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I don't know that the nuclear sculpture was released on June 30, 2009 14:52 Read (6) Comments (0)

Category: Personal Diary Permission: Public

Investment strategy and theory: Based on "reflection theory" and "ups and downs theory", we can enter and exit at the turning point of the market, and take advantage of "herd effect" to actively manipulate the market against the market for market speculation. What matters is the market trend.

Theoretical exposition: Soros's core investment theory is "reflection theory", which simply refers to an interactive influence between investors and the market. The theoretical basis is that people can't correctly understand the world, investors enter the market with "prejudice", and "prejudice" is the key to understand the dynamics of financial markets. When "mass prejudice" belongs to only a few people, its influence is still very small, but the prejudice of different investors will produce group influence in the interaction and will evolve into a dominant concept. It is the "herd effect".

Specific measures: invest a huge amount of money in the market that will be "big" and induce investors to buy enthusiastically together, thus further pushing the market price up until the price is crazy. When the market is about to collapse, take the lead in shorting, because the market is at its peak and fragile, and any sign of trouble may cause panic selling, further aggravating the decline until it collapses. Go in and out at the turning point of ups and downs and earn speculative spreads.

Rules and Taboos: There are no strict principles or laws to follow, and only intuition and offensive strategies are used to implement the "forest law" to win in one fell swoop.

The forest law is: 1, wait patiently for the opportunity to appear; 2. One-on-one attack on the weak; 3. When attacking, you must be ruthless and you must go all out; If things are not satisfactory, saving your life is the first consideration.

Views on the relationship between the general trend and individual stocks: pay attention to the market atmosphere and value the general trend more than individual stocks. It is considered that the short-term market trend is only a kind of "herd effect", which has nothing to do with the quality of individual stocks.

Views on stock market forecast: Don't forecast to actively guide the market when market opportunities are approaching.

Views on investment tools: there is no specific investment style and it does not follow established principles. But pay attention to the changes in the rules of the game. Borrow a "hedge fund" as a revolving mortgage

The way of borrowing constantly magnifies the leverage effect. If you find a good fulcrum, you can even incite the entire international monetary system.

Famous sayings and concepts: "Speculation is like the forest law of the animal world, which attacks the weak, and this practice often succeeds." "Everyone has weaknesses. Similarly, any economic system also has weaknesses, which is often the most irresistible point. " "Herd effect is the key to the success of every speculation. If this effect does not exist or is quite weak, it is almost certain that we will be difficult to succeed. " * Adventurers will succeed *-

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In 30 years, george soros was born into a wealthy Jewish family in Budapest. My father is a lawyer, determined and shrewd, and his influence on Soros is enormous and far-reaching. Not only taught Soros self-esteem, strength and self-confidence, but also educated Soros from an early age and treated wealth with a peaceful attitude. In his later years, Soros also practiced his father's teaching and put hundreds of millions of wealth into charity.

In his childhood, Soros was excellent in all aspects, and he was a victorious general in all kinds of activities. With his parents' love, superior family background and his own Excellence, he is an enviable son of heaven. But this life was soon broken.

From 65438 to 0944, with the Nazi invasion of Budapest, Soros's happy childhood came to an end, and he took his family to escape. It was a period full of danger and pain. Thanks to his father's shrewdness and strength, his fake ID card and the shelter provided by good people, his family finally escaped this disaster.

Later, Soros said that 1944 was the happiest time in his life, and he learned the skills of survival from the crisis of life and death. Two of these experiences were very helpful to his speculative career. The first is not afraid of taking risks, and the second is not to put all your eggs in one basket when taking risks.

19

In 30 years, george soros was born into a wealthy Jewish family in Budapest. My father is a lawyer, determined and shrewd, and his influence on Soros is enormous and far-reaching. Not only taught Soros self-esteem, strength and self-confidence, but also educated Soros from an early age and treated wealth with a peaceful attitude. In his later years, Soros also practiced his father's teaching and put hundreds of millions of wealth into charity.

In his childhood, Soros was excellent in all aspects, and he was a victorious general in all kinds of activities. With his parents' love, superior family background and his own Excellence, he is an enviable son of heaven. But this life was soon broken.

From 65438 to 0944, with the Nazi invasion of Budapest, Soros's happy childhood came to an end, and he took his family to escape. It was a period full of danger and pain. Thanks to his father's shrewdness and strength, his fake ID card and the shelter provided by good people, his family finally escaped this disaster.

Later, Soros said that 1944 was the happiest time in his life, and he learned the skills of survival from the crisis of life and death. Two of these experiences were very helpful to his speculative career. The first is not afraid of taking risks, and the second is not to put all your eggs in one basket when taking risks.

19

In 30 years, george soros was born into a wealthy Jewish family in Budapest. My father is a lawyer, determined and shrewd, and his influence on Soros is enormous and far-reaching. Not only taught Soros self-esteem, strength and self-confidence, but also educated Soros from an early age and treated wealth with a peaceful attitude. In his later years, Soros also practiced his father's teaching and put hundreds of millions of wealth into charity.

In his childhood, Soros was excellent in all aspects, and he was a victorious general in all kinds of activities. With his parents' love, superior family background and his own Excellence, he is an enviable son of heaven. But this life was soon broken.

From 65438 to 0944, with the Nazi invasion of Budapest, Soros's happy childhood came to an end, and he took his family to escape. It was a period full of danger and pain. Thanks to his father's shrewdness and strength, his fake ID card and the shelter provided by good people, his family finally escaped this disaster.

Later, Soros said that 1944 was the happiest time in his life, and he learned the skills of survival from the crisis of life and death. Two of these experiences were very helpful to his speculative career. The first is not afraid of taking risks, and the second is not to put all your eggs in one basket when taking risks.

Soros said: "I am a complicated person. In some parts of the world, I am famous for forcing the Bank of England to yield and bankrupt Malaysians, that is, as a speculator and a devil. But in other parts of the world, I am regarded as a defender of the' open society'. "

Indeed, he is a complicated person, which is impossible to guess. Compared with Soros's ruthless war in the financial market, he is also a philanthropist and philosopher. The Dayton Peace Prize he won was named after the Dayton Peace Agreement that ended the civil war in Bosnia and Herzegovina signed by 1995. In 2000 alone, Soros's Bosnia and Herzegovina Aid Fund invested nearly 500 million US dollars in the fields of education, health and social development in Bosnia and Herzegovina, and donated 25,000 US dollars for the reconstruction of Bosnia and Herzegovina. He also set up a foundation with his own money, which is specially used for poor students to go to school. ...

This is Soros. People can never predict what his next step will be, whether to hold high the banner of peace or another painful earthquake that shocked the world. But in any case, he is one of the greatest investors in our world, which brings us deeper thinking.

Secret of success

There are a pair of sharp eyes to find the economic bubble, and a cold heart to sweep the market at the same time.

The ability to obtain the most certain profit from uncertainty.

The courage to risk short selling. Soros's investment secret: breaking through the distorted concept

Soros is a master financial theorist. He is always calm, but he doesn't laugh or frown. He has a unique way to participate in the investment game, a special style necessary to understand the financial market and a unique insight into the market. The first secret of his success is his philosophy.

In his early years, he wanted to be a philosopher and tried to solve the most basic proposition of human beings-existence. However, he quickly came to a dramatic conclusion that it is almost impossible to understand the mysterious field of life, because first of all, people must be able to look at themselves objectively, but the problem is that people can't do this.

So he came to the conclusion that people can't get rid of the fetters of their own views on the objects under consideration, so it is impossible for people's thinking process to obtain independent views to provide judgment basis or understand existence. This conclusion had a far-reaching impact on his philosophy and his observation of financial markets.

As a result, people can't penetrate the fur of things and reach the truth impartially. In other words, the knowability of absolute perfection is quite doubtful. As Soros said, when a person tries to explore his environment, what he knows cannot be regarded as knowledge.

Soros deduced a logic, and the most practical thing he can do is to pay attention to the missing and distorted understanding of everything caused by the defects of human understanding-this logic later formed the core of his financial strategy.

It is normal that people are not gods and cannot understand the market trend. However, when most investors in the market reach a consensus on the influence of fundamental factors and have the intention to continue speculation, this cognition is on the verge of danger. Why does The 5th Wave fail in the market and V-shaped reversal often appear after The 5th Wave continues? With Soros's philosophy, we can easily find the answer.

Here, we don't comment on Soros's philosophy for the time being, in order to discuss the first problem that a successful investor should solve, that is, his world outlook and methodology, which will enable him to stand at a higher angle, look at the market with a broader vision and dialectical thinking, always keep a clear head, be calm and calm, and finally succeed.

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The secret of Soros's investment: a brief introduction to the unstable state of investment;

Market instability means that when the deviation between market participants' expectations and objective facts reaches an extreme state, the reaction makes the market self-propelled to a certain extent, which makes it difficult to maintain and correct itself, and makes the market imbalance develop to a considerable extent. At this time, the market is unstable.

The unbalanced market state stems from the strong contrast between the mainstream bias formed by market expectations and objective reality. Sober investors in the market began to reflect on this bias and challenge the mainstream bias, which made the original dominant factors in the market fragile, but the inertia of the market made the original trend crazy. One of the secrets of Soros's investment success is that he is good at discovering the unstable state of the market and seizing the opportunity of ups and downs.

For example, in a case that happened in the mid-1980s, the assets of the bidding company were re-evaluated, so the bank gave more loans to other bidders, which made their bids higher and higher. Finally, the bidding soared and the market became shaky because of overvaluation. According to Soros's theory, collapse will be inevitable. The possibility of ups and downs has greatly increased, and unstable market conditions have provided opportunities for investors.

There are also many ups and downs around us. When the US soybean market rises to 1 0,000, the market forecast will reach 1 0,400 and 1 0,600. When the price development of the later bull market exceeds people's expectations, there will be a market psychology that the bull market is not overwhelming. At this time, soybean stocks are extremely underestimated and the imaginary part of soybean prices is greatly exaggerated. In the end, there was a phenomenon of ups and downs, soybean prices plummeted and domestic importers defaulted in succession. Oil companies reshuffled their cards because of high-priced imports of soybeans.

It is also very important to grasp the timing of ups and downs, because it is often when the mainstream of the market is strongly biased, and the lethality is relatively strong. Only by adopting appropriate investment strategies and opening positions in a planned way can we make full use of the investment opportunities brought by this unstable market state.