Question 1: How to short the real estate industry? The policy has just been released so soon, and is it too early to go short?

Question 2: How to short all the crazy growth in China’s real estate market? The real estate market may collapse!

History tells us:

●The United States: Broken in 1926, indirectly triggered the world economic crisis in the 1930s

●Japan: Broken in 1991, resulting in Japan’s long-term economic crisis 15 years of economic depression

●Southeast Asia, Hong Kong: Broken in 1997, hundreds of thousands of millionaires appeared in Hong Kong

The 20th century was the 100th century of rapid development of the world economy. In 2006, the prosperity of the real estate industry was undoubtedly an important factor in economic growth during the past 100 years. However, due to various complex reasons, terrible real estate bubbles have occurred in some countries and regions. As a result, countless investors were instantly impoverished, leaving behind scenes of tragedy.

U.S. real estate bubble: 25,000 real estate agents appeared in a city with a population of 75,000

In the mid-1920s, the U.S. economy experienced a brief boom, and the construction industry became increasingly prosperous. Against this background, an unprecedented real estate bubble emerged in Florida, which has a special geographical location.

However, the good times did not last long. By 1926, the Florida real estate bubble burst rapidly. Many bankrupt entrepreneurs and bankers committed suicide or went crazy, and some became beggars.

Isn’t this somewhat similar to our Hainan Island?

Japanese real estate bubble: The land price in Tokyo exceeds the total land price in the United States

In the late 1980s, in order to develop the Japanese economy, the Central Bank of Japan took extraordinary measures Loose financial policies encourage capital to flow into the real estate and stock markets, causing real estate prices to skyrocket. In September 1985, the finance ministers of the United States, the Federal Republic of Germany, Japan, France, and the United Kingdom signed the "Plaza Accord" and decided to agree to the devaluation of the U.S. dollar. After the depreciation of the US dollar, a large amount of international capital entered Japan's real estate industry, further fueling the rise in housing prices. From 1986 to 1989, Japan's housing prices tripled.

Tempted by the sudden rise in housing prices, many Japanese are beginning to lose patience. They found that they could make money faster by speculating in stocks and real estate, so they took out their savings to speculate. By 1989, Japanese real estate prices had soared to ridiculous levels. At that time, Japan's land area was equivalent to that of California, and its total land value was equivalent to four times the total land value of the entire United States. By 1990, land prices in Tokyo alone were equivalent to the total land prices in the United States. Even if ordinary working-class people spend their life savings, they cannot afford to buy a house in a big city. Only billionaires and a handful of executives of large companies can afford to buy a house.

All bubbles must burst. After 1991, as international capital withdrew after making profits, the Japanese real estate bubble driven by foreign capital quickly burst, and real estate prices plummeted. By 1993, Japan's real estate industry collapsed completely, companies closed down one after another, and the bad debts left behind amounted to US$600 billion.

Affected by this, Japan ushered in the longest economic recession in history and fell into a 15-year depression and downturn. Even now, the Japanese economy has not completely emerged from the shadows. .

Real estate bubbles in Southeast Asia and Hong Kong: Hong Kong owners lost an average of HK$2.67 million

Following Japan, the real estate bubbles in Southeast Asian countries such as Thailand, Malaysia, and Indonesia were also painful experiences. Thailand is particularly prominent. In the mid-1980s, the Thai government regarded real estate as a priority investment area and successively introduced a series of revolutionary policies, which promoted the prosperity of the real estate market. After the Gulf War, a large number of developers and speculators poured into the real estate market. This, coupled with the laissez-faire bank credit policy, contributed to the emergence of the real estate bubble. At the same time, a large amount of foreign capital has also entered the real estate market in other Southeast Asian countries for speculative activities. Unfortunately, these countries did not regulate the real estate market well at that time, which ultimately led to the real estate market supply greatly exceeding demand, forming a huge bubble. In 1996, before the outbreak of the financial crisis, Thailand's real estate industry was already in a comprehensive crisis. The vacancy rate continued to rise, with the vacancy rate in office buildings reaching 50%. With the outbreak of the Southeast Asian financial crisis in 1997, the real estate bubble in Thailand and other Southeast Asian countries completely burst, directly leading to severe economic recession in various countries.

The Southeast Asian financial crisis also directly led to the bursting of the Hong Kong real estate bubble. Hong Kong's real estate boom can be traced back to the 1970s. At that time, business tycoons such as Li Ka-shing and Pao Yugang invested in the real estate field. Hong Kong's top ten real estate companies were also publicly listed, and funds from Japan, Southeast Asia, Australia and other places also poured in. Driven by various factors, housing and land prices in Hong Kong have risen sharply.

Until 19...>>

Question 3: How to short real estate. Short selling is an investment term such as stock futures: for example, when you expect a certain stock to fall in the future, you will buy it at the current price. Sell ??a stock you don't own when it's high, and then buy it when the stock price drops to a certain level, so that the price difference is your profit.

So if you think your expectations will fall in the future, sell your current house, and then buy another house when the market falls as you expected~

This is short selling

Question 4: How to short Chinese real estate. You cannot short short directly. You can try other methods, such as where will the next flow of funds go.

Question 5: How to short Chinese real estate. More than 80% of the funds in the domestic real estate market come from bank loans. Therefore, it is very difficult to short the Chinese real estate market. When necessary, the state will carry out administrative intervention.

Question 6: What are the methods of shorting real estate in China? Real estate will not collapse. *** We still have to hold on, because real estate affects 16 industries!

Question 7: Is there any way to short real estate in China today? All booming real estate markets may collapse!

History tells us:

●The United States: Broken in 1926, indirectly triggered the world economic crisis in the 1930s

●Japan: Broken in 1991, resulting in Japan’s long-term economic crisis 15 years of economic depression

●Southeast Asia, Hong Kong: Broken in 1997, hundreds of thousands of millionaires appeared in Hong Kong

The 20th century was the 100th century of rapid development of the world economy. In 2006, the prosperity of the real estate industry was undoubtedly an important factor in economic growth during the past 100 years. However, due to various complex reasons, terrible real estate bubbles have occurred in some countries and regions. As a result, countless investors were instantly impoverished, leaving behind scenes of tragedy.

Question 8: How do foreign investors short-sell Chinese real estate? How should they operate? Action: Create a large-scale sell-off of the stocks of major Chinese real estate companies and reduce direct and indirect investment in China's real estate industry.

In terms of public opinion: Publish more remarks and articles about China’s real estate bubble to influence the expectations and investment psychology of the market public.

If both aspects operate at the same time, it is likely that the real estate industry will be in trouble.

Question 9: Once the RMB is shorted, what will happen to real estate? The exchange rate affects the stock market and housing market in inverse proportion

Question 10: Can China short housing prices? What is shorting?

The simplest short selling is to sell your house and hold cash (or even hold US dollars, because the RMB is depreciating)

The more complicated thing is to short the stocks of real estate companies

What’s more complicated is that you bet against someone else. This person can be an individual or an organization! (But this method requires a very high threshold)