It can be analyzed from two aspects: output and market. First, we analyze the output. Take japonica rice, one of the staple foods, as an example, which accounts for about one third of the rice yield, and the yield is not low. Moreover, the industry is relatively concentrated, and the main output is concentrated in the three northeastern provinces and Jiangsu. More than 90% of the national japonica rice production is produced in these four provinces.

1. From the market point of view, affected by the epidemic situation, all countries have stopped exporting grain in the first half of 2020, resulting in large fluctuations in the international market price, but the grain market in China is relatively peaceful. Japonica rice futures prices have been fluctuating between 3200 yuan/ton and 3700 yuan/ton. When the price of japonica rice abroad rises, the price of japonica rice in China has passed smoothly. Industrial enterprises have a clear understanding of the staple food market, which can more accurately grasp the price of japonica rice and stabilize the market price of japonica rice.

2. Many countries have banned food export this year, and China is no exception, which makes the main food safety issues continue to attract everyone's attention. But in fact, China is not afraid of the influence of foreign grain market turmoil in terms of grain output and grain reserves. Even during the epidemic, prices did not inflate, which not only ensured social stability, but also reflected China's grain reserves and early response measures to deal with the food crisis.

3. In fact, from the second half of 20 19, there were related problems in the food crisis. The staple food market abroad is chaotic due to socio-economic factors, but the staple food market price in China, especially the price of japonica rice, has remained stable. Stability is directly related to the control of japonica rice futures market by industrial enterprises. According to the data, China's wheat reserve has reached 50 million tons, and the rice reserve is almost twice that of wheat. Until July this year, there was no turmoil in the rice market in China.

4. Although affected by many risks such as epidemic and floods this year, the grain market in China has remained stable. Take the recovery price of indica rice as an example, it has been between 1.25 yuan/kg to 1.45 yuan/kg, which is not much different from the previous years. Judging from the staple food production enterprises in July, most rice mills have handled the inventory, and there is no shortage of market demand. Therefore, there is no need to worry about the important impact of the international staple food security crisis on China's food production security.

5. In terms of price, China is not affected by the price increase caused by the safety crisis of staple food abroad, but shows a downward trend. At the end of 20 19, the Grain Bureau of Heilongjiang Province, a major grain-producing province, also issued the notice of selling grain to farmers for the first time. From 2020 1 to August 7, 2020 1, the transaction rate of rice auction in China was less than 15%, which proved that the market supply and demand relationship was stable. In the first half of 2020, China imported rice 1.2203 million tons, a year-on-year decrease.