If I were a banker, what would I do?

The law of the stock market is one win, two draws and seven losses, which means that more than 70% of people will lose money. So how can retail investors join the 10% of people who make profits? I think that in order to make money from retail investors, institutions are constantly studying the psychology and behavior of retail investors. We retail investors might as well think of ourselves as institutional investors and study the psychology and behavior of institutions, so that we can survive in this world full of traps. Invincible in a market rife with fraud, deceit and rumors.

If I were an institutional investor and I wanted to make a stock, I think I would first find one that is the right size, does not have to have great prospects, but will never go bankrupt within a few years. . Then I went to visit the leaders of the company, told him that I wanted to invest in his stock, and asked them to cooperate. How to cooperate? That is, when I am raising funds, I try to flatten my performance in the announcement, or hide the profits appropriately. This is easy for the company to do, as long as the report is appropriately adjusted, for example, certain profits and losses can be withdrawn in one quarter, so that Its report looks like a loss; or the expenses for the following years are amortized in half a year, which makes the current report very ugly.

Before that, I definitely have to put in some chips. These chips are mainly used to smash the market. How to collect these bargaining chips? I will not collect slowly every day, because this will cause the stock to rise every day, which will make it difficult to receive enough chips, and it will also be easy for retail investors to grab rewards, and the technical indicators will form an upward trend, which will also increase my own collection costs. I will use the method of big rise to collect on a certain day. After several days of continuous decline, retail investors will be pessimistic and disappointed. Suddenly there is a big rise. Those who are stuck will see hope and will not sell; while those who make short-term profits may turn in the gun. In fact, at this price, I just want to sell chips, and I don’t need to collect a lot, so it is easy to achieve my goal by suddenly rising (the platform will be before the bottom is reached, and the trading volume will be enlarged).

Open lower the next day. Why should I open low instead of high? Because the chips I collected yesterday are not intended to make a profit, and I want the short-term chips that entered yesterday to help me break the market. If I open high, it is easy for the short-term chips to make profits, and they will There will be more funds competing with me on the way down, so you must open lower to consume these short-term funds (profit-making short-term traders pay great attention to this stock, while loss-making short-term traders rarely pay attention to it again).

During this decline, I will gradually use orders to support the bottom, because I want to form my own bottom position (won't this cause an increase in trading volume, rather than an extreme shrinkage?). After several days of continuous decline, some cutting chips will cover their positions. At this time, I can't let them cover their positions. I must quickly eat up and let them chase the trend (a common reason for the straight-line pull-up method). When the formation of When chasing the trend, I will sell some of the chips at the bottom high, firstly to reduce costs, and secondly to free up funds, and then quickly plow down. Likewise, I will hold and smash at the same time, so that I will get more chips with lower prices.

When it fell to a very low level, basically no one competed with me for chips, because during this decline, I continued to sell high and buy low, and continued to oscillate greatly, buying most of the bottom. Yes, those who rush to rebound will be caught on the way down, or their losses will be exhausted, so that they will not dare to get involved in this stock again. At this time, my purpose has been achieved (driving out all the buying orders). The cooperation of the company is very crucial at this time. The long-term performance has not improved at all, which makes most retail investors fear and panic because they doubt whether it will ST. The high chips will continue to fall, and I can trade horizontally at the bottom. Continuously sell high and buy low during the session to collect chips. This may take a long time. The key depends on the degree of falling of the top chips. If the high chips do not loosen for a long time, then I will not buy this stock. (Flow of chips)

When enough chips are collected, the company's performance will also improve, because when I collect chips, the company will have all the profits, losses, or expenses that can be imagined in the next few years. It took a year and a half to finish the business, and the subsequent reports will certainly look good. At this time, I can pull it up effortlessly and without much cost. When other people in this market see that this stock is so good, they will definitely follow suit, so I will gradually reduce my position. ((1) Chip structure (funding structure) (2) Technical indicators (3) Performance expectations)

If the company can cooperate in this way, what benefits can he get? In fact, it is very simple. If I pull the stock to a high level, they can sell it at a good price; when it is at a low level, they can also buy their own stocks and earn reputation. In this way, the income will be considerable, so why not for?

Of course this must be the same as the trend of the market. In the meantime, retail investors should know what to do. Of course, if I were to be a banker, I would have to consider many issues:

The first is the supervision of the China Securities Regulatory Commission. Although they dare not touch the tigers, or they are just trying to act for the tigers, they still can't kill flies. The problem is, therefore, they cannot get a handle on the stock manipulation. At this time, they must consider multiple accounts, or recruit several large private equity investors to fight collectively.

Secondly, we must consider the issue of industrial capital. If they see considerable profits when we pull, and end up selling a large number of chips, then we will be miserable and will inevitably lose money. We must do it before we do it. You need to communicate with them first, and you also need to understand how much circulation they have and what their selling intentions are. This is a big or small issue.

The third thing to consider is Lao Zhuang. If this stock has not been abandoned by Lao Zhuang, then I will try not to touch it, because once Lao Zhuang does it against you, you will die. It's tragic, just like China Unicom's arbitrage of hot money, which will lead to a very tragic death. Therefore, stock selection is very important.

The fourth is the situation of the market. There are not many people following the trend, and the existing funds in the society are insufficient. Just like now, most retail investors or large investors have been slaughtered, and it is not suitable to do it at this time. When you ask others to sell stocks, you end up trapping yourself in them. Then the most appropriate thing now is to invest in stocks. Most people have a mentality. If a stock bought for 20 yuan falls to 15 yuan, it will not be sold. If it falls to 10 yuan, it will not be sold. If it falls to 5 yuan, not many people will sell it. But you have to pull it back to 4 yuan if it falls to 2 yuan. Many people will basically cut their teeth when they see a doubling, especially if it is downward or sideways for a long time (of course, the probability of mid-term adjustment after doubling can be considered 100% in the operating system).

If these problems are solved, the market smashing will begin. How much is appropriate? According to the situation of the market, traders must follow the market every day. When the market falls sharply, you must plunge deeply. At this time, the cost is very low. You only need to use a small amount of chips to break open the key points, and there will be a stop loss order to help you. Then smash it down. However, it is necessary to put in some chips in the late trading to prevent the market from going lower or higher the next day. A certain amount of chips can be flexibly controlled. In other words, you must keep an eye on the index stocks when trading (only a qualified trader can take advantage of the trend).

Why should we focus on indicator stocks? The key lies in the cost. As the market fluctuates, your cost is the lowest. When the index stock falls, you also fall. The amount of chips used for selling is the smallest, because not many people dare to buy and can sell deeply (not always you can sell deeply). Gaola's). When the market goes up, you don't need to buy much. You just need to buy the chips at key points. Someone will push the stock price up. When it reaches a certain high point, you can also sell some of the chips you bought at low positions. In this way, You can free up some funds to make a small difference. Therefore, the situation we see in the stock market is that if it goes up, everyone will go up together, and if it goes down, everyone will go down.

There are several types of people in the stock market, trend investors, those who get stuck and ignore them, technical people, fundamentalists, long-term investors, short-term speculators, etc.

I want to be a banker in this stock. I have to face these people and try my best to make them make less money or cut them off from the stock I control. At this time, I have to use many methods. To deal with it, because if they make more money, it means I will make less money. If they don’t cut the meat, I won’t make any money (for a certain stock, the main force has to face the periodic opponent’s market, and the same periodic opponent’s market Also facing staged opponents).

For trend investors, I have no good solution. I can only regard them as part of the lock-up; but for others, I rely on them for daily food, drink and fun.

I generally like people who are locked up and ignored. After these people hand over the money to me, they help me lock in most of the chips, so that I have sufficient funds to run around in the low position (? TBD, When the market is low, the main force wants to sell high and buy low, and close the stock at short-term positions. However, due to the small holdings and poor control over the market, it is very necessary to lock up the market and hold the market in place. The immobility of the locked market creates the abnormal movement (capacity) of the main force (new funds). Let traders see it)).

The fundamentalists are also my second favorite, because they basically took over after I raised the stock price, and the fundamentals of the company became very bright after I raised the stock price, and they will Come and take over; after they take over, the company's fundamentals will change, and they will return the chips to me at a low position.

Technicalists generally tend to be more short-term and like to do swings. Some people here think they are very skilled, such as KDJ golden cross and dead cross, MACD, CR, volume-price relationship, and Fibonacci. The golden section, Elliott's wave theory, the Gann curve, etc., etc., but I generally don't look at this when doing stocks. I usually just focus on how many orders I placed today and how many orders came in at certain prices. At what price can larger accounts be entered and exited? This is very critical to me, because it determines how to operate the next day. Sometimes I need to appease them and ask them to help keep the stock in hand for a few more days to reduce the active chips. But sometimes we have to let them out, especially short-term customers. When we find that there is a lot of short-term hot money coming in today, we have to kill them out no matter what the next day, even if they go against the market. It will get out of control and ruin the banker plan). Looking back, haha, it’s so funny, the K-line is really in line with the characteristics of certain technical indicators. Accidental, inevitable (interesting, inevitable in accident).

Here I will explain why I want to kill hot money.

In fact, this is related to my short-term profits, because short-term customers and hot money are the best to make money. They hold chips for a short time and can make me profit in a very short time. For example, if you are stuck in a trap, you can only win against it once, and then it will stop moving. You have nothing to do with it. This period sometimes lasts for several years. During these few years, I have to eat and drink. The fundamentalists also make me little profit, because I have to share their profits equally with the company.

But short-term investors and hot money are different. I can make huge profits in one band.

So how to do it?

The first is to gradually pull up. At this time, the technical indicators start to go well. Technical people are generally easy to be tempted to come in when they look at the technical indicators. In the meantime, I just pull up. When selling on the side, what needs to be controlled is to hand over the chips to them before the top divergence (during the divergence period), so that they can see that the technical indicators have not yet reached the top, and the stock price can rise even higher. At this time, a counterattack will be made the next day. It fell back from the high, and then fell sharply on the third day. They basically started to take action (this action is very common). The stock price went down without me. Naturally, I set the price to pick up the fruits.

This is especially true for hot money. In the first half, I came to pull the money. When the hot money saw that the stock price was bullish, they immediately swarmed in. In the second half, I gave them part of the chips, and the next day I did it. Open low and move low. Hot money sees that the momentum is not right and immediately flees. At this time, I have to see the number of fleeing and calculate my own results. If the number of fleeing is large enough, then I will pull up in the afternoon, because most of the short-term customers have left. , I don’t need to pay much profit, it is easy to raise the stock price, and the price difference I made during these two days is at least about 3% of the transaction amount.

But when I find that I haven’t gone far, I will continue going down. This is what many retail investors wonder, why does it go up when I sell and go down when I buy? Because you behave in the same way as most people. (Those who can be the banker can place orders and have a clear understanding of the chip structure. Of course, the main force will act based on the behavior of most of the short-term customers) Haha.

2. What are the risks of being a banker?

1) Regulatory risks: First, I will not be the only banker to operate this stock. Generally, several people are invited to join forces. Just like hunting dogs on the prairie, it is easier to use group tactics. Be successful. If you are alone, first of all, you may not necessarily have this strength. Secondly, you will be easily caught by others. You may not be able to defeat the fox and you will get into trouble. Therefore, you can definitely invite friends to cooperate. Whoever is in charge will take second place. problem. Since it is cooperation, the risks are also obvious. When the market fluctuates, one of your friends will immediately give up. At this time, you will be in trouble, and all the hard work for a long time will be in vain.

2) General trend risk: Another problem is that when the market trend is downward, you don’t notice it because you still have the chips in your hands, so you want to hold on. At this time, you will also be finished. After the end of the second major bull market, many bookmakers stumbled on this. So, how to deal with the risk is to first pay attention to the trend of the indicator stocks, because the market makers are very sensitive to the trends of the market index. When the indicator stocks go up, some secondary stocks controlled by the main force are stagfling, or there are signs of a U-turn. , then I will find a way to hand over as many chips as possible to retail investors before the stock index falls, and try to free up cash. As long as I have enough cash on hand, I am not afraid of whether it goes up or down. If it goes up, I can buy it off with the remaining chips; if it goes down, I can buy more chips. When the market is ready to reverse at the end, the signs will also be obvious (from here, it means that the indicator stocks are downward, but the secondary stocks controlled by the main force are stagnant, or there are signs of a U-turn).

3. Let’s talk about the top and bottom issues.

Many people are now concerned about where the market will bottom, 2000, 1800, 1235? To be honest, I don’t know. Not only do I not know what point the market will fall to as the bottom, I don’t even know what price my own stock will fall to as the bottom. How can I predict the market? Some people say, can it be reduced from 20 yuan to 5 yuan? Is it the end? I said no, maybe it would drop to 1~2 yuan, maybe it would drop to 8 yuan, and the bottom would be considered. There is no such thing as a top or a bottom in the stock market. What really matters is the relationship between supply and demand. When the price falls to a balance between supply and demand, the bottom will naturally be reached. .

For example, my stock, I let it fluctuate every day, up and down, but one day I found that the stocks I sold could not buy back more or the same amount with the money. The stock is already in stock. At this time, it is impossible for me to move downwards. This should be its bottom. Maybe it's at 5 yuan, maybe it's not even at 1 yuan. Who knows where the balance can be achieved? We can only keep testing.

The same goes for the top. I pulled up, but no one followed suit. So to whom can I distribute the stocks I bought at a high price? Of course, it is one thing for me to raise the price to show you the price, and the same is true for the bottom (similarly, the shock position relay adjustment is actually a variant of shipment and accumulation, but the opponent market during this period is a short-term market).

In the index, the same is true. If the incoming and outgoing funds can reach a balance, the index will reach the bottom; if not, it will continue to fall until the balance is reached.

4. How do market makers make money during a decline?

Many people sometimes don’t understand that the banker’s cost is 20 yuan. If he raises the stock price to 10 yuan or 15 yuan, doesn’t he also lose money? This is really a stupid banker. In fact, retail investors don’t understand that the banker’s method of making money is often different from that of retail investors.

Let me give you an example, 600331. At that time, the cost of some institutions was more than 70 yuan, but after the market opened, it hit 7 lower limits in a row, and was finally opened at 38 yuan. It stands to reason that the institutions suffered heavy losses. If the dealer did not hit the lower limit, the price of shipments would not be Higher? Wouldn't the loss be smaller?

In fact, this is not the case. If the price limit is not lowered for shipment, retail investors will follow suit; and with limited acceptance, institutional goods cannot be shipped. If the price drops slowly, the institutional losses will be even worse, and Because the price is unattractive and you can't find an opponent, it becomes a blunt knife to cut your flesh, and you only know the pain (the weakness of the main force).

With the method of slamming the lower limit, the market’s attention will be focused on it (market awareness). When it drops to half, coordinated private equity or institutions will start to take huge orders, because here The market has attracted a lot of attention during the lower limit for several days, and huge orders have appeared. This means that the stock price should rebound at this time. Technically it is oversold, and the stock price has halved. No matter what, it will rebound by more than ten to two percent. 10. Therefore, retail investors and large investors rushed in, and institutional selling orders were robbed. But the reality is not what retail investors and large investors imagined. Those who place huge amounts in a bear market often ship goods. It seems like large orders are sweeping away goods, but in fact it is a trap set by the bookmakers, and then the profits are shared.

Take another example of the listing of CSRC. The listing price exceeded the issue price by more than 60%, and 5 institutional seats were all ranked in the top 5 for purchase. Are these institutions stupid? You have to pay a 60% premium to take over the order, especially in a bear market, are you afraid that you won't be able to buy chips? If you wait a few days before buying, it may reach the issue price. In fact, the institutions are not stupid at all. This is just a performance between institutions. Those who get more than 60% premium will allocate a certain amount of profits to the institutions that take over the orders, and these institutions do not buy much. More chips are handed over to others, including a large number of retail investors, at a premium. For those who have access to most of the high-premium chips, those who make profits don’t have to think about anything.

Here I go back to the previous point, 600331. Those institutions cost more than 70 yuan, but sold it for 38 yuan. Isn’t that a huge loss? This is just the thinking of retail investors. From the perspective of cash amount, the institution is bleeding money, but from the perspective of chips, the institution can pay the current restoration price of 18 yuan, which is equivalent to making double the chips. As long as the price rises back to more than 30, the institution's It's already back, and those who stay above 38 have no choice but to wait for the year of the donkey and the month of the horse. This does not rule out the possibility of continued decline. If the stock price continues to fall, it will be easier for institutions to make profits.

So, I hope that the stock I operate will fall, as low as possible. For example, in the range of 20 yuan to 18 yuan, I sold 20% of the stocks in my hand, and in the range of 18 to 16 yuan, I sold 18% of the stocks. I will make up for it later, because in this situation of decline, Next, many stop-loss orders began to appear, and some people wanted to cover their positions. At this time, I had to rebound based on the chip situation. Why should I rebound? The main thing is to attract people who copy the market. Of course, if there are too many people copying the market, I will go short again the next day.

(The advantage of the main force is that it can control the market. The short-term top and bottom are all its own, and the short-term difference is extremely easy to make. Therefore, the way out for short-term trading is to use the advantage of the small ship to turn around to make the operation level higher than The main force should at least be on the same level as the main force. According to what is mentioned here, one of the ideas is to judge the bottom buying and following the trend. However, the main force's weakness is also the main force's advantage. The main force can easily understand the situation of the bottom buying and following the trend, while retail investors do not know. . This constitutes a contradiction, which leads to a balance between the advantages and disadvantages of the main force and retail investors.)

Under normal circumstances, there are not many rebounders on the first day. It only takes two days for retail investors to see this. Why do stocks rise every day, especially when it comes to meat-cutting orders and short-term covering orders? They usually chase after them. However, if stocks at a high level have been bullish for a few days, forget about selling. You may still make some money after waiting a few days. At this time, I went short with my backhand and trapped them. How much do I earn in the meantime? Because profits are distributed during the pull, a certain amount of profit can be maintained for each period of decline.

Then why do I want my stock price to be as low as possible? Think about it, if you open a shopping mall, do you want the goods you sell to be cheap or expensive? Naturally, it is better to be cheap, because then the amount of funds used is small. If you add 1 yuan to 1 yuan, it will be too expensive for others; if you add 1 dime to 1 yuan, no one will care about you if you don't show your talent, but the income ratio between 10 yuan and 1 yuan is the same. The same goes for stocks. If a stock of 1 yuan rises to 1.5 yuan, not many people feel anything. But what if a stock of 10 yuan rises to 15 yuan? This is the fundamental reason why China's stock market is bullish and bearish. Few bankers hope that the stock price will be high to increase their own costs.

5. Let’s talk about the positioning of retail investors and bankers.

In a prairie, small investors are the sheep, and the bankers are the wolves. You may not have any objections to my positioning this way. 70% of investors in the Chinese stock market lose money. This is basically true. Just like playing mahjong, if four people play, three people will lose. The money of these three people naturally flowed into the pocket of that person. In other words, the trillions lost by investors did not disappear or evaporate, but were transferred to the pockets of a few people. This is the story of the wolf eating the sheep.

In the grassland, sheep will run away when they see wolves. Why? I'm afraid it will eat me. But it is different in the stock market. When buying stocks, most people like to buy stocks with strong market makers. They say that stocks with strong market makers are fierce and will rise quickly. It is best to be a strong market maker. What do sheep eat on the grassland? Eat grass.

Will it choose a place with wolves? And this wolf is very tough. Absolutely not.

This is the mistake in the self-positioning of investors. You are originally a sheep, just eat grass. The grass is to find a stock with good performance, buy it at the right price, and then wait for it every year Give out shares to increase value by paying dividends (does the Chinese stock market pay dividends?). But most investors are not like this. They always want to follow the wolf and eat some scraps. Is there any reason not to lose money? Therefore, most of the sheep on the prairie remained, while most of the stock investors were eaten.

6. How does the main force educate and indoctrinate retail investors?

Many people may find this topic new to me. They have never heard of such a thing. How can the main force educate me? Is it to maintain stability or protect people's property income? I said no. In fact, if you don't feel it, that is the success of the main force. The main force does not need you to feel anything, as long as you follow his instructions. Does the main force have such ability? Then if he asks me to cut the flesh, I will cut the flesh, and if he asks me to stand on the top, I will stand on the top. Then won’t all my money be made by the main force? Yes, that's the case.