The pig price in 2023 may keep rising, but the increase will not be too big. The main reason for the shortage of live pigs is "less pigs and less meat", because the stock of fertile sows continues to decline, the work of de-capacity of live pigs has been completed, and the enthusiasm for replenishment is low, so it is difficult to restore the production capacity of live pigs. With the recovery of catering, tourism and other industries in various places, the demand for pork has also increased, so the price of pigs may rise in 2023, but the increase will not be too great.

"Pig cycle" plays an important role in the study of pig market, which is generally reflected in the cycle law of 3-4 years. The core index of "pig cycle" is the number of fertile sows. If the stock of fertile sows fluctuates greatly, the pig price will start the next cycle, combined with the seasonal "small cycle" fluctuation of that year.

Introduction to the rising factors of live pig prices;

1, secondary fattening phenomenon. As the name implies, this phenomenon refers to the secondary growth and development of pigs. In order to get more profits, farmers will ripen the unsold pigs for secondary development. Pigs produced in this way will have more meat. It stands to reason that this practice will increase pork production and the price of pork will naturally decrease. But in fact, the second fattening will test the skills of pig farmers, which is likely to lead to the loss of pigs.

2. The phenomenon of transferring fat to mothers is similar to the second fattening, except that pig farmers will continue to feed sows that should have been sold to produce more pigs, but in this way, the pork circulating in the market will decrease, the price of pork will also rise, and farmers will find that rare things are more expensive, so they will adjust the price of pigs in this way to earn profits.