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How to judge the direction in the volatile market
1, support and resistance judgment:

From the K-line, if there is a sunny line on the 1 hour and 4-hour daily lines, the bottom, top and middle of the sunny line are all effective supports, which can be used as a reference.

Boll judgment: the boll upper rail of the hourly line, the 4-hour line and the daily line are all effective resistance in the near future, and the boll lower rail is an effective support in the near future. Combined with different time periods, it can be seen that the resistance strength is basically supported.

Judgement of moving average: MA5, MA 10, MA30, MA 120, weekly K-line, when the price of gold drops sharply for several weeks in a row, it falls back to MA30, which is not only a very effective support, but also the daily line rises forcibly and the moving average is arranged in multiple positions. Then the gold price deviates from MA5 for a long time after a strong rise, and generally needs to fall back to MA5. Other coefficients of MA in other time periods and the rise and fall of gold price are effective support and resistance. Luo Yibin suggested not to make more reference, but to focus on the special situation of MA30 and MA5 last week.

Judging the trend: ① If a wave of trends fluctuates for a long time, especially if the gold price is arranged sideways in an interval and walks out of a box interval, then the top of the box is more effective resistance and the bottom is stronger support. If it is broken, then the price of gold will definitely fluctuate with the trend, at least above the upper and lower range of the box. The longer the interval fluctuation is, the more effective the support and resistance are, and the more effective the above fluctuation law is; ② In addition, the price of gold rises (falls) for a wave, then rises (falls) and then falls (rises) at this position, and then this position basically forms a bottom (top), which is considered as a more effective support and resistance point.

2. boll and K-line combination

① When the price runs in the area between the middle rail and the upper rail of boll, as long as the price does not fall below the middle rail, it means that the market is in a bullish market. At this time, the trading strategy we consider is to buy on dips and not consider shorting. Especially if the boll angle is above 45 degrees and the K line is close to the upper rail of boll, it is not recommended to hold more than one order at this time.

② When the price runs in the area between the middle rail and the lower rail of boll, as long as the price does not break through the middle rail, it means that the market is in a short position. At this time, our trading strategy is to sell at every high point, regardless of buying. Special case: if the angle exceeds 45 degrees, it will form a downward pattern, and the price of gold will drop sharply against the lower rail of boll, then the price of gold will keep a downward trend until the K-line boll begins to close.

(3) When the price runs in the middle rail area of boll, the market will fluctuate, and the market will fluctuate up and down in this area. This market is the most lethal to friends who make trends, and often loses money on their faces. At this time, our trading strategy is to wait and see and avoid this volatile market.

(4) Necking state of cotton peach channel. When the price rises and falls after a period of time, it will enter an interval of oscillation rest, the price area of oscillation will become smaller and smaller, and there will be three contraction tracks in the boll channel. This state is a sign before the big market comes. Our trading strategy at this time is to wait and see.

⑤ The sudden expansion state of cotton peach channel after necking. After the boll channel oscillates for a period of time in the state of shrinking, the boll channel will suddenly expand, which means that an explosive market has arrived, and then the market will enter a unilateral market. In this case, we can actively adjust our positions and open positions in line with the market.

⑥ False breakthrough market of ⑥boll channel. When the boll channel is tightened, before the big market comes, there will often be a false breakthrough market, which is a trap created by the main force before launching, and is usually called "bear trap" or "bull trap" in textbooks. We should be alert to this situation, and the best way is to eliminate risks through our position control. When we find this is a trap, we still have enough money and time to adjust our position!

⑦boll shows a slope of more than 45 degrees after a sharp rise, so the price of gold will be adjusted back after a sharp rise, and then continue to rise. At this time, our best point can be judged by the boll line, which can be used as a reference: when the gold price falls back to the vicinity of the boll middle track, there will be one more point immediately. On the contrary, this also applies to the situation of sharp decline.

Special application: K-line and boll-line are applicable in all periods: boll is flat, or the opening of boll is upward, so the price of gold drops slightly to the lower rail of boll, and a positive K-line is closed in the lower rail. Then, combined with the above trend of 1 hour and 4 hours, if it is still bullish, then the secondary position is a very good multi-unit, and the gold price must go to the middle track of boll, and it is very likely that it will continue to rise to the upper track of boll. At this time, the single point can be viewed with reference to the resistance support of half an hour and 1 hour. On the other hand, when boll goes flat, or the opening is downward, especially when the MA20 hook is downward, the price of gold rebounded slightly to the upper rail of boll and closed. Then, combined with the periodic trend of 1 hour and 4 hours, this point (boll upper rail) can be used as the entry point of empty orders, and the gold price is very likely to contact the boll middle rail, and it is very likely to go down the boll lower rail, and then form a big drop. (If the market is coordinated and integrated, it is possible to form more than one entry point.)

3. Some special forms of K-line analysis-shadow line analysis

Cross star, long shadow line, double probe.

First of all, the K-line with a long shadow line generally has a fierce long-short competition, so the direction is chosen late, so it is a small unilateral market, just like a box shock. You can follow the trend after a breakthrough.

If the gold price is in a unilateral market, the period of the lower shadow line is more than 15 minutes, and there are more than 4 consolidation lines in a place, all of which are long shadow lines, then the place has bottomed out, or the probability of bullish is very high, and there is a positive line behind it, so there will generally be 2-3 or more positive lines to follow. In this case, the hour line forms a pattern of double needle bottoming.

If in the K-line pattern with a period of more than 30 minutes, if boll goes flat first, or goes up, then a K-line with a long positive line and a shadow line appears on the boll line and closes on the lower track, then the gold price will go to the middle track of boll in the afternoon, and it is very likely to go to the upper track. On the other hand, boll goes flat, or goes up, then the negative line with a long shadow line is against the upper rail, and the market outlook will be bearish, and the price of gold will inevitably test boll.