risk exposure
Individual project risk and overall project risk
Case: Tian Ji horse racing, antivirus software.
Variability risk (black swan incident, plot reversal, diaosi counterattack, failure to follow the routine, blindness)
Fuzzy risk (demand? I don't understand! Future? Can't see clearly! Ordinary? I don't understand! Trend? I guess I read less! )
Project toughness
Integrated risk management
Classification of project risks
Risk breakdown structure (RBS) and risk attitude of interested parties
Random blocking system (abbreviation of random blocking system)
The combination of preference and tolerance is the risk critical value, that is, the risk attitude of stakeholders.
Several methods of identifying risks
Prompt list
Above individual project risks
The following overall project risks
Stable frame invisible frame
(politics, economy, society, technology, law, environment)
Technology, environment, commerce, operation, politics
VUCA (variability, uncertainty, complexity, fuzziness)
Qualitative risk analysis
Risk probability and impact matrix (risk qualitative analysis)
Risk summary: dark gray
Risk observation list: light gray, continuous observation and review.
White list: white, no need to pay special attention.
Quantitative analysis of risk
According to the data, the greater the slope, the more sensitive it is.
Expected monetary value: the higher the better.
Influence diagram
Risk coping tools
Director a
Yao shangming
Lucky audience
Avoid risks in advance
Original plan: Li
The relationship between risk and resources
Risk process
Risk coping strategies-positive risks (opportunities)&; Negative risk
Positive risks (opportunities)&; Negative risk public strategy: accept and report.
Influencing factors of coping strategy choice
Risk and project life cycle
Key points of risk management learning