In the eyes of all traders, the futures market must be a maze. Most people can't figure out the problem of this maze. Most people have been doing it for ten or even twenty years, still wondering how futures can make money. The question of how to make money in futures is really difficult to answer.
I have a good friend who has been engaged in futures for ten years, and then he told me that I have been engaged in futures for ten years because I am very strong. I must be clear: I wasted ten years of youth and blood, and I always have to figure out what the future is.
It is true that each of us wants to understand, but I think it is not enough to understand this, it is only half, 50%. We need to understand another point. If we can figure out these two problems, I think we can basically gain a foothold in this market. Standing is survival and will not be eliminated. What are the two aspects? The first is to know the market, and the second is to know yourself. But I think the second point may be more important. The first is to understand the market. Of course, all my content today is related to my own experience and has nothing to do with anyone. All teachers have their own ideas. The futures market is all roads leading to Rome, not just Huashan. Everyone has different ideas and methods, but they are all likely to succeed. So you can't say whether the road you choose is contradictory, not necessarily, contradiction doesn't matter. ?
? On one occasion, several traders in our industry, about four or five people, discussed these issues while eating together. Facing the market, everyone's answer was different. For example, is the market random? At that time, a colleague said: No, why not? Because the market has certain opportunities. What is an opportunity for certainty? The trend is certain. Everyone knows to follow suit. Trends can make money, so we should make trends, so as long as we make trends, the trends will come out. This seems to be true, because it is also written in the book, so we can see at a glance that a certain variety is in a beautiful trend, falling in front, rising in the back, then falling, and then oscillating. This is why so many "masters" tell others when facing investors, how much money can you make by shorting here and then closing your position here? Such an obvious trend, so forget it? However, I believe all of you here are futures traders, otherwise they wouldn't come to this meeting.
? When all our investors are facing the present, facing the present and ready to make a transaction, things are not so simple. Look at this picture, it seems that it is possible to develop in any direction, it seems to be rising, it seems to be falling, it seems to be consolidating. In other words, we have no way to judge at present. So my experience is that we can only determine the trend after it has ended, and even in the process of the trend development, we have no way to start, because it seems that we are about to turn around now, so we will always be confused now. What has been done is history. History is not a variable, but a fixed thing. It is precisely because it will not change again that we have the ability to pick this trend out of the market at a glance.
But all of us in business are doing what we are doing now. We base ourselves on the present and look forward to the future. Why look to the future? Because we are in the futures market, we can make money if we judge correctly. Standing in the present is definitely not good. Looking forward to the future is actually a prediction. Both online comments and comments from other experts or masters have criticized this view on prediction. But I personally have different views on this view. I think any trader in this market will make a prediction as long as he trades. As long as you make more orders now, it means that you predict that it will rise in the future. Without such people, do you still want to do more when predicting that you will fall in the future? Definitely not. Therefore, there must be a forecast before the market. What we do is the future, that is, if we systematically analyze and predict that it will go up, and then we hope that it will go up, we will do more orders. We predict it will fall, hope it will fall, and we short the order.
But the forecast is only the action before the transaction, and all the processes after the transaction have nothing to do with the previous forecast. So my understanding of the market is that nothing in the market can be determined, including trends. If I have such an idea, how can I make a deal?