The rising areas are mainly concentrated in North China and Northeast China! The north itself is a transit area for pigs, and the increase in pig prices in the north has a more positive impact on the grassroots pig market. This also fully indicates that domestic pig prices will change well before the arrival of mid-February of 65438.
In view of the live pig market, the state will continue to introduce a series of regulatory measures to prevent the price of live pigs from rising too fast. According to the performance of the current pig-grain ratio at the grassroots level, after repeated fluctuations in pig prices, the current pig-grain ratio has returned to the level of 8.0: 1.
However, it is worth noting that the prices of feed raw materials such as corn and soybean meal have also recently ushered in a recovery increase. Farmers must be alert to the impact and risks caused by the excessive rise in feed prices in the short term.
Good news:1:65438+February is the peak season for seasonal consumption, and it is also a favorable stage for the annual grass-roots meat consumption. Especially recently, with the improvement of rain and snow weather and the appearance of cold wave cooling weather, the demand for meat consumption at the grassroots level has been further stimulated. Families all over the country are also stepping up their efforts to buy fresh meat, and new consumption benefits are injected into the market, which will naturally increase the relevant income of farmers, which is also one of the key factors for the increase in the price of live pigs in mid-June.
Good news 2: With the approach of 65438+ in mid-February, a new round of refined oil price adjustment has been fully completed. The skyrocketing gasoline and diesel prices officially ushered in a sharp drop in the oil price adjustment initiated by the state on February 5, 65438. The price of 92 # gasoline and 0 # diesel has fallen below 8 yuan, entering the era of 7 yuan. Driven by the increase in logistics costs, good consumption will further benefit farmers. With the improvement of logistics and transportation efficiency, the cargo transportation volume of pig slaughtering enterprises will increase, and the efforts of collecting pigs at the grassroots level will naturally expand accordingly. By then, the price of pigs will rise again.
Good news 3: With the official start of June 5438+February, many regions in China have also formulated new nucleic acid testing policies. With the determination of scientific and accurate prevention and control strategies, many areas have adjusted their prevention and control measures accordingly. It can be predicted that the prevention and control of public health incidents will have less and less impact on consumption in the grass-roots market.
We have reason to believe that the market environment of live pigs can be substantially improved in mid-June from 5438 to February, and the increase in pig prices will also become a new trend.
Judging from the above three good news, the pig god of wealth believes that it is a foregone conclusion that the domestic pig price will rise in 65438+February.