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Will the steel price be lowered in June 2008 at 5438+ 10?
Summary of steel market Today, although the domestic steel market is still dominated by price decline, significant benefits have already appeared. The price of construction steel tends to be stable; Hot coil prices also show signs of stabilization; Cold plate prices continue to fall; Price differentiation of medium plate market; The price of strip steel shows signs of rebound; The price decline of coated board has also slowed down; The market prices of profiles and pipes continue to fall. The specific market changes of various steel products are summarized as follows.

Construction steel: Today, the decline of domestic construction steel market has slowed down, and some markets have remained stable. According to the market monitoring of Lange Steel Information Research Center, the average price of 25mm rebar in domestic key cities is 358 1 yuan, down by 49 yuan from yesterday. With the exception of Beijing, Tianjin, Guangzhou, Chengdu and other key central cities, the prices of other markets all decreased by 50- 120 yuan. The average price of 6.5mm expressway in domestic key cities is 3460 yuan, which is lower than yesterday in 46 yuan. Prices in key central cities such as Beijing, Zhengzhou, Guangzhou, Chengdu and Xi 'an were stable, while prices in other markets dropped by 50- 160 yuan. In order to stabilize the sharply declining construction steel market, the following countermeasures were decided at the high-level leadership meeting of Hebei Iron and Steel Group on June 5438+08+05: First, the lowest sales price was introduced, and the sales price of construction steel was limited to June 5438+00, with high-speed wire rod not less than 3,300 yuan and secondary rebar not less than 3,700 yuan. Below this price, steel mills will no longer give any form of subsidies; Second, starting from June 165438+ 10, the brand-new sales mode of agent system will break the previous buyout steel trade marketing mode and be conducive to the stability of market prices. After the measures of Hebei Iron and Steel Group were introduced, they played a positive role in stabilizing the market and received positive responses from the majority of dealers. After the introduction of the measures, the market merchants in Beijing and Tianjin raised the market prices in line with the policies of steel mills, and the prices were basically above the minimum sales prices of steel mills. Beijing-Tianjin construction steel market has always been the "leader" in the domestic market. With the signs of the stability and slight increase of Beijing-Tianjin market price, it will have a good psychological impact on the domestic market. Today, the decline in other domestic markets has also decreased and stabilized, and the market will be more optimistic in the later period.

Hot coil: Today, the price of hot coil in domestic central cities has not completely stopped falling and stabilized. The average price of 5.5mm hot-rolled coil in domestic key central cities is 3574 yuan, which is lower than yesterday's price by 24 yuan, among which Guangzhou, Guangzhou, Chengdu, Xi and Shanghai are still falling. Nowadays, there are some differences in the north-south direction of the domestic hot rolling market. The markets in North China and Northeast China have gradually stabilized, but the markets in East China and South China are still declining, especially in Shanghai, where the price dropped by more than 100 yuan to 3,400 yuan. Judging from the performance of falling cities, the lack of improvement in terminal demand makes the price unable to find the focus, which in turn affects the lack of market confidence, and merchants demand delivery, pushing the price to continue to fall. Some steel mills have introduced settlement policies or subsidy policies, which are relatively strong. It is estimated that the price policies of major steel mills will be introduced one after another in recent days. It is expected that the price of steel mills will continue to follow the market price, and the previous losses of merchants will be compensated. If the policy adjustment of steel mills is relatively in place in June 5438+065438+ 10, it will play a certain role in stabilizing market prices. However, in the case of poor demand, the dominant factor of market trend depends on the transaction situation, and the impact of steel mill policies on the market will inevitably be greatly reduced, and some market prices may continue to be lowered.

Cold plate: today's opening, domestic cold-rolled coil prices continue to fall. The average price of domestic key central cities 1.0mm cold plate was 4,725 yuan, down from yesterday 170 yuan, and the average price of domestic cold-rolled coils fell below the 4,800 yuan mark. Among them, 200 yuan fell in Guangzhou and Hangzhou, 100 yuan fell in Shanghai, and 550 yuan and 400 yuan plunged in Xi and Wuhan respectively. Recently, Shougang's resource prices have been basically stable, the phenomenon of price reduction by agents has eased slightly, and the Beijing-Tianjin region has basically maintained a slight downward trend. At present, the market is basically close to the reserve price, but the quotation is quite confusing. Some merchants with high inventory have extremely low transaction prices. It is understood that some resources of Tangshan Iron and Steel and Shougang in Tianjin have been as low as 3,800 yuan today. After continuous low-price selling, the overall inventory level of the market has decreased, but at present, merchants have not yet stepped out of the shadow of price reduction. Contrary to the northern market, the price decline in the southern market headed by Shanghai continued to accelerate. Due to the increasing inventory pressure, the phenomenon of dealers' bidding and selling is still obvious, and the recent losses have increased. Faced with the downturn in the downstream market, merchants are pessimistic about the market outlook, and it is expected that prices may still move closer to the bottom. For steel mills, on June 5438+05, Angang released the June 1 1 price adjustment policy, which lowered 500 yuan before tax on the basis of June 10. At the same time, Angang subsidized 900 yuan's resources for its contracted households in September, and settled at the order price of 1 1 in June. The basic price of cold-rolled products in Benxi Steel 10 was lowered 1 1.200 yuan, it is expected that subsidies from other steel mills will be introduced one after another.

Medium plate: Today, the market prices of most key cities in China are divided, and the current situation can be summarized by stabilizing in the north and falling in the south. According to the market monitoring of Lange Iron and Steel Information Research Center, the average price of 20mm medium plate in domestic key central cities is 40 10 yuan, while that in 60 yuan, Wuhan and Guangzhou is lower than yesterday, while that in Shanghai and Hangzhou is larger, about 100 yuan. Today, the prices of key cities in North China remained stable, while the prices of medium plates in Tianjin and Shijiazhuang rebounded slightly. The price of medium plate in Beijing and Tianjin has gradually stabilized, and some markets have slightly increased, which has a positive impact on the local market. In the case of stable quotations from large market players, the transaction is still relatively poor, which is not conducive to price stabilization. Today, the price of the long-term electronic trading hot coil has fallen by a limit, indicating that dealers are more pessimistic about the market outlook and their bearish mentality has not changed. The overall downward trend of steel prices is still fierce, and the plate market is inevitably weak.

Coated coil: Today, the price decline of coating market in domestic central cities slows down. The average price of 0.47mm color-coated board in domestic key central cities is 6830 yuan, down 100 yuan from yesterday. Only the price in Shanghai is low 100 yuan. The average price of galvanized sheet 1.0mm in domestic key central cities is 5325 yuan, which is lower than yesterday's price by 50 yuan, among which the declines in Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai and Boxing are 100 yuan, 100 yuan, 100 yuan and 200 yuan respectively. At present, the price of 1.0mm galvanized sheet in some key domestic markets has fallen below the 5,000 yuan mark, and the price of 0.5mm color coated sheet in some small factories is close to 6,000 yuan. Different from the fact that the prices of construction steel and hot-rolled coils have gradually bottomed out and the market has gradually stabilized, there is still a big price difference between the coated plate and the upstream plate. Coupled with the huge inventory pressure of some domestic color-coated board factories, the mainstream market mentality is still somewhat worried about the market outlook. In addition, both Benxi Iron and Steel and Angang Steel have recently introduced drastic downward adjustment policies, and it is still difficult to stabilize the coated plate market in the short term.

Hot rolled strip: According to the market monitoring of Lange Steel Information Research Center, the retail acceptance price of Tangshan Ruifeng 2.5*( 183-204) strip is 3,600 yuan, up 100 yuan from yesterday. 2.5*(232-355) The next-day pricing policy is still implemented for strip steel. The guide price of 2.5*(232-355) strip steel in Tangshan is 4000 yuan, which is the same as yesterday. Due to the obvious decline speed of small and narrow strip steel in Tangshan market in the early stage, and the fact that steel mills have cut production and stopped production one after another, the resources of small and narrow strip steel in the market are slightly insufficient, so today steel mills have raised the price of strip steel below 204 mm, but the price of 232-355mm series strip steel shows no signs of rebounding. Guofeng still implements the month-end settlement policy, while Ruifeng implements the next-day pricing policy. Today, the billet price has basically stabilized, and the local 150* 150 plain carbon steel billet acceptance price including tax is 3 150 yuan. Affected by this, there will not be much room for strip steel to fall in the later period.

Pipe: welded pipe Today, the price of welded pipe in domestic central cities continues to fall. The average price of 4-inch (3.25mm) welded pipes in domestic key central cities is 4537 yuan, which is lower than that in 90 yuan yesterday. Today, the price of raw materials in Tangshan continues to fall, and some bar steel enterprises in Hebei have lowered the price of bar steel again, but welded pipe enterprises have not followed suit. Encouraged by the news of production reduction of major domestic steel mills, the mentality of merchants has improved, and the decline of welded pipes has slowed down. Only the East China market is still falling. At present, the price of strip steel in North China is still significantly higher than that of hot coil, and there is still room for the price of strip steel to fall back in the later period. Welded pipe enterprises are more cautious about the market outlook, and basically produce after receiving orders. Avoiding risks and digesting inventory are still the main management methods of upstream pipe factories. Considering that the downstream demand is difficult to improve in the short term, the welded pipe market will remain weak in the later period. Seamless pipe: Today, the domestic seamless pipe market still maintains a downward trend, with a relatively moderate decline, but the shipment is still slow. The average price of seamless pipes in ten key cities in China 159*6mm is 67 15 yuan, which is lower than yesterday by 30 yuan. Today, the price of small factories in Shandong continues to decline. The mainstream quotation remains at 5200 yuan/ton, and the lowest quotation is 5050 yuan/ton. However, due to the rapid decline in prices and problems with corporate funds, most businesses still hold a wait-and-see attitude, and the price reduction has not changed the situation of insufficient orders from manufacturers. For the madness of small factories in Shandong adjusting prices once a day last week, the market has been dragged into the abyss of deep decline, and businesses that can't see the bottom line are at a loss by the confused prospect. With the price adjustment speed of Shandong manufacturers, it is obvious that the price adjustment speed and delivery speed of merchants are not enough. In today's market, except for businesses that have no inventory, businesses that sold their inventory in the early stage are basically losing money every day.

Profile: Nowadays, the market price of profile in some central cities in China continues to decline. The average price of 25# I-beam in domestic key central cities is 4830 yuan, which is lower than yesterday's price by 85 yuan, with Hangzhou and Guangzhou markets falling sharply. The average price of 25# channel steel is 4,873 yuan, which is lower than yesterday by 30 yuan, with the market prices in Shanghai and Hangzhou dropping by 100 yuan and 200 yuan respectively. The average price of 5# angle steel is 4556 yuan, which is lower than yesterday's price 10 yuan, among which the market prices in Shanghai and Hangzhou are lower 150 yuan respectively. Nowadays, the mainstream price of profile market continues to fall. According to the merchants, after the market price fell, there were more telephone inquiries this morning, but the actual transaction volume did not increase significantly. Most of them mainly ask about the market, and their purchasing enthusiasm is not high. According to the survey, the overall market resources are not much at present, but if the raw materials continue to loosen, the market price may continue to loosen in the short term, but the decline is limited.

Summary of carbon-bonded steel in special steel: Today, due to the price reduction of steel mills, the domestic carbon-bonded steel market continues to decline. Due to the price reduction of steel mills in Xianggang and Egang, the markets in Hangzhou and Ningbo continued to fall today, with a drop of 100-300 yuan. According to the market monitoring of Lange Steel Information Research Center, 45# carbon steel: 80mm produced by Xianggang is 4 150 yuan, 60mm produced by Cheng Gang is 4 150 yuan, 50mm produced by Egang is 3,950 yuan, and φ 80 produced by Nangang is 4 100 yuan; 40Cr alloy steel, 20mm produced by Shougang is 4950 yuan, φ 1 10mm is 5250 yuan, and φ 180mm produced by Benxi Steel is 5400 yuan. Today, the overall domestic carbon steel market, the market in the southern region has fallen sharply, mainly due to the negative factors for the future market, which led to the inertia decline of market prices. Because the market demand has not substantially increased and the inertia decline has not stopped, the possibility of still falling still exists. In addition, the continuous increase in steel mill inventory is also a negative factor. According to incomplete statistics, the inventory of carbon bonded steel in first-line steel mills has reached about 500,000 tons, and merchants and downstream users are still pessimistic about the future market trend, resulting in a sharp decline in orders, which is one of the reasons for the high inventory of steel mills. At present, the market still needs confidence to stabilize, so that the market can be stable. In the process that the current market trend continues to decline, the panic selling of merchants is also an important factor that causes the market price to fall. In addition, it is learned from steel mills that the prices of raw materials such as scrap steel, iron concentrate and iron ore have also fallen sharply. Due to the serious influence of downstream users' wait-and-see psychology, it is difficult to change the decline of the former market. It is expected that the market will continue to decline in the future, and many businesses have taken measures to reduce the purchase volume and reduce the market operation risk.

Stainless steel: Today, the market prices of major domestic cities such as Wuxi and Foshan have dropped slightly. Due to the drop of nickel price in London yesterday, the domestic market price began to fall slightly. According to the market monitoring of Lange Steel Information Research Center, the domestic market quotation is: Zhangpu Manufacturing: 304/2B 0.8mm cold coil 2 1.5 million yuan, 2.0mm cold coil 20 1.0 million yuan; 304/2B 2.0mm 19800 yuan produced by TISCO; 4.0-6.0mm hot rolled 304/ 1 flat plate 18700 yuan, with the same specification Zhangpu 18400 yuan, TISCO 304/ 1 3.0mm coil plate 19800 yuan. Because the demand for 300 series products has not yet found a reasonable price to take over, the 300 series products have fallen sharply this year, while the price of 200 series products is still firm, mainly because of the structural changes in the current market. Due to the influence of the 300-series high position of downstream users, the demand for substitute products began to focus on the 200-series market, and the market demand supported the 200-series price to drop slightly. Nowadays, the prices of major domestic cities such as Wuxi and Foshan are also affected by the decline in international raw material prices, and the decline in the cost of steel mills by market merchants has further suppressed market prices. Because downstream users are not optimistic about the later market, traders mostly use small-batch procurement and zero-inventory operation methods, and the market is in a wait-and-see mood. Today, the market transaction price tends to drop slightly, and steel mills are worried that the market price will continue to fall and begin to implement the policy of limiting production and quotation. In addition, market merchants believe that the future market price will remain stable in the short term, with a slight downward trend, and it is expected that the international market procurement will rise, which will bring warmth to the market trend.

Toll dynamics1June16th, the domestic toll market showed a weak consolidation state. Details are as follows:

Billet market: Today, the domestic billet market has temporarily maintained a stable operation, with no obvious improvement in market transactions, and the wait-and-see atmosphere enveloped the whole market. Recently, the domestic billet price has continued to fall sharply, but the market demand still cannot get rid of the downturn, mainly because most users are bearish on the market outlook recently, so the purchase volume has continued to decline; In addition, the market of building materials and strip steel closely related to billet has not stopped falling, and rolling enterprises and downstream users are still in sufficient inventory, so there is no need to reserve too many resources in the short term. Judging from the current market, downstream users have insufficient confidence in the billet market outlook, and steel mills are also pessimistic about the later trend. It is expected that the billet market will still have a downward trend in a short time. In Tangshan area, the price including tax in the mainstream market acceptance of ordinary carbon 150* 150 billet is 3 150 yuan, the price including tax in the mainstream market of ordinary carbon 165*225 billet is 3,200 yuan, and the price of low alloy 150 billet is 3,300 yuan. The price of plain carbon steel 150 billet in Tianjin area is 3250 yuan, and the price of low alloy 150 billet is 3350 yuan; The price of 150 billet in Shanxi is 3 150 yuan, and the price of low alloy 150 billet is 3300 yuan. The price of carbon 150 billet in Zibo area is 3,400 yuan, and the price of low alloy 150 billet is 3,500 yuan. The price of 150 billet in Wuxi area is 3300 yuan, and the price of low alloy 150 billet is 3350 yuan; The price of Putan 150 billet in Anyang, Henan Province is 3500 yuan, and the price of low alloy 150 billet is 3600 yuan. The price of ordinary carbon 150 billet in Liaoning is 3,700 yuan, and the price of low alloy 150 billet is 3,800 yuan. Both are the same as yesterday.

Iron concentrate market: The iron concentrate market is in a weak consolidation state. Mineral processing enterprises have lost confidence in the current market and have no time to care about market trends. Most of them hold a wait-and-see attitude, and a few price-seeking businesses have pressed the purchase price to a minimum. Because the market price of iron concentrate powder has basically bottomed out at this stage, it has increased the operating space of traders and the phenomenon of price seeking has increased, but there are only a handful of actual transaction records. Recently, the steel market is at a low level, and the phenomenon of domestic steel mills stopping production and reducing production is still obvious. Therefore, the demand for refined flour is still shrinking, and the refined flour market will show a stable trend in the near future. At present, the market quotation of 66% acid powder wet basis excluding tax in Tangshan area is around 630 yuan, and the trading volume is not large. The ex-factory price of 64% alkali powder wet basis excluding tax in Wu 'an area is around 740-770 yuan. The market price of 66% acid powder wet basis excluding tax in Beipiao area is 550-580 yuan. The ex-factory price of 66% acid powder including tax in Anshan area is 680-7 10 yuan. Shandong Big Mine lowered the ex-factory price of dry basis of acid powder with tax of 65-66% to 850-870 yuan, with a decrease of about 100 yuan, which obviously restricted the mining of local steel mills.

Pig iron market: nobody cares about the pig iron market. Especially the depression of iron and steel smelting market is obvious to all, and the depression of downstream industries also affects the operation of this cast iron market. Facing the large-scale shutdown and overhaul of blast furnaces in steel mills, the living space in iron and steel smelting market has become increasingly narrow, and the stock pressure in pig iron market is still heavy, and the extremely shrinking demand affects the operation of the whole market. In the first half of 2008, the pig iron market was no longer beautiful. The overall market still faces the threat of large-scale collapse. At present, the spot price of steelmaking market in Tangshan area is 2800-2850 yuan. The market price of steelmaking in Wu 'an area is 2850 yuan, and the market price of cast iron is 3700 yuan, down 100 yuan. The spot price of iron and steel smelting market in Linfen, Shanxi is 3050-3 100 yuan. The market price in iron and steel smelting, Zibo is 2,850-2,900 yuan, and the price of cast iron is around 3,700 yuan, with a decrease of around 70 yuan. The cash price of steelmaking in Anshan area is around 3,000 yuan, and the price of cast iron is around 3,850 yuan, which is around 50 yuan.

Scrap market: the scrap market is basically in a state of suspension. Affected by the rapid market decline, most traders either stopped selling or switched to other businesses. Steel mills take this opportunity to continuously reduce the purchase price of scrap steel, suppress the scrap steel market, and make the market as a whole return to the lower price in the past two years. The recent performance characteristics of the scrap steel market are as follows: first, the market price is too low and the supply is reduced; The second is that steel mills restrict procurement and resources cannot be sold; Third, steel mills frequently adjust prices, and the risk of purchasing losses is too great. Because of this, it is difficult for the scrap steel market to regain its prosperity in the short term, and the overall market will continue to operate weakly. At present, the market price of heavy waste in Beijing is 2250 yuan; The market price of heavy waste in Tangshan area is about 1900 yuan; The market price of heavy garbage in Nanjing is 2 100 yuan; The market price of heavy garbage in Dalian is 2200 yuan, down 100 yuan; The market price of heavy garbage in Anyang is about 2 100 yuan, which is about 500 yuan. Guangzhou heavy waste market price is 2300 yuan; The market price of heavy garbage in Jiangyin area is around 2000 yuan; The market price of heavy garbage in Changzhou area is 2 150 yuan; The market price of heavy waste in Linyi area 1950 yuan, down 100 yuan; The market price of heavy garbage in Shanghai is about 1950 yuan; The market price of heavy garbage in Shijiazhuang area is 2000 yuan, which is lower than that in 250 yuan. The market price of heavy garbage in Taiyuan area is 2 100 yuan; Markets in other parts of China remained basically stable.

Coke market: The market opened today, the domestic coke market continued to decline, and the market demand continued to shrink. Recently, the domestic steel market price has fallen sharply, especially after the introduction of Baosteel's price policy in the fourth quarter, small and medium-sized steel mills have stopped production and limited production. According to statistics, the production stoppage of steel mills exceeds 25% of the production capacity, which will also reduce the demand in the raw material market. According to the introduction of coking enterprises, the current production reduction is still large, even so, the coke inventory is still very large; Obviously, it is difficult to stabilize the market for the time being, which means that the decline of the coke market has fallen into a real "bottomless pit" and the market has lost the initiative to control the market outlook. The ex-factory price of secondary metallurgical coke in Hejin area is 2,000 yuan, and it is 2 100 yuan in Taiyuan 1900 yuan, Tangshan 1900 yuan, Shijiazhuang 1950 yuan and Wuxi. The ex-factory price of secondary metallurgical coke in Huaibei area is 2 100 yuan, in Nanjing area 2 150 yuan, in Wuhan area 1700 yuan, in Benxi area 1900 yuan, in Liaoyang area 2,000 yuan and in Qitaihe area 2,000 yuan.

Price adjustment of information steel mills in steel mills: on June 6th, 65438, Fujian Sanbao rebar was lowered 150 yuan; On June 16, Fujian Jinjiang Sanyi rebar was lowered to 200 yuan; On June 6 16, the rebar and carbon-bonded round steel in Anyang steel were lowered by 292 yuan/ton, the angle steel and channel steel were lowered by 35 yuan1yuan, and the medium plate was lowered by 35 yuan1yuan; On June 16, the angle steel and channel steel in Tianjin Zhao Bo were lowered by 250-300 yuan; On June 16, the bar of Hebei Qianjin was lowered to 50 yuan; On June 6th, 65438, Hebei Wenfeng Medium Plate was lowered 1200 yuan.

Trend of steel mills: Fujian Casey Iron and Steel Co., Ltd. plans to build a production base of high-quality steel plates in Jiangyin industrial concentration area; Cangzhou Zongheng Huanghua New District caster project was officially put into operation; Wugang's new million-ton medium plate production line project passed the national environmental protection acceptance; The hot rolling steckel project of Baosteel Special Steel Branch has entered the stage of equipment installation. The installation of large coil equipment in Baotou Steel was successfully completed, which laid the foundation for the smooth production of 10 production line. Nantong jinheng stainless steel pipe making co., ltd. was put into production ahead of schedule; The waste heat recovery project of converter flue gas in Tangshan Iron and Steel Company was put into operation; The "Zero Discharge of Steel Slag" project of Sangang Group began to be implemented; Baosteel plate company successfully smelted high strength and toughness container steel; Xingcheng Special Steel's "Research and Development of High Performance Spring Steel" passed the acceptance test successfully; The work of reducing the iron loss of the new 3# blast furnace in Panzhihua Iron and Steel Company has been carried out. Beitai Iron and Steel Group's hot rolled coil was recognized by four major classification societies; Shougang Jingtang Iron and Steel Plant postponed the production time to avoid losses; The repair of no.4 converter in Baosteel no.2 steelmaking plant is progressing smoothly; No.2 blast furnace of Sangang began to be overhauled; Zhujiang Steel Plant plans to overhaul the hot rolling production line for five days from June 65438+1October 65438+July, affecting the output of about 60,000 tons.