However, the increase in pig prices in June exceeded expectations.
Compared with the low point in mid-March, the cumulative increase has exceeded 70%.
How much can the pig price go up in July? Specific situation analysis:
The consumption situation is general, and the price of slaughter enterprises has risen again.
According to market data, the national average price of live pigs is 10.22 yuan/kg.
Among them, pig prices rose in 2 provinces, fell in 8 provinces, and others were stable.
By region:
Northeast China is stable and declining, Heilongjiang is stable, and the mainstream price is 9.8- 10.4 yuan/kg; Jilin and Liaoning fell by 0. 1 yuan/kg, and the mainstream price was 10.0- 10.5 yuan/kg.
Weak adjustment in North China, stability in Inner Mongolia, mainstream price of 9.9- 10.3 yuan/kg; Shanxi is stable; Hebei fell by 0. 1 yuan/kg, and the mainstream price was 10.0- 10.6 yuan/kg.
There is a steady increase in the northwest, and Shaanxi has increased by 0. 1 yuan/kg, and the mainstream price is 9.9- 10.3 yuan/kg; Gansu is stable.
Central China is adjusted within a narrow range, and Henan is stable. Mainstream price 10.0- 10.4 yuan/kg; The two lakes are stable, and the mainstream price is 9.9- 10.4 yuan/kg; Jiangxi is stable.
East China is weak and stable, with Shandong down 0. 1 yuan/kg, and the mainstream price 10.0- 10.5 yuan/kg; Jiangsu and Anhui are stable, and the mainstream price is 10.2- 10.8 yuan/kg; Fujian is stable, and the mainstream price is 10.2- 10.7 yuan/kg.
South China has undergone great ups and downs, while Guangdong is stable. Mainstream price 10.7- 1 1.2 yuan/kg; Guangxi fell by 0. 1 yuan/kg, and the mainstream price was 10.0- 10.4 yuan/kg.
There is a steady decline in the southwest, and Chongqing is stable. The mainstream price is 9.6- 10.0 yuan/kg; Sichuan fell 0. 1 yuan/kg, and the mainstream price was 9.6- 10.0 yuan/kg; Yunnan is stable; Guizhou fell 0. 1 yuan/kg.
Pig futures rise above 2 1000, will pig prices rise accordingly?
In terms of pig futures, today's main contract exceeded 2 1 1,000 yuan/ton, a record high.
At the close, the main contract LH2209 closed at 2 1.375 yuan/ton, up 2.74%.
Judging from the difficulty of collecting pigs by slaughter enterprises, it is still difficult for slaughter enterprises to buy pigs today.
At the beginning of the month, the scale field was obviously reduced, and rainy weather in some areas made it more difficult for slaughter enterprises to collect pigs.
However, in the off-season of seasonal consumption, the demand for pork has not improved significantly.
Because the increase of pork is not as high as the increase of pig price, slaughtering enterprises generally lose money.
The market supply and demand game is obvious, and it is expected that the market will be dominated by narrow adjustment in the near future.
In addition, according to the survey data of research institutions, the amount of slaughter in July will increase slightly compared with that in June. In the absence of obvious improvement in consumption, it is expected that the increase in July will be less than that in June.
It is suggested to collect the slaughter situation of second fattening and pre-fattening pigs.
What source: what original author supports the agricultural market package:
Disclaimer: This article only represents personal views. The analytical information or opinions expressed in this article are for reference only and do not constitute advertisements. In any case, it does not constitute suggestions for anyone's production, operation, sales, trading or investment.
Our company does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of other people's information quoted in this article, and any risks, losses and responsibilities arising from any actual production, investment and other decisions or any other actions made by anyone based on this information or viewpoint are borne by themselves, which has nothing to do with our company.
Original copyright statement: any form of reprinting must ensure the integrity of the article, and the author, author unit and source information shall not be deleted.
Tongmingbao, which supports agriculture, reserves all rights in this respect.