-
What is the root cause of the ups and downs of the stock market? What is the relationship between CPI, PMI, main players and chips and the rise and fall of the stock market? There is a wrong thinking that the rise and fall of the stock market is determined by the choice of chips by the main force!
First of all, I only say the conclusion here, because the process of my argument is very long, and I have a special paper to prove my conclusion.
1. The fundamental determinant of the stock market or economic ups and downs is the economic cycle! Not determined by value or supply and demand. Are all influencing factors. China or the world economy has a small cycle 10 year, a medium cycle of 30 years, and a large cycle 100 year. World political and cultural development is also observing this cycle.
2. The stock market, PMI, CPI, main chips and economic indicators are all manifestations of the economic cycle. Their most important relationship is Zhen! * * * Vibration theory is the key theory of period. * * * Vibration theory can find the fundamental decisive factors from complex relationships. The economies of all countries in the world are shaking. Economy, politics, culture and everything in the universe are shaking.
3.28 rule, or 19 rule, golden section rule and 55 rule, integer bit rule has become an important rule in the market. All the ups and downs are carried out according to these laws. These laws are actually the embodiment of the golden section law. The simplest way to see the golden section rules clearly is to carry out the golden section in a certain period of time, and we can clearly see the performance of these rules.
4. The law of nature is a unified theory of various economic, political and cultural aspects. Everything, time, space and movement are observed.
5. Because economy is a man-made process, human intervention leads to the fact that the laws of nature are not expressed in a single way. The law of value has become one of the important factors. Large-cycle value investment is the magic weapon of stock market investment. The key to the law of value investment is not to find the difference between value and price, because there is no necessarily reasonable price. The key is the growth of its subject under the condition that the existing conditions maintain a certain continuity. The fundamental law of investment, that is, the ultimate goal, is to find growth in a cycle: price growth and profit growth. In addition, other methods are short-term, do not make decisions according to the cycle, and are speculation rather than investment.
6. The advance and retreat of the main force is determined by various economic indicators. The advance and retreat of the main force is determined by the laws of nature.
7. In an ideal, fair and freely competitive market, we must abide by the "28" rule. That is, 20% people are profitable and 80% people are losing money. In the case of extreme injustice, it may be the 19 rule. The market is always 8 to 2, which is completely immoral. China's traditional morality requires that 2 must obey 8, otherwise it will be marginalized by 8. The function of the government is to prevent the market from entering the 19 law beyond 28%, adjust and narrow the income gap, and properly realize social equity. In order to reduce the risk of retail investors in the stock market and futures market, any government has raised the entry threshold to shut out ordinary retail investors or taken other restrictive measures, which has been more unfair for a long time, providing soil for small-scale manipulation, and finally guiding the 28-rule to the 19 rule, thus expanding the losses of retail investors. On the contrary, government management measures should lower the threshold to improve the market participation of futures market or securities trading market. In the market where the whole people participate, the partial manipulation of the market under the strict supervision of the government will eventually lead to 80% failure probability. No one can manipulate a market where everyone is free to compete, including the government. The market only abides by the market rules, not by the will of an entity participating in the market. The problem is that in a cycle, 20% or 10% of the main players or manipulators make money, and 80% or even 90% of the main players lose money.
I'm not talking casually, it's all my efforts. My theory is already the top theory in the field of global investment, which can definitely surpass the theory of most people on Wall Street in the United States.