1, the classification of the banker
Before analyzing the process of making a manor, we must first understand the classification of bankers, because different types of bankers have different trading methods. It should also be noted that the level gap between bookmakers is also relatively large. According to the banker's identity (or source of funds), it can be divided into brokerage village, listed company village, social hot money village (so-called Nomura) and mixed village; According to the operation cycle, it can be divided into short-term village, middle-line village and long-term village; According to the amplitude and amplitude of the trend, it can be divided into strong villages and weak villages; According to the relationship between the stock trend and the broader market, it can be divided into homeopathic villages and anti-market villages; According to the success of the banker, it can be divided into profit-making villages and quilt villages.
Here I need to talk about my definition of banker. People often think that a large amount of money and a large number of positions are bookmakers, which is inaccurate. Bankers need to have two special points: the ability to control the trend of stock prices over a period of time; Consciously operate in the opposite direction, that is, when you want to buy, you have to choose stocks. The so-called stock selection is an overview, in fact, it means that you do some preparatory work before. Specifically, it mainly includes stock selection, public relations, fund mobilization and account arrangement.
Stock selection is the most important basic link in the whole process of building a village. Generally speaking, when deciding whether to open a stock, the following factors should be considered:
1, circulation In general, unless there are special themes or needs, the dealer has strict requirements on circulation. It will increase the difficulty of raising and distributing funds and chips, but it is too small to allow large funds to enter and exit, which is easy to expose itself. 30 million to 70 million is an acceptable approximate range;
2. The stock price is in the American stock market, and the stock price has no meaning to the trend of the stock. In China, the stock of 100 yuan has not been traded since 10, and this restriction was not broken until 2000. There are almost no stocks below 3 yuan in these two years. This is a strange phenomenon and a manifestation of speculative market. What I want to say here is that when the price of a stock is low, even if there is no performance and theme, the dealer is confident to do it. When the price of a stock is too high, especially above 20 yuan, the dealer will not open the position easily. Once it is sideways, the possibility of shipment is very high.
3. Theme: including realistic theme (such as delivery ability) and potential theme that can be designed; Including performance, asset structure, restructuring potential and cost, and geographical location. What I want to emphasize here is that the theme is not the most important. As long as the pre 1 and 2 conditions are good, the possibility of being selected is very high. In fact, many themes are also designed temporarily according to external conditions, just like a large number of companies touch the net in the "5 19" market. Looking back now, how many of them are serious? The reason why the company's location is emphasized is mainly to avoid supervision, and also to easily obtain the cooperation between local governments and listed companies (if necessary). This is also one of the reasons why the frontier is easy to produce bull stocks;
4. Other factors: such as shareholder's equity structure, whether there is an old banker (or a big position), etc. Generally speaking, the situation of the first 100 shareholders of the attacked listed company will be carefully analyzed and planned. Before opening a position, a banker always needs to find out the background of the first 100 shareholders of the target company in various ways, which is also the so-called "blacklist" that the banker will always pay attention to in different stages in the future.
Sell in time to stabilize the stock price; When you want to sell, you must buy to raise the stock price. The following introduces the characteristics of different types of bookmakers according to the cycle classification.
Short-term bookmakers are characterized by paying more attention to potential than price, and do not require positions. It can be roughly divided into two types. One is speculation and rebound. Buy 1 ~ 2 days when the market is close to the low point, and then pull up quickly. When the majority of retail investors also began to grab the rebound, they quickly went out. One kind is hype, which boosts the grain immediately before or after the news comes out, and then continues to rise rapidly and leave quickly.
Mid-line bookmakers often look at an intermediate market or the theme of a stock in the broader market. Mid-line dealers often fry dishes. Mid-line bookmakers often open positions at the bottom 1 ~ 2 months, and the positions are not very high. Then they add positions with the help of the market or favorable conditions, save costs and facilitate shipment through the linkage effect of sectors, and then quickly go out in a short time. The middle-line bookmaker relies on things beyond his own ability, so the risk is relatively large and the operation is naturally cautious. Under normal circumstances, a 30% increase is too much.
Long-term bookmakers often look at the performance of stocks. They enter the market as investors. Because the long-term banker has strong financial strength, sufficient confidence and long operation time, you can clearly see eating goods, washing dishes, pulling up and shipping in the trend pattern. The so-called "dark horse" is generally produced from Changzhuang stock. One of the most important features of Changchangzhuang is its location. Because it has been held for a long time and the expected increase is very large, the banker is required to buy all the stocks as much as possible. In fact, bankers are also very willing to do so. In this way, the stock price has doubled from the bottom, but the dealer is still eating. The process of shipping is also long, and it will be thrown out at no cost later.
Public relations public relations work is related to success or failure and is very important. It is hard to imagine that a banker without the cooperation of listed companies can succeed alone. And in many cases, the banker's funds and the listed company's funds are tied together. There are many ways of public relations, so I won't discuss them here because they are sensitive.
Fund scheduling and account arrangement
Need to divide positions, one is to avoid the legal restrictions on the shareholding ratio (5% for a single account) and supervision, and the other is to facilitate specific operations (such as cross-checking). The general practice is to hang several sub-accounts under a main account to share funds. The number of accounts opened varies according to different circulation disks. Generally speaking, 100-300 account is a common number of accounts. For example, according to the report that Shaanxi banker manipulated Seagull Fund, banker used about 200 accounts.
(of investors) buy in
First of all, a stock has different makers in different periods, and even there can be multiple makers at the same time. These situations will inevitably lead to the trend is difficult to analyze, so here we mainly introduce Changzhuang, because each transaction step of Changzhuang lasts for a long time and has a large increase, which is the main goal of the follow-up.
Always remember that Changzhuang only buys low prices and will not chase high prices. Doing a protracted war is like fighting a big battle. They are most concerned about price, followed by quantity, and finally time. Do not consider stocks with inappropriate chip structure at all.
When the banker started to open a position, the stock price was far from the lower edge of the nearest transaction-intensive area, generally above 30%.
The standard method of opening a position mainly includes five stages: the platform before bottoming out-bottoming out-the platform after bottoming out-pushing up the position-the second platform.
Platform before bottoming: that is, take the initiative to buy hedging. When the market fell, the dealer began to take over the meat cutting plate. But if it is simply sideways, no one will sell it, so it will continue to fluctuate, and there is no big Yang line to avoid short-term customer attention.
Bottom: When the market bottoms out, the popularity is often the lowest. At this time, if the stock price falls below the platform, it will attract more meat cutting plates.
Platform after bottoming out: After bottoming out, it will rise slightly, generally exceeding the platform before bottoming out, so that all meat cutters are empty and unwilling to buy back, so that the dealer will have enough time to continue to open positions. Because the stock price is still at a low level, the confidence of shareholders is still insufficient, and there are still many meat cutters. However, with the extension of the platform, the mentality of investors has stabilized and there are concerns about buying. So in the future, the dealer attracts less chips. When the dealer felt that it was not cost-effective to continue selling, he began to push up.
Pushing up the position: This trend of pushing up the position is not small, but it is large. Bankers often avoid the sight of short-term customers and it is difficult to find it on the increase list. Although the bottom has been sideways for a long time, the dealer is eating more food at this stage.
Platform 2: After a period of pushing up, the stock price has risen to a certain extent, and the technical indicators have reached a high level. Investors are no longer optimistic about this stock. At this time, it is the time to wash the profitable chips. No matter what platform it is, there are not many people who are optimistic. Bankers can do it according to their mood, sometimes for months. The banker felt that the position was enough and began to enter the pull-up stage. Depending on the distribution of chips and the appetite of the dealer, there may be a third, fourth and fifth platform.
Several special methods of opening positions 1, hidden bottom. Bankers only care about eating goods, not pulling stock prices. The stock has been at the bottom for a long time, which makes people feel very bear. At that time, the banker will suddenly rise sharply, which is what the stock critics say, "how long is the horizontal and how high is the vertical." You can look at the increase of Shenzhen Science and Technology in April 1996. Can you find out when the dealer entered the market? Remember, it's not about pulling food up.
2. improve the position. Mainly the behavior of the mid-line banker. That is, ignore the previous stages, directly pull up and enter the second platform stage. In this way, the cost of the banker is high, but the position is not very high, which is not cost-effective.
3. Change villages/take villages. That is, the latter banker directly took over the stock from the previous banker. Because it is purely personal behavior, there are often inside information, so it is difficult to find the law.
Common methods to trigger sales
If you want to open a position, you must trigger a sell. Attracting selling depends on time first, news second and technology third. Not including the price, of course. As long as you are willing to pay a good price, others will definitely sell it to you. It is the big-headed banker who builds a position at a high price.
The first depends on the time. It sounds a little strange. In fact, it is not that the dealer should be patient, which involves the chip flow theory. A person has just bought a stock, and it is always difficult to accept the reality, and it is even more difficult to cut the meat and sell it, so "shock" is also a white shock. Over time, the psychological pain gradually weakened and the stock price gradually accepted. Finally, as long as there is a little reason, the stock will sell. This is the power of time. On the other hand, as long as most people make a profit, they will sell it soon. So if you want to be a stock, the first thing to do is to let the stock stay at a low level for a long time, and the chips at a high level will naturally fall. No matter who answers, as long as you give a small profit, you will naturally sell it. In recent years, the amount of social hot money has increased, but few experienced traders. So you can find a lot of penniless stocks that are unwilling to give retail investors the opportunity to make money. Most of them are operated by this kind of "hot-blooded youth". As a result, their own costs are getting higher and higher, and their market image is getting worse and worse, which makes the final shipment difficult. The so-called "waiting" is actually looking for it. On the whole, if there are qualified stocks, that is, chips are well distributed, you can enter the village.
The second is to watch the news. Almost all big bull stocks, looking back, are all bad news flying all over the sky in the stage of opening positions, and investors with insufficient strength must be scared away. And the list goes on. For example, at the end of 1999, after China's entry into WTO, the technology stocks plummeted, and then the bookmakers quietly entered the market at a low level. Apart from this bad news, the most important thing is performance. If there is a loss or a bad report, it will suddenly stop and many people will sell. Moreover, for a long time after that, shareholders' mentality was very bad, and they would sell if there was a slight shock. There are two ways to rely on news, one is to dig up topics, and the other is to create news. The latter is becoming more and more popular now, mostly in performance, just like football, which can create a level of "playing hard to get".
The third depends on the technique. Most people value the medium-term trend. Manipulation is divided into medium-term form, daily K-line combination and intra-day operation. In order to create a false breakthrough in the medium term, we should "oscillate" sideways in a reasonable position and pay attention to the timing of pushing up. On the daily K-line combination, we should pay attention to various forms and moderate amplitude, and often do bear trap. The operation in the festival can't give people a strong impression, and you can't blindly sideways. It is necessary to create amplitude and promote the transaction. Always use some tricks, such as selling pressure plates, suddenly smashing plates, closing positions and so on.
Push-ups and open positions
After the completion of the warehouse, the dealer saw that there was little selling, or because of external factors such as market and performance, the stock price was not allowed to remain at a low level and began to push up the stock price. The dealer calculated the start time, end time, end price and midway trend of the stock price in advance, so its trend will not go with the flow, and it has its fixed trend and characteristics. Because the dealer is most confident at this stage, most of the chips at the bottom have settled, and the selling pressure is light. There is almost no dead knock at this stage. Although the increase is limited, it is quite cost-effective to make money at this stage.
At present, the ascending channel is the most common trend, and few platforms are built. The rising speed is closely related to the historical trend of the stock, and of course it is also based on the dealer's push time. However, once the speed is determined, it will not change much. The obvious example is the trend of 1 1 from May to this year. This is obviously different from the pull-up stage.
In terms of volume, it is generally flat, even if it is enlarged, it is not obvious. On the time-sharing trend, the transaction is not very active. There are few rapid rises and few continuous rises. There can be a pull-up in early trading, and then it is mostly sideways without shock. There is nothing special about the decline. It should be noted that excluding the banker's counter-knock, the transaction volume is very small when it falls. Some bookmakers are impatient and don't like to add positions, so they push the stock price to the target position with one-time continuous pull-up, and then open positions sideways. The cost is higher, but the opening time can be shortened. With this form of stock, it is easy to infer the starting time, and the increase is often very large.
Pay attention to the difference between pushing up a position and pulling up a position. Most of the positions that push up are rising slowly, and the trend is banded, and most people report that it is difficult to make money; But no matter how slow the pulling speed is, it should be above 5% every week, and it will continue to rise. Simply pushing the stock price to the target position, its trend is no different from pulling up. More importantly, the position of the stock price. If it is at a historical high and has been sideways for a long time, it must be a high position. If it is low, pay attention to the size of the bottom. If the bottom is big, the dealer may not wash the dishes and pull them up directly.
Gaotai only appears in powerful stocks that want to completely control the market.
Because retail selling is time-related, that is, in the short term, no matter how big the increase or shock is, there will always be many people who will not sell because of subjective or objective reasons. If you just want to reach the super-high position, the only way is to wait. Take advantage of time and absorb patiently.
Several special forms of warehouse opening I. high platform
High-rise platforms generally appear near the highest-level dense areas in recent three years. According to the dealer's habit, it may be slightly higher or lower than this position. The time of sideways is generally very long, more than 3 months, otherwise the purpose of sideways cannot be achieved. The overall trading volume is relatively low, and the intraday trading volume is sparse, sometimes only tens of thousands of shares. Some bookmakers don't like trading, so they let the stock go with the flow and pull it near his predetermined low point. Some bookmakers hope to take advantage of the intraday trend to eat more chips and occasionally put a huge amount, resulting in a big yinxian. In fact, time is the main determinant, and too many shocks will attract short-term buying.
In the early stage of the high platform, it is very similar to the head, so the banker often touches the low point in the early stage. The late sideways are mostly above this point. The analysis of this situation mainly depends on the positions already held by the dealer and the volume of the head. If the difference is much, it may be sideways. The price of the sideways is also very important. If it is much higher than the previous high, it should be shipped, and it is the same if it is too low.
The high platform needs to be distinguished from the delivery platform and the relay platform. And the difference between the shipping platform, mainly depends on the trend of the day, because there are often false breakthroughs on the K-line. The relay platform is sometimes a position, because the stock hit a new high, and its breakthrough power is incomparable to the high platform.
drink one's fill
After opening a position, it is to pull up.
Compared with Jiancang, there are two characteristics, one is the rapid rise, and the other is the large increase, which is the psychological decision of farmers. Therefore, everyone who shares stocks wants to hold a high position, which is the so-called "sedan chair".
For analysts, the biggest difference between pulling up and eating goods is that there are pre-intensive areas for reference when opening positions, and the price is easier to grasp. However, when pulling up, the stock price has opened a new era without a frame of reference. Therefore, although most stocks have a great increase when they are high, there are very few people who have earned all of them.
The trend characteristics and increase of the pull-up are completely determined by the banker and are basically not affected by any external factors. However, pulling up is only the middle section between building a warehouse and pulling a boat, and there is no clear boundary at both ends, which is easy to make mistakes.
During the pull-up, some stocks also stopped, that is, changed platforms. It may be that the dealer is waiting for the opportunity, or it may be that the dealer's shipment is unfavorable, and it is necessary to continue to pull up.
In the process of raising prices, some dealers also sell some goods, which are two concepts with lightening positions. Its main purpose is to spread the price difference, reduce the pull-up cost and push up the cost of retail positions. This process is necessary for stocks with low positions. Some stocks are nicknamed "Bulldozers", and the daily line goes up every day. But every day, the dealer buys in the morning, pulls up in the middle and sells at night to maintain the stability of the position. Some are going up and down day by day, and the dealer can buy them back at a price lower than the selling price, so that when the goods are finally shipped, they can earn more profits than all positions are not operated, but the absolute increase of this stock is not large.
If the dealer holds enough positions, almost all stocks will have a straight-line pull-up process. For record-breaking stocks, this process is at least 30%. If we can grasp this process, we will reach the detached realm of long-term midline and short-term midline, that is, super masters, not short-term masters. I have calculated that in that era when there was no stop loss, if all the big gains that could be found and bought were superimposed, the annual profit could reach thousands of times. As long as we seize the opportunity of110, we can be proud of the forest.
Pull-up pause
The pause of pulling up is what we often call "sorting out" and "adjusting". The reason for the suspension is partly because the market has peaked or improved, and the dealer took the opportunity to ship and earn the difference; Some are sorted out because the floating chips are not washed, which pushes up the cost of retail positions and facilitates the pulling of boats in the future; Some are because the time for shipment has not yet arrived. In order to leave some space for the final shipment and create a "support", we should first sideways at a high position; Some bookmakers originally wanted to be the leader, but the shipment was unfavorable. The more stocks they earn in their pockets, the more they have to pull. Looking back, it becomes a pause.
Adjustment can be divided into callback and consolidation. A callback means that the stock price peaks for a short time, then falls, bottoms out for a short time, and then continues to rise. Consolidation is sideways, that is, the stock price basically fluctuates up and down in a relatively small range within a certain period of time, or several callbacks are tied together. But whether it is callback or sorting, it is a relay form, and the bottom and head are not called adjustment or sorting.
There are two kinds of consolidation, one is to keep building positions (high platform) and the other is to make a difference. The latter is mainly introduced here.
Consolidation is composed of many high and low shocks. If you do well, you can sell high and buy low every time, but because of the small range, the price difference is very small; And if you don't grasp it well, it will turn into selling low and buying high, which is often the case with stocks that fail to ship.
In the early stage of consolidation, there will be a number of short-term purchases to chase up. When it falls, many previous profit-taking discs will be sold. In many cases, this price difference alone is enough. If it is not enough, you can pull it again and smash it again. Every time I pull, many short-term stocks enter, and every time I smash, some profitable stocks are sold. When the sideways time reaches a certain length, the initial chase begins to cut the meat.
A successful banker must keep a certain proportion of positions. If the position is too high, he will become unsociable and have to knock on the door all day, which is very painful. Therefore, once a position is opened, most bookmakers will not increase their positions, but will gradually reduce their positions as the stock price rises. Therefore, the understanding of sideways should be to increase retail costs, reduce selling pressure, and make a price difference if possible.
I'm most afraid of people who can't shake. Once the promotion period is reached, these people will sit in sedan chairs for nothing and take a lot of profits from the bookmakers. Once it reaches the top, it starts to run out, and the banker needs financing. Without saying anything, it is possible to be quilted. Therefore, on the way up, we must change the way to let them out. Bankers are not afraid of short-term customers, who have little appetite and courage. It can be washed out with a little skill.
Therefore, the purpose of consolidation is to make the profit-taking disk come out and get new short-term funds, thus increasing the average market holding cost. Generally, it is to sell first and then buy, so that the banker can take the initiative in capital. Even if it is not done well, the purchase price is higher than the sale price, at least it can guarantee the position and continue to operate. This is the same as paying first and then delivering. The reason why we don't turn sideways is mainly to maintain the confidence of shareholders, because the bookmakers still need their help; On the other hand, the turnover rate of the highest sideways is high, which saves time compared with callback. In addition, once the stock price falls to a certain extent, the mid-line will come in after the low market, and these people are more difficult than the previous profit-taking market.
The observation of consolidation mainly focuses on its amplitude and moving speed. Floating chip washing is characterized by large amplitude, consistent amplitude, constant speed, gradual decrease in trading volume and short sideways time. /kloc-It is rare to wash the chips sideways for more than 0/month. Because of the long time, retail investors will hand over all their chips. If the amplitude gradually increases or decreases and the speed slows down, you should be careful, no matter what the banker's purpose is, it is easy to have a callback. As for the sideways for too long, retail investors will hand over all their chips, which is a failure. Either the dealer regards it as continuing to speculate after opening the position, or the dealer simply gives up.