First, the trend of the A-share market is not good. Judging from the recent market conditions of the entire A-share market, the market has the tendency to break through the 3,000-point platform downwards. Once it breaks the level and falls, it is difficult to be sure that the small-cap stocks that have been strong recently will be spared. Judging from the recent market situation, more and more main funds are currently accepting the reality of the big bear market and converting chips into cash to prepare for the winter to prepare more funds for the future. However, some main funds are also struggling to save themselves. On the one hand, the recent continuous shrinkage is due to the holiday effect, and another, more important reason is that funds are locked up and people are leaving the market. There is not much stupid money left. Yesterday's bardo fell below the 3100-3200 platform. If it does not stand above 3100 today, the probability of effectively falling below the platform is increasing. With the Shanghai stock market's capacity of about 200 billion, it will be difficult to rise again in the short term to liberate this maintained level. The chip performance in the past month has been intensive. If my judgment is correct, the shrinkage of the entire market has just begun, and it will be a normal phenomenon in the market outlook.

Second, there are many uncertain factors in the world environment. Compared with this year’s National Day holiday, the world environment has more unfavorable factors plaguing the global stock market. Judging from the trends of major global stock indexes, it is obviously not optimistic. Under such circumstances, it is unrealistic to expect the weak A-shares to survive alone. The chances of winning by holding stocks during the long holiday are relatively small. What you can win is that more domestic benefits will be released to stimulate a good start after the holiday. If it is a large-scale rebound, you don't have to care about the one-day market trend. Judging from the current trend of A-shares, I personally think that if it is favorable after the holiday, it will also become an opportunity for the main distribution. Moreover, the level above 3100 has now become a heavy pressure area. Don’t expect too much if there is a rebound.

Judging from the performance of the last few trading days, the entire market relies on the GEM’s young bulls to pull the cart, and most stocks are market-making in an obvious way of luring bulls to rebound and then arbitraging others. So far, it seems that the effect of attracting gold by the main force is much better than pulling two barrels of oil. Is this a conspiracy? The benevolent sees benevolence, the wise see wisdom.

In view of the above reasons, the risk of holding stocks for the holidays is obviously greater than the risk of short positions. In a bear market, being short is not terrible, and the safety of funds is the first consideration.

However, for position holders who are already trapped, it is understandable that their positions can have the opportunity to rebound after the holiday. Especially stocks with strong short-term strength are more worthy of gambling. After all, if they are trapped, there is no harm in waiting patiently for one more trading day. , but for those with short positions, I personally feel that there is no need to take this risk to rebound after the holiday. I would like to ask if the trap can be solved, how many people do not want to go short and enjoy the holiday easily?