Main recommendations
Development and Reform Commission: It is a relatively positive signal that PMI returns to the expansion range after six months.
IDC predicts that the growth rate of domestic smartphone shipments will resume positive growth in 2020.
Market review
Market comment: The domestic and international environment is getting warmer, and the risk appetite is obviously improved. It is suggested to actively grasp the main line configuration.
Macro perspective: the United States plans to substantially increase subsidies for new energy vehicles, and the global industrial chain "hey".
Online games: The release of online game version number is accelerated, and the industry growth space is promising.
Futures information
Metal energy: gold 337.02, up 0.41%; Copper 49280, up 0.67%; Rebar 35 16, down 0.87%; Rubber 13265, up1.30%; The PVC index was 6600, down by 0.23%; Zheng Chun 2 128, up1.48%; Shanghai Aluminum 14005, up by 0.65%; Shanghai nickel111210, up by 0.17%; Iron ore was 639.5, down 2.66%; Coke1871.0; Up 0.65%; Coking coal 1205.0, down 0.04%; Brent oil was 63.5 1, up 0.63%.
Agricultural products: soybean oil 6572, up1.92%; Corn 1876, down 0.32%; Palm oil 5958, up1.33%; Zheng Mian 13325, up by 0.57%; Zheng Mai,%; White sugar 5433, down 0.28%; Apple 8348, down 0.43%; Jujube 10875, down 0.41%;
Exchange rate: EUR/USD, 1. 1 1, up by 0.02%; USD/RMB 7.00, up 0.06%; USD/HK$ 7.79, down 0.08%.
Second, the key recommendation
1, Development and Reform Commission: PMI has returned to the expansion range after six months, which is a relatively positive signal.
Event: A spokesman for the National Development and Reform Commission said that the PMI of 55438+065438+ 10 was 50.2%, and it returned to the expansion range after six months, which is a relatively positive signal. Although the downward pressure on China's manufacturing industry still exists due to external uncertainties, the PMI rebounded by 5438+065438+ 10 in June, especially the production index and new order index rebounded by a large margin, indicating that both the supply and demand sides have improved to some extent. According to the main index of China economic data in June, 5438+065438+ 10, the economic operation of China remained stable on the whole.
Comments: Judging from the PMI data released in the early stage and the economic data 1 1 released in June, the economy shows signs of marginal stabilization, indicating that the fundamentals remain stable. At present, the market valuation is still at a historical low level, and it is expected that the market will continue its strong performance under the background of easing external pressure.
(investment consultant Zhong Yanling registered investment consultant certificate number: S02606 13020024)
2.IDC predicts that the growth rate of domestic smartphone shipments will resume positive growth in 2020.
Event: IDC, a market research organization, released a report yesterday saying that in 2020, the concept of "5G has arrived" will be accelerated to enter the public's field of vision under the continuous promotion of the whole industry, domestic 5G mobile phones will quickly cover the market, and a large amount of information in terminal stores will be exposed, which will inject key driving force into the domestic market with insufficient decisive driving force for users to change machines. IDC predicts that the growth rate of domestic smartphone shipments will return to positive growth in 2020, with a year-on-year increase of 0.7%.
Comments: Due to the downward trend of consumption and the prolonged replacement period, the domestic and international mobile phone markets have experienced a certain decline in the past two years. However, with the advent of 5G commercialization, it is expected that there will be a new wave of mobile phone boom. With the blessing of 5G, VR will further mature, thus promoting consumer electronics to enter a new round of innovation cycle, and related companies deserve special attention.
(investment consultant Zhong Yanling registered investment consultant certificate number: S02606 13020024)
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Third, the market review
Market comment: The domestic and international environment is getting warmer, and the risk appetite is obviously improved. It is suggested to actively grasp the main line configuration.
With the warming environment at home and abroad, the three major A-share indexes continued to rise on Tuesday. At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index stood at the 3000-point mark again, and the Growth Enterprise Market Index reached 1800 and hit a new high since June 20 18. The market turnover continued to enlarge, and the total turnover of the two cities exceeded 750 billion yuan. The industry sector was all red, and stocks of brokers, banks and network communications rose sharply. On the whole, the investment atmosphere has obviously improved, and the effect of making money has been improved, which is conducive to the further repair and improvement of investor confidence. It is expected that the short-term market will continue to fluctuate. In operation, it is suggested to strengthen the configuration moderately and actively. It is suggested to pay attention to defensive sectors with low valuation, high dividends and high growth, such as electronic communication, brokerage, games, chemical industry, new energy vehicles and other sectors with strong performance certainty. The stock market is risky, so you need to be cautious in investing.
(investment consultant? Where's Gu? Registered Investment Consultant CertificateNo.: S026066 1 1020066)
Macro perspective: the United States plans to substantially increase subsidies for new energy vehicles, and the global industrial chain "hey".
Event: According to Haitong Electric's new industry report, globally, Tesla has previously lowered its selling price to cope with the decline in subsidies. For example, the implementation of the new bill means that Tesla's competitiveness will be further highlighted, and the sales of existing models may further increase.
Comments: The House Ways and Means Committee put forward the discussion draft of "Renewable Energy and Energy Imitation" (hereinafter referred to as the "draft") last night, Beijing time, intending to make major adjustments to the tax subsidies for new energy vehicles. The global new energy automobile industry chain is like an injection of stimulants, and the capital market has also stirred up thousands of waves. Overnight, the share price of Tesla, the benchmark enterprise of pure electric vehicles, rose again. It is expected that the A-share related industrial chain will also be active. It is suggested to actively pay attention to the opportunities of relevant leading targets.
(investment consultant? Where's Gu? Registered Investment Consultant CertificateNo.: S026066 1 1020066)
Online games: The release of online game version number is accelerated, and the industry growth space is promising.
Last week, the second batch of game version numbers were issued in 65438+February; Beijing issued opinions on promoting the development of the game industry: 65438+On February 3, 46 games were approved by the State Administration of Radio, Film and Television, and another 42 games were approved a week later, and the review of game version numbers was accelerated. With the advent of the 5G era, cloud games will play a powerful role in promoting the development of the game industry. In addition, the release of version number is accelerated, and the current configuration value of the industry is high. Compared with the historical average of recent 10 years, there is still some room for repairing the current industry valuation, so it is suggested to pay attention to the industry leaders.
(Investment Consultant Gu registered investment consultant certificate number: S026066 1 1020066)