I. Vegetables
In 20 14, the vegetable trade grew steadily, with a transaction volume of1180,000 tons, up by 8.3% year-on-year. The overall market is characterized by falling volume and price.
Transaction volume: the steady growth of 20 14 transaction volume is mainly due to the following three factors: 1, the market influence has expanded, and more foreign customers have come to adjust goods. 2. Open up new vegetable areas, increase market capacity and attract more customers from producing areas to enter the market. 3. The population of Hefei has increased and the market demand is great.
In terms of transaction price:
As shown in the figure, the price of 20 14 vegetables dropped significantly compared with the same period last year.
Analysis: In the first half of 2003 1 and 2065438+3 were affected by avian influenza, the demand for vegetables was strong and the price of vegetables was high. This year, the impact of bird flu has weakened and reasonably declined. 2. The climate around Hefei is suitable this year, and the output of local dishes is large. Affected by national policies, all localities are increasing agricultural investment, expanding planting area and producing more vegetables.
Second, fruit.
On the first anniversary of the relocation of 20 14 Daxing fruit trading center, the fruit trading volume increased significantly, among which the number of fruits entering the market in 20 14 reached 468,000 tons, an increase of 69,000 tons compared with 20 13, with an increase of 17.3%. All kinds of fruits have increased to varying degrees. Price: With the arrival of more customers from producing areas, the cost has been reduced. In addition, the output of most fruits is high this year, which leads to the decline of fruit prices. On the whole, this year's fruit trade shows the characteristics of "quantity increasing and price decreasing". The specific analysis is as follows:
In terms of transaction volume:
After the relocation and opening of the new market, the market operation area increased, the customer structure changed, the market charging method was adjusted, and the buyer's customer transaction fee was exempted. The market radiation expanded rapidly, covering the whole province 16 cities, which mobilized the enthusiasm of buyers and customers. Coupled with the bumper harvest in the producing areas, the fruit market transactions have increased significantly this year.
The year-on-year comparison chart of some fruit transactions is as follows:
As shown in the figure: the growth rate of bulk fruit watermelon is the largest, and apples have not increased;
Analysis: Although there were few high-temperature weather this summer, the output of watermelons in various producing areas was high (Ningxia and Xinjiang watermelons were listed for the first time), and the price of watermelons was low, which stimulated the consumption of watermelons to some extent. The main reason for apple's weak growth is that apple is popular all the year round, and a large number of customers and social idle funds from producing areas hoard and drive up the price during the listing of apple, which makes the price of apple rise by 10% every year. Due to high prices, citizens' consumption has shifted, resulting in a decrease in transaction volume. In addition, the aging of fruit trees in the main apple producing areas, the decline in yield and quality are also a factor in the decline in apple trading volume.
As shown in the figure: seasonal fruits have increased significantly;
Analysis: In recent years, the government's support for the cultivation of cash crops has led to a large number of introduction in the province and surrounding areas, with the planting area increasing year by year, the output increasing and the market transaction volume greatly increasing.
In terms of transaction price:
As shown in the figure: the price of bulk fruit has risen and fallen;
Analysis: Due to the bad weather, the output of Hainan fruits, such as bananas, decreased and the price increased. The prices of most other fruits show a downward trend;
As shown in the figure: seasonal fruit prices decreased year-on-year;
Analysis: Compared with 20 13, the price of fruit decreased steadily. On the one hand, the number of harvested fruits has increased, such as grapes, oranges, pears and nectarines. On the other hand, after the relocation of the new market, the venue expanded, the number of customers increased, and the competition trend in the field intensified, resulting in a decline in prices, such as watermelons, cantaloupes, lychees, sugar oranges and imported fine products.
It is predicted that the overall price of 20 15 fruit is basically stable, and some varieties will still have idle funds to stock up, such as apples, navel oranges and Xinjiang fruits. Due to the increase of planting area in various producing areas in China and the state's support for fruit planting, the overall price of fruit will continue to decrease steadily.
Third, aquatic products.
In 20 14, the turnover of aquatic products market was 374,000 tons, a year-on-year increase; 10%; According to statistics, in terms of trading volume: in 20 14 years, the market influence continued to expand, the market share continued to increase, and the export volume of freshwater fish, shrimp, shellfish and other products increased, which promoted the growth of aquatic products trading volume. In terms of price: the prices of freshwater fish and special aquatic products showed a downward trend year-on-year, while the prices of shrimp and shellfish rose and fell respectively;
(1) freshwater fish
As shown in the figure, the prices of most freshwater fish show a downward trend year on year.
Analysis: The overall trend of 20 14 is good, and the cargo volume is sufficient. In addition, the increase of external deployment (external deployment accounts for 40% of freshwater fish) has promoted the growth of freshwater fish trading volume, with a year-on-year increase of 12.3%. Price: last year, due to the impact of bird flu, the price was relatively high. This year, the supply of freshwater fish is sufficient, the price is adjusted back, the overall trend is downward, and the market is relatively stable.
(2) Special aquatic products
Price comparison chart:
As shown in the figure, the prices of eel, loach and crab all fell.
Analysis: With the increasing popularity of Hefei lobster, the trading volume of lobster in the market has greatly increased, and the price has increased slightly year-on-year. Misgurnus anguillicaudatus and Monopterus albus are mainly local and foreign breeding markets, and the proportion of breeding has increased. Coupled with the entry of imported Monopterus albus last year and the influence of customers on the inventory of scalded Monopterus albus, the overall price of Monopterus albus has dropped this year. It can be said that the volume and price of crab trading have fallen, mainly due to the large number of producing areas and high output of hairy crabs this year, coupled with the influence of national policies, the demand has weakened.
Fourth, livestock and poultry meat.
In 20 14 years, the market turnover of livestock and poultry meat in Zhougudui reached156,000 tons, up 1 1.4% year-on-year. In 20 14, the trading volume of the whole meat market increased steadily, and the trading volume of pork and white-striped poultry increased significantly year-on-year. In terms of price, the price of pork decreased year-on-year, the price of chicken and duck increased slightly, and the price of beef and mutton remained high; The specific analysis is as follows:
In terms of trading volume: the meat market was booming in 20 14, and the trading volume increased substantially year-on-year. The main reasons were: 1, the market radiation range and market share increased, and the trading volume of pork and other meat increased significantly year-on-year. 2. This year has not been affected by the epidemic, and the recovery of white-striped poultry trade has increased significantly. 3. The price of pork is relatively low, which stimulates meat consumption and increases trading volume.
In terms of price:
As shown in the figure: 2065438+March-April 2004 ushered in a trough, and then gradually rose;
Analysis: Influenced by the high price of pork in 20 13, the pig slaughter rate was high in the first half of 20 14, the market supply exceeded demand, and the market demand decreased after the Spring Festival, which led to a sharp drop in pork price, and the price of 6.4 yuan/Jin was also the lowest point in recent years. Meat prices plummeted and farmers lost money. Prices continued to rise in the second half of the year, but they were still lower than the same period last year.
As shown in the figure: the price of pork decreased year-on-year, and the price of white striped chicken increased;
Analysis: 20 13 was affected by avian influenza, and the pork consumption was large, while the demand for white-striped poultry meat was sluggish, which led to the high price of pork and the decline of white-striped poultry meat last year. Not affected by the epidemic this year, the price of white-striped poultry meat naturally rose;
Five, grain and oil dry goods
20 14 The grain and oil dry goods market has sufficient supply of rice, flour, oil, dry mix and other major business categories, with booming sales and purchases, and steady growth in business. According to statistics, the transaction volume: in 20 14 years, the total transaction volume was 775,000 tons, up 2.8% year-on-year; Price: The prices of major agricultural products fluctuated year-on-year, but the overall fluctuation was not great. The statistics are as follows:
Comparison chart of annual average prices of major agricultural products in 20 14 years:
As shown in the figure: 20 14, except for the sharp increase in the price of ginger, the prices of other varieties are mixed, with little fluctuation;
20 14 grain and oil market trend analysis;
(1) Rice: In the first half of the year, due to the decrease of old rice in Northeast China, the purchase price increased, and the price of rice increased. In the second half of the year, the new rice went on the market, but the price did not fall but rose. The annual price of rice increased by 6.28% compared with 20 13. Coupled with the strong domestic food demand, especially the increase in the trading volume of high-end rice year by year, the price of rice has risen to some extent.
(2) Flour: Flour trade was relatively stable in 20 14 years, with the transaction volume increasing by 3. 12% and the price increasing by 6.77%. Affected by national policies, increasing the minimum purchase price of grain year after year is the main reason for the increase in flour prices this year.
(3) Edible oil: Since 20 14, domestic edible oil prices have weakened, rapeseed oil and soybean oil have been in a downward trend, with rapeseed oil prices falling by 12.28% and soybean oil prices falling by 16.94%.
(4) Miscellaneous grains: 20 14. Miscellaneous grains rise more and fall less. In addition to peanuts, the prices of other miscellaneous grains, such as mung beans, red beans and millet, have all increased, because the planting area has increased and the output has increased greatly this year. The increase in the price of miscellaneous grains is mainly due to the increasing demand for miscellaneous grains with the improvement of residents' living standards and health awareness, which has promoted the increase in the price of miscellaneous grains.
(5) Dry goods: The dry goods market rose slightly by 20 14, but the prices of other products fluctuated little except some varieties such as ginger. Affected by the sharp reduction of ginger production in 13, the price of ginger has risen linearly since the fourth quarter of 13, and the highest price has risen to 14 yuan/kg, a record high. Although the price of new ginger fell after it was listed in 14, the average price of ginger increased by more than 200% this year compared with 13.
20 14 grain reserves are large, the market supply is sufficient, and the overall grain price fluctuates little. It is estimated that the price of grain and oil in 20 15 will be dominated by a stable trend.
Six, eggs
During 20 14 weeks, the trading volume of grain-piled poultry and eggs market was 39,500 tons, up 3.9% year-on-year; The market is well supplied, and the price of eggs has risen sharply compared with last year, with the highest offer of 6 yuan/Jin, a record high. The trend is as shown in the figure:
As shown in the figure: Looking at the egg price in 20 14 years, the egg price in most months is obviously higher than that in the same period last year.
Analysis of poultry and egg trading;
In 20 14, the poultry and egg market was abundant and the trading volume was stable, but the price increased obviously year-on-year and remained at a high level. Mainly due to the influence of avian influenza in 20 13, the price of eggs was obviously low, and a large number of farms suffered serious losses, which affected the elimination of laying hens and significantly reduced the output, which made the supply of eggs continue to be tight this year, and the price rose and remained high. In the fourth quarter, the price of eggs showed a downward trend, and it is predicted that the price of eggs will fall by 20 15.