Corn price forecast in 2022
At present, the corn market runs according to the trend of "weak shock" and the price tends to be stable in the near future. Once the amount of corn in Shandong increases and the northeast corn enters the customs, the corn may continue to decline.
However, we must know that there is no market that only falls but does not rise. It is expected that there will be a rising process in the corn market in April next year. It can still be boldly predicted that the price of corn in the first half of this year will increase by 1 cent per catty on the current basis.
Therefore, for the corn price in 2022, there will not be much fluctuation, and it will eventually be a high and stable state. Today's food prices are at a high level, and it is difficult to see any ups and downs again.
Moreover, corn is not an ordinary commodity, but a staple food. Its social attribute is far greater than the commodity attribute, and the price will basically not rise and fall.
Favorable factors of maize in 2022
Strong market demand
Why can't corn really fall at this time? The main reason is that the market demand is still strong. From the feedback of the market, whether it is deep processing enterprises or traders, the inventory of new grain is generally low.
Therefore, from this perspective, both deep processing and traders need to collect grain to make up for the inventory. According to the market supply and demand criteria, as long as there is demand in the market, the space for corn to fall is relatively limited, and even if it falls slightly, it will rebound again.
There is a big market for imported corn and substitutes.
Generally speaking, imported corn and its substitutes (wheat and sorghum) are not only the main competitors of domestic corn market share, but also have an impact on its market. It is difficult for domestic corn to run at a low level when imported corn and corn substitutes keep running at a high level.
Therefore, this is another key positive factor that the corn market will not plummet after the Lunar New Year in 2022.
The policy level will not regulate "underpricing"
Why can the corn market remain high for so long? The policy level is actually an important factor. In fact, the adjustment of the corn market at the national regulatory level has been very clear, and it will continue to increase production steadily in 2022!
Only in this way can farmers' enthusiasm for planting corn be mobilized, and corn prices will not be depressed through regulatory policies, and corn prices will not fall sharply in the short term! Therefore, even after the Spring Festival in 2022, the corn market will continue to operate at a high level and there will be no sharp drop.