short-term volume increase. In addition, the downward trend of urea futures prices also affected the spot price.

In the short term, urea prices may continue to decline before May 1, but it is unlikely to continue to decline with the downward adjustment of prices and the arrival of superimposed demand time.

Pig price "take off"

In recent days, the price of live pigs has soared, and the price of live pigs in many areas has risen to 8 yuan. Pig prices in East China rose to 7.5-8 yuan, Central China to 7.4-7.8 yuan, North China to 7.5-7.9 yuan, Southwest China to 7.25-7.65 yuan, and Northeast China to 7. 1-7.7 yuan.

There are several reasons why pig prices can take off:

1. Recently, the temperature in many places in the north has dropped, and with the rainy and snowy weather, farmers are worried about the occurrence of swine fever, which has slowed down the pace of pig production.

2. Near May Day, the consumption peak is coming, and the slaughtering enterprises prepare the inventory in advance. Moreover, after the price reduction of pork, consumption has obviously picked up.

3. After the pig price fell to a low point, the losses at the breeding end increased, and the farmers' willingness to hold the price increased.

At present, the supply of live pigs is declining, while the demand is gradually improving. It is expected that the price of live pigs will keep rising in the short term.