600,000 people: 0.49π/hr*24 hours *30 days *3 months * 600,000 people = 635 million PIs. By March next year, everyone can dig 1000 on average.
390,000 people: 0.98π/hr*24 hours *30 days *5 months * 390,000 people = 65.438+38 million PIs. By March next year, everyone can dig 4000 on average.
65438+ ten thousand people: 5*0.98π/hr*24 hours *30 days *6 months * 65438+ ten thousand people = 265438+ ten thousand people Pi. By March next year, everyone will be able to dig 20 thousand on average. (This part is the users who participated earlier and invited more people to promote it. )
The total amount of excavation is 2.22 billion Pi. Moreover, with the conservative estimation of 6,543,800 users, the actual amount of mineral coins should exceed this value.
Now the number of users has reached 654.38+0 million. This is only calculated according to 1 million.
Two-stage governance model of Pi
Pi designed a two-stage governance model:
The first stage, temporary governance mode, when the number of users is less than 5 million, adopts offline governance mode similar to Bitcoin and Ethereum.
In the second stage, under the mode of Constitutional Convention, after the number of users exceeds 5 million, a temporary committee of Pi contributors will be set up to participate in the management of Pi. It is estimated that Pi will set up several regional committees in America, Asia-Pacific, Africa and Europe. People in the project study human behavior and data of large crowds, so it is predicted that the number of users of Pi will definitely reach 5 million. But I'm not sure that the number of users of Pi alone can reach 5 million. There will definitely be foreign resources or other ways of investment and cooperation to increase the use of Pi.
Total Pi of benchmark estimation
The technology of Pi is expanded and upgraded based on Stellar Star protocol and Joint Byzantine protocol. The goal is a mining and payment system that users all over the world can participate in, so the goal can only be achieved if the number of users exceeds 1 100 million. We refer to three items of mobile payment by mobile phone:
65,438+0. The total amount of XRP of Lian Yuan is 1000 billion. At present, the market value is 85 1 100 million RMB, ranking third in the world with a circulation of 42.9 billion. At present, the currency price is around 2 yuan, and the highest price in history is 27 yuan. Why do you say corrugated coins? Because the founder of Ripple started the second project, Star Coin.
2. Star currency XLM, with a total amount of 654.38+00.52 billion, has a current market value of 9.7 billion RMB, ranking 6543.8+02 in the global market value and a circulation of 654.38+09.6 billion. At present, the currency price is around 0.5 yuan, and the highest price in history is 6.6 yuan. 50% is issued directly to the world, and the project party only reserves 5% for operation. Payment systems similar to star coins and corrugated coins.
3. Libra Libra comes from Facebook, but the currency has not yet been launched. FB has 2.7 billion global users, and the total amount of Libra is conservatively estimated at 654.38+00 billion. Generally, 50% of the total amount of a project will be distributed to direct users, especially for projects with a monetary amount exceeding 654.38 billion. According to the above estimation, when Pi reaches 65.438+0 million users, the total amount of Pi coins will reach 2.2 billion, so it is estimated that the total amount of Pi is at least 65.438+0 billion, which is designed according to the inertia of human beings to numbers and the total amount of many projects. Generally speaking, there are several common numbers: 2 1 billion, 1 billion, 200 million, 1 billion,1billion. At present, only BTT has designed the highest amount of 990 billion project currency, which has been traded online. Therefore, although the total amount of Pi is not set in advance, it should be close to the values of10 billion, 20 billion, 50 billion and10 billion according to the prediction of mining time. If you want to make the price higher, the lower the total amount, the better. It is best to set it to 10 billion or 5 billion, but the sum of 5 billion. Because according to the design of user Pi, when the number of users reaches 65.438+million or 1 billion, the mining will be suspended. By that time, the total number of pi excavations will definitely exceed 654.38+0 billion, so it is conservatively estimated that the total number of pi will be 654.38+0 billion.
Benchmark and estimated Pi price
If the total amount of Pi is 65.438+0 billion, and the price is multiplied by 5 or 654.38+00 (because the total amount of Pi is only one tenth of that of Ripple or Hengxin), then the price of Pi may be 2.5 yuan, 5 yuan, 654.38+00 yuan and 20 yuan. If the total amount of pi is 654.38+000 billion, then the price of pi may be 0.5 yuan or 2 yuan. In view of the fact that the futures price of Pi has reached 1.2 yuan at present, as a reference for hot prices, even if the total amount of Pi is 100 billion, then the price will not be 0.5 yuan, and 2 yuan is very likely, but the total amount of 100 billion is really too much. So the total amount of Pi is estimated to be 5-50 billion yuan, the price of Pi is between 1 yuan-10 yuan, and the market value is 5-100 billion yuan (not 50 billion * 10, because the more the total amount, the lower the price. If RMB 5 billion can enter the world's top 2,065.438+00 billion, RMB 65.438+00.50 billion can enter the world's top 565.438+00 billion can directly enter the world's top 3. Of course, by March 2020, 14, no one can know the global total market value at that time and the market value ranking of each project, only taking the current market value as a reference. By March next year, there will be three major trends in the world cryptocurrency market:
(1) It is extremely unlikely that the global market value will decline and BTC will decline.
② The price rises slightly, but it is relatively stable, which is not much different from the market value or price at this time, with a probability of 50%.
(3) The price soared, the BTC price doubled, and the global currency account market rose by 50-200%, with a probability of 49%.
The probability of the second case and the third case is the highest, because BTC has become * * * knowledge and blockchain has become * * * knowledge, so both ② and ③ are beneficial to Pi. As long as the cryptocurrency market is stable or the heat rises, the price of Pi will not be low. If the target star coin can reach 2 yuan at that time, then if the total amount of Pi is lower than the star coin, the price of Pi is likely to be 2-6544.
Pi coins may be more expensive.