As the first batch of stock investors in New China, Liu Junluo has a glorious past. With the background of princelings (the second son of Liu Bojian), tens of millions of assets and extensive knowledge, he can be said to be a complete playboy. Liu Junluo will not only make money, but also enjoy life very much. He is the representative of the first batch of investors in China, and also one of the earliest big households. He always wears clean clothes and goes by car. Entertainment is also inviting some friends to play golf or something.
However, a sudden change in the 1990s brought Liu Junluo to the bottom, leaving only more than 300 stray cats living in dilapidated buildings and surrounded by their families.
If Liu Junluo lived in the United States, he must be an important member of the Federal Reserve today. If Liu Junluo was born in Japan, the Ministry of Finance must be his stage. Unfortunately (I can only use this word to describe it), Liu Junluo in China can only live on the edge of the system like a dancer.
Liu Junluo now lives in a dangerous building on the outskirts of Shanghai. Every day, in addition to taking a bus for two or three hours to the library to look up information and write articles, the rest of the time is to help my girlfriend take care of those stray cats picked up from outside. Shanghai is flooded with stray cats. They adopted them eight years ago. In addition to taking care of these 200 cats, he has to deal with some local hooligans who come to extort money. To this end, he spent all the savings he earned when he made futures, and later sold his car and house. With stray cats, I moved my family to a dangerous house in the suburbs.
The only room on the second floor of Xiaolou that accepts cats maintains the hope of 300 cats. Buying food for cats every day requires 600 yuan, male cat 50 yuan and female cat 100 yuan. There are still several cats in the hospital. The monthly expenditure of 20,000 to 30,000 yuan is supported by a laptop computer with wireless Internet access in the room. Liu Junluo, a foreign exchange speculator, is fascinated by macroeconomic research and keeps writing economic reviews. Now I'm going to speculate on futures in the sea again, and I'm doing it on the Shanghai Stock Exchange all day and night.
Look at Mr. Liu Junluo's prediction of China and even the global economic situation since 2002. Everything is changing from prediction to reality. Terrible, really terrible.
As early as 200 1, Liu Junluo wrote to the central bank, asking it not to use dollars as foreign exchange reserves, but to use gold instead. Unfortunately, for an economist outside the system, how can China's top management listen? In the following years, the price of gold soared, while the dollar continued to fall. If Chairman Dai had been replaced by Zhou Xiaochuan, officials in this system (the son of President Jiang's old boss, Zhou Jiannan, and the protege of Premier Zhu) gave everyone in China today a big red envelope. Of the estimated 600 billion dollars, 400 billion is gold, an increase of 200%. That is, 800 billion US dollars × 8 = 6.4 trillion yuan, and the per capita income is nearly 5,000 yuan. Now, all the money is given to Americans!
The tragedy continues. ......
On this day, the price of gold displayed on the screen was $708/ounce, and London copper also exceeded $8,000. Liu Junluo took out a letter to me, which was a reply from the People's Bank of China in September 2004. It reads: "Your letter to Chairman Wu Bangguo was forwarded to our branch office by the General Office of the National People's Congress Standing Committee (NPCSC) through the Shanghai Letters and Calls Office. The reply is as follows: 1. Exchange rate and inflation have always been the focus of attention and research by the People's Bank of China. However, since China's reform has entered a crucial stage, every reform is a systematic project. Therefore, specific events must be solid and solid. Second, your views on the world financial system and China's financial reform provide us with good ideas. We will learn from them in future research and practice and recommend your opinions to relevant departments. "
And the result? "Let it be." No one took the initiative to find Liu Junluo, and his later economic comments became more and more difficult to publish. The last time, a newspaper invited a manuscript, and Liu Junluo also wrote an article, which changed its name when it was published. Since Mr. and Mrs. Liu Junluo started to keep cats, the foreign exchange expert who often plays golf has lived a life of no fixed abode. Take a long-distance bus to the city to check information and write articles every day.
When Liu Junluo was looking for information in Tongji University, he saw that the students had cut off the cat's tail and were doing an experiment to see how long the cat could last. Without saying anything, he grabbed the cat and didn't want to spend more money. He called a taxi for the cat and took it to the hospital.
In 2000, when the so-called mainstream economists began to frantically promote privatization, control the discourse space and earn appearance fees everywhere, Liu Junluo put forward the view of "second gold standard" and called on the state to establish a monetary reserve payment system composed of important basic commodities and resources such as gold, oil, farmland and copper to fight against a cruel dollar depreciation and global inflation. Gold will revive under dollar inflation published in China Economic Times in early 2003 predicted that gold would rise sharply at 1970s. At that time, he boldly predicted that the value of gold would reach at least $3,000 per ounce. If you search for information about storing gold on the Internet, you will find that only Liu Junluo calls for storing gold, and only he is so bold and confident. At first, when he contributed, the newspaper editor even laughed at his mental illness.
"Those economists, holding the economic theory of the United States in the forties and fifties, thought they could understand the current macro-economy. If you don't even understand the basic concepts of global current account, capital balance and capital flow, please shut up. " Liu Junluo predicted that gold would soar, and global inflation was based on Greenspan's monetary policy of restraining savings and high deficit. At that time, the debt owed by the United States to other countries reached 40% of its GDP, while the budget deficit of the Bush administration increased year by year. According to traditional economics, the United States will become a moderately developed country sooner or later, but Liu Junluo doesn't think so. He saw the ability of Americans to print money. Asian central banks hold more than $2 trillion in bonds, which is actually just a pile. We in China can't afford to buy 300 dollars a barrel of oil, but for Americans, it's just a problem that can be solved by printing money.
He has written many books, such as How Far Is the Great Depression in China, China House Prices in a Multi-faceted World, The Kidnapped China Economy: Financial War in a Multi-faceted World, Higher Cultural Control, The Greatness of the Financial World, The Middle Class of China and Yeltsin, and The Babel of China Arbitrated by Euro Gold.