See the information of futures market trend from the disk, I hope it is useful to everyone.
Looking at the futures market trend from the disk (1) at the opening stage;
Generally refers to the first summary in the morning or the first hour after the opening. Its main time should be the first 30 minutes of the opening. The factors affecting the opening stage include the trend of the US market yesterday, as well as the latest news in foreign markets and domestic markets such as Tokyo and Singapore.
It can be said that with the influence of external market trends and the characteristics of domestic trends, market players will make a reasonable opening price and begin to conceive operations. After that, as the main force's wait-and-see attitude gradually weakens, the market will turn to the stage of self-digestion and initially reach a consensus.
(2) Recovery phase:
The resumption stage includes most of the time from 10: 30 to 2: 30. The trend of the continuation stage is completely determined by the main operating style and operating ideas of the market. This trend is hard to change without extreme changes.
The trend in the continuation stage can be divided into two situations: one is trend potential and the other is no trend potential. A trend refers to the situation that you walked out of your own independent trend that day; No trend trend refers to the situation that there is no independent trend on that day.
1, there is a trend:
Trend potential can be divided into two situations, one is unilateral market, and the other is volatile market.
Unilateral market refers to the situation that the market trend is unilateral. In a unilateral market, the rhythm of the trend is basically determined by a company. He has been continuing his campaign to grasp the pulse of the market. Where to open a position, where to suppress it, and where to leave the market, the market action appears to be in order, and the other party is completely in a passive situation and has no power to fight back.
The turnover of unilateral market will be much larger than usual, which is due to the expansion of market price range and the active participation of short-term funds. When this happens, it will be a comprehensive test of the main force from operation method to capital operation.
Oscillating market also belongs to the trend, which means that no one in the market can grasp the initiative of the disk, long and short sides come and go, neither side can give in to the other side, neither side can obviously be in the absolute upper hand, and the price fluctuates within a range under competition.
2. No trend:
No trend means that there is almost no activity in the main funds in the market in the continuation stage, and almost all the transactions are small and medium-sized funds. In this case, due to the lack of the participation of the main funds, the market turnover has shrunk dramatically, the price change is extremely depressed, and the market has no clear market trend.
No-trend trend is more common in soybeans, which stems from the interaction between domestic soybeans and the American market. The changes in the American market have been fully reflected in the opening stage. However, if there is no special change in the American market and the main domestic players have no further plans, the market will also adopt the strategy of changing constantly, which will lead to a trend-free pattern in the soybean market.
(3) The final stage:
The last stage refers to the last 30 minutes of the transaction, which can be divided into two trends: 15 minutes.
Before 15 minutes, the market will still be affected by the trend of the continuation stage, which can be regarded as the continuation of the continuation stage. If there is a trend in the resumption stage, the price fluctuation and volume change at this stage will be more intense, and it may form the most active trading range throughout the day. If there is no trend in the continuation stage, the market will wake up from the downturn and turn into a gradually active scene during this period.
In the last 15 minutes, the market trend was mainly dominated by liquidation and the next day's expectation. Due to short-term liquidation, it will lead to price oscillation and position decline, which is of little reference significance to investors. Under the expected influence, the main fund will launch a short-term market, which will have an impact on the opening trend of the second point, which is a factor that investors should consider in the short term.
The trend of these three stages basically summarizes the trend of the whole day, forming a complete intraday price map. Because the market is changing, the understanding of the three stages cannot be treated with a rigid eye. Sometimes the main force will take unconventional methods to operate, but through the identification of three stages, this change will be clear. Generally speaking, if the characteristics of the above three stages can be taken into account when analyzing the disk surface, then all changes in the disk surface will become easier and easier.
What technical indicators are used to analyze futures and invest in futures markets? First of all, we must have our own technical analysis, so what kind of technical indicators are the most accurate? There is no most accurate technical index, depending on your application. Here are some technical analysis indicators commonly used in futures.
The first one: MACD indicator
MACD is developed according to the advantage that the moving average is easy to grasp the direction of trend change. It uses two different speed indices smma (a fast-short-term moving average and a slow-long-term moving average) to calculate the difference (DIF) between them as the basis for judging the market, and then calculates the 9-day smma of its DIF, that is, MACD line. MACD actually uses the signs of convergence and separation of fast and slow moving averages to judge the timing and signal of buying and selling.
(1)MACD basic application method:
In application, MACD takes 12 as the fast moving average (12 moving average) and 26 as the slow moving average (26 moving average). Calculate the values of these two moving averages first, and then calculate the difference between the two values, that is, the difference (DIF)= 12 EMA-20. Then according to this deviation value, calculate the EMA value (that is, MACD value) of No.9; Draw lines for DIF and MACD values respectively, and then press? Staggered analysis? Analysis, when the DIF line breaks through the MACD smooth line upwards, it is to confirm the rebound point, that is, the buy signal. Conversely, when the DIF line falls below the MACD smooth line, it is the point to confirm the downward trend, that is, the selling signal.
(2) Application rules:
① Both ①DIF and MACD are above 0, and the general trend is bull market.
② When ②DIF breaks through MACD upwards, it can be bought; If DIF falls below MACD, only the original order can be closed, and the new order cannot enter the market.
3 3 ③DIF and MACD are below 0, and the general trend is short market.
4 When ④DIF falls below MACD, it can be sold; If DIF breaks through MACD upwards, it can only be used to close the original order, and it is not allowed to pay new orders to enter the market.
⑤ High-grade secondary cross falls and low-grade secondary cross rises.
The second one: DMI indicator
Trend index is also called moving direction index or trend index. It belongs to the technical index of trend judgment. Its basic principle is to analyze the equilibrium point of supply and demand in the process of stock price rise and fall, that is, the periodic process of supply and demand from equilibrium to imbalance under the influence of price changes, thus providing basis for trend judgment. There are three lines of trend indicators: rising indicator line, falling indicator line and average trend indicator line. The number of days can be set for all three lines, generally 14 days.
The calculation method of DMI is very complicated, so I won't introduce it here. Interested users can consult relevant technical analysis books by themselves.
Apply rules:
① When +di crosses -DI upwards, buy.
② When +di crosses -DI downward, sell.
③ When ADX turns its head downwards above 50, it means that the market trend is over.
(4) When ADX falls below +DI, it is not appropriate to enter the market for trading.
⑤ When ADXR is lower than 20, the reaction secrets in TBP and CDP should be used as trading reference.
Third: DMA indicator
The DMA indicator uses the average line of two different periods to calculate the difference and then divides it by the number of days in the base period. It is the difference between two different average lines in the base period. Because it coordinates the short-term moving average with the long-term moving average, that is to say, it filters out short-term random changes and long-term lag, so that its value can reflect the stock price trend more accurately, truly and objectively. Therefore, it is an indicator reflecting the trend.
Apply rules:
(1) ①DMA is the difference between two different average lines in the base period. The solid line goes up through the dotted line and buys.
② The solid line goes down through the dotted line and is sold.
3 3 ③DMA can also observe the deviation from the stock price.
Fourth: EXPMA index
EXPMA is translated into exponential average, which corrects the shortcomings of the moving average behind the stock price. This indicator responds quickly to the fluctuation of stock price, and its usage is the same as the moving average.
Fifth: TRIX indicator
Trix (triple index smma) Chinese name: triple index smma. Using the signal of this indicator in long-term operation can filter out some short-term fluctuations and avoid some unprofitable transactions and commission losses caused by too frequent transactions. This indicator is a long-term indicator. If you trade according to this indicator signal for a long time, the profit percentage is greater than the loss percentage, and the profit is considerable.