Since June 65438+ 10 this year, the price of live pigs in China has risen sharply. At this point, the pig price has risen to 10.6 yuan/kg, which is the highest level of pig price over the years. The reasons and trends of the price of live pigs in 2007 are analyzed and predicted as follows: Analysis of the reasons for the increase of the price of live pigs The shortage of pig sources is the main reason for the increase of the price of live pigs. There are two reasons for the decline in the number of live pigs: first, the whole country was in a profitable period from September 2003 to August 2005, which led to the great development of China's pig industry from 2004 to 2005. From September 2005 to the first half of 2006, the number of live pigs increased greatly and the price of live pigs plummeted. From May to June, 2006, the price of live pigs fell below 6 yuan/kg, and the pig industry suffered losses across the board. Many farms (households) eliminated sows and the number of live pigs decreased. Second, from July to June, 2006, unexplained high fever epidemic occurred in Jiangxi, Hunan, Jiangsu, Hubei, Anhui, Zhejiang, Henan and other major pig producing areas, which led to the illness and death of pigs, especially small and medium-sized pigs, and the abortion of sows led to a decline in the stock, which aggravated the shortage of pig sources. Second, the rising prices of feed raw materials and labor have increased the cost of raising pigs. In 2006, the prices of agricultural and sideline products in China generally rose, and the price of corn as the main raw material of pig feed also rose all the way, from 1280 yuan/ton at the beginning of the year to 1600 yuan/ton at present, with an increase of 20%. Although the prices of beans and cypresses declined in the first half of the year, they remained at the level of 2400-2600 yuan/ton. The price of fish meal has been hovering at a high price of 8000 yuan/ton, and the average price of pig feed has reached 1. 1 yuan/ton. In addition, the labor price has been generally raised, and the wages of pig-raising laborers have been raised from 500 yuan to 800 yuan. In addition, the epidemic situation of pigs is complex, and the cost of epidemic prevention by lottery has also increased greatly. In addition, the comprehensive cost of live pigs rose from the original 7.6 yuan/kg to the present 8.2 yuan/kg, with an increase rate of 8- 10%, which led to an increase in the price of live pigs.