Recently, the live pig market is hot, ushered in a "three consecutive rises." Today, the average price of live pigs is 7.7 1 yuan/kg, up 0. 13 yuan from the previous month, and the live pigs have reached the highest price in stages.
From the point of origin, the price of pigs in Northeast China rose by 0. 1-0.2 yuan, and the price was 7.2-7.5 yuan/kg; 0.2 yuan rose in North China, and the mainstream price was 7.2-8 yuan/kg, among which the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei high-priced area entered the 8 yuan mark; Northwest rose by 0. 1 yuan, and the price was 6.8-7.6 yuan/kg.
The price of pigs in southern China continued to rise, while that in eastern China rose by 0. 1-0.2 yuan, with a price of 7.6-8. 1 yuan/kg. At present, pig prices in five provinces 1 cities have rushed to 8 yuan, and Fujian has entered the 8 yuan mark in an all-round way, which shows its high market.
Central China rose by 0. 1-0.3 yuan, and the mainstream price was 7.5-8.0 yuan/kg. Henan has risen by 0.3 yuan and is expected to surpass 8 yuan soon. Southwest rose by 0. 15-0.2 yuan, and the price was 7.5-7.75 yuan/kg; Guangdong and Guangxi rose 0.3-0.4 yuan, offering 7.5-9. 1 yuan/kg, with Guangdong as high as 8.6-9. 1 yuan/kg.
It can be seen that pig prices in many places have entered the 8 yuan mark one after another, which is also the highest price since 65438+February last year, and many pig farmers have begun to turn losses into profits.
The increase in pig prices is mainly due to the reluctance of pig farmers to sell, and the difficulty in purchasing slaughter enterprises has increased, which in turn supports the increase in the price of white pigs. Coupled with the tight supply in the wholesale market, the price of pigs in the producing areas has risen.
Due to the continuous rainfall in the southern region, pig slaughter has been affected, and slaughtering enterprises can only raise prices to collect pigs.
The reason why Guangdong rushed to the 9 yuan Pass was actually greatly influenced by the policy. Due to the prohibition of transfer from other provinces, it is difficult for slaughter enterprises to purchase, and pig enterprises are reluctant to sell, resulting in a sharp increase in pig prices.
However, while the price of pigs is rising, the bearish mentality of the market is increasing.
On the one hand, because the pig price keeps rising, the consumer demand can't keep up. Now the retail price of the market has risen above 15 yuan, which also inhibits consumption, which is not conducive to the subsequent market rise; On the one hand, with the smooth logistics in many places across the country, the supply of live pigs will enter a loose stage, which is difficult to support the rise in pig prices; Most importantly, with the increase of pig price, the price of piglets has risen to 500 yuan per pig, which also inhibits the pig farmers' willingness to make up the column, which will naturally limit the increase of pig price.
Therefore, the author believes that from mid-May, there will be a risk of a callback in pig prices, and everyone can choose to sell pigs.
02. The more the price of eggs falls, the worse it gets.
Since May, due to traffic problems, more laying hens have been newly opened, fewer chickens have been eliminated, and the egg production has increased.
Coupled with the hot weather, egg farmers are more willing to sell, and buyers began to take the opportunity to lower the price, making the price of eggs begin to fall.
From the inventory point of view, the average egg inventory is now 1.89 days, which is 0. 16 days more than the previous week. This means that the speed of eggs entering the market slows down, and the egg stocks in the producing areas begin to increase, making it easier for dealers to lower prices.
As far as today's price is concerned, the country is green, and the price is falling more and more. For example, Beijing fell to 4.73 yuan/kg; Guangzhou fell to 5.03-5. 1 yuan/kg; Dongguan fell 0. 1 1 yuan, and the price was 4.72 yuan/kg; Henan fell 0.03-0. 15 yuan, and the price of eggs was 4.7-4.85 yuan/kg; Shandong fell by 0.05-0. 15 yuan, and the price of eggs was 4.7 1-4.85 yuan/kg; Anhui fell by 0.05-0.07 yuan, and the price of eggs was 4.6-4.7 yuan/kg; Hebei fell to 4.62-4.7 yuan/kg.
Now the drop in egg prices is not only caused by the increase in inventory, but also related to the decline in sales in sales areas. Because of the high temperature, people's willingness to buy eggs declined, and because of insufficient consumption, the price of eggs continued to fall.
Of course, at present, the price of eggs is still on the high side, and the profit of egg farmers can still be maintained at about 50 cents, but it is expected that the price of eggs will still fall to about 4.2-4.5 yuan/kg.
03. The price of sheep has fallen sharply.
Sheep farmers have had a hard time recently. Seeing that the price of sheep continues to fall, there is nothing they can do.
For example, the price of fattening sheep in Tang County is 12- 12.6 yuan/kg, and some sheep farmers are in losses, and the local ewes are also reduced to 10- 10.5 yuan/kg.
The price of sheep in Nanyang is 12.5 yuan/kg, and even goat has dropped from 19-20 yuan/kg to 15.5 yuan/kg, and 30 kg male lamb has also dropped to 600 yuan.
In Weinan, Shaanxi, 30 kg male lambs are as low as 580 yuan, and female lambs are as low as 5 10 yuan.
The reason why the price of sheep has dropped is mainly due to the sluggish consumption of mutton in the market, and there is little demand for it. A mutton vendor said that he could sell 1 sheep in these two days, but now he has only sold half in three days.
As for the next price of sheep, considering that the cost of raising sheep is 12- 12.5 yuan/kg, it is difficult to continue to fall, but the overall price is still weak.
04, corn domineering rebound.
Judging from the corn market in recent days, North China and Northeast China are booming, and they are beginning to rise domineering, and are expected to sprint the previous 1.5 yuan pass again.
For example, Shandong corn generally rose by 0.5-0. 1 min, Changle Xuan Ying rose to 1.525 yuan/kg, Chenming starch rose to 1.44 yuan/kg, Pingyuan Puyang rose to 1.432 yuan/kg and Binzhou Wang Xi rose to/kloc.
Northeast markets have also reached the 1.4 yuan mark, such as 1.4 1 yuan/kg in Kailu Wang Yu, 1.395 yuan/kg in Tongliao Meihua and 1.34 yuan/kg in Suihua Yu Xiang.
The reason why the corn market has risen is actually that deep enterprises have low inventory and began to buy corn strongly. There is not much surplus grain at the grassroots level, and traders sit on the ground and start at a price. As a result, the corn market has risen again and again, and it is expected that there will still be a wave of rising space.