As predicted by previous analysis, the destocking of Mid-Autumn Festival food factory has basically ended, and all parts of the country have officially entered the price correction period. It can be expected that the spot price will be difficult to boost before the two-section terminal consumption inventory. The spot entered the callback, and the futures technology was empty. 180 1 It is reasonable for the contract to adopt short-term rebound strategy. Taking 4 100 as the stop loss position, it is relatively safe to rebound to a position close to 4 100.
However, while shorting in the short term, don't be too bearish. The author has always stressed that the vicinity of 3800-4000 below the technical surface is the main battlefield of the previous 180 1 contract long-short fight, and this position should have strong support. Secondly, the future price of futures trading. When the spot price is still at a high level, futures have been sharply adjusted back. 180 1 How much space is left below is debatable.
At the same time, there are different opinions on whether the spot is a callback or a change in trend. Personally, I always think that it is arbitrary to say that the price of eggs is turning around without any evidence that the stock is increasing. At this time of the year, the price of eggs tends to fall with the temporary calm of consumption, but it is phased. The contract of 180 1 covers the whole second half of the year, so futures investors and old chickens don't have to panic too much.
To sum up: I believe that short-term operation will be maintained in the short term, but we must fast-forward and fast-out, not greedy, and stop immediately once there is a strong rebound. Similarly, as the price gradually approaches the main support below, long-term operators can consider arranging multiple orders in batches on dips.
In addition, I would like to remind the breeding peers to treat egg futures with a correct attitude, not to be afraid of and resist futures, and not to believe those remarks that demonize futures. That's just ignorance! Futures is the result of social financialization, the inevitability of industrial development and the general trend. Futures is just a financial tool, which can be used for speculation, gambling and hedging. The emergence of egg futures will further widen the gap within the industry and accelerate the survival of the fittest! When ignorant people in the industry are still clamoring for closing futures, large enterprises and large households have hedged futures to avoid price risks, while ignorant people have only one way when prices fall: die. Of course, you can also scold or indulge in it.
Pay attention to the official account of WeChat: Mr. Egg 000, and publish the latest national egg prices and industry trends every day.