Two days ago, I saw that international crude oil prices were still plummeting. A buddy asked me if I was interested in getting back the money lost by the US stock market-"No counter-offer now, when?" 」
It is false to say that I am heartless, but fortunately I am more rational. Considering that futures are different from stock funds, if you buy futures, you will have to "pick up" or "deliver" if you can't find a receiver in a short time.
In my opinion, futures bargain-hunting is tantamount to gambling. Of course, the most important thing is that I am too shy to gamble. When I woke up today, I found that the news that "the international crude oil price fell into negative overnight" was all over the screen.
The first reaction was shock. Can the price of crude oil be negative? For the first time in history! The second reaction is to be glad, but fortunately I didn't follow the "bargain-hunting".
The third reaction is worry. Only then did I remember to contact my friends. As a result, WeChat didn't return and the phone didn't answer. I was scared and thought something was wrong. After a long time, I received a message "Don't worry, I won't jump off a building, so don't look for me, just leave me alone".
Now that my friends are safe for the time being, my thoughts can spread further. The international crude oil price has fallen to negative value. Simply put, it is to send oil to you. Does that mean that we will usher in the era of free refueling?
Will domestic oil prices fall again?
Wake up if you want to refuel for free. It's just that the price of crude oil has fallen to negative, and many links such as transportation, storage and refining need money.
Some people may think that the retail price of refined oil should be reduced a little. It is not a dream to fall below the 5 yuan mark like this!
But what I want to tell you is that according to China's oil price management regulations, the upper and lower limits of the refined oil price mechanism are set, the upper limit is 130 USD, and the lower limit is 40 USD per barrel.
In other words, the current domestic oil price has fallen to the floor price when it returned to 5 yuan. Unless the relevant national policies and regulations are adjusted, it is difficult to break through the floor price protection mechanism in 5 yuan. After all, "three barrels of oil have repeatedly stressed that they are losing money every year and crying for poverty."
Does it have an impact on new energy vehicles?
Some people say, who will buy new energy vehicles when the oil price is so low? Here, I want to explain to you that in fact, the core factor that affects everyone's purchase of "new energy vehicles" has never been oil prices, and the impact of oil prices only accounts for a small part.
To take a step back, even if we are worried that the continued low oil price will affect the construction of new energy vehicles, this kind of worry is superfluous. Because the current crude oil price falls to negative value not in real time, but in futures price, that is to say, it will not affect the recent crude oil price, but only affect the refined oil price in a certain period of time in the future (about the end of April to the beginning of May).
However, it is still unknown whether the oil price will rise after this period of time. Crude oil is only affected by the epidemic and is not convenient to transport. Once countries and institutions take the opportunity to purchase, it is only a matter of time before prices rise after inventory clearance.
So this time, the price of crude oil fell to a negative value, but it has not yet risen to the level that affects new energy vehicles. The new energy era will come, and it will always come. This is the inevitable development of the times. Small stones can splash, but they can't change the direction of the river.
This article comes from car home, the author of the car manufacturer, and does not represent car home's position.