Short feature
1, the market is generally optimistic, the popularity is boiling, investors flock in, that is, the short market is coming.
When the bad news comes out, the stock price rises instead of falling.
3. The unfavorable news of the market keeps coming out, and the market is in a downturn, all of which are hung on the daily limit.
4, corporate institutions, large shipments.
5. Investors abstained in succession, while the stocks about to be ex-dividend showed no performance.
6, the popularity is scattered, and the willingness to pursue high is not strong.
7. The daily RSI is between 20 and 50.
8. Macroeconomic indicators showed a marked downward trend, the surrounding markets fell in succession, the government adopted a tightening policy on the capital market, and prices rose rapidly.
9. The technical line type shows that the bottom is lower than the bottom.
10, the weekly moving average fell below 13 from top to bottom.
1 1, the result of drawing a trend line is a decline.
12, the 26-week moving average is falling, and the index or stock price is below the 26-week moving average.
Bear trap
The so-called bear market trap simply means that the mainstream funds in the market are strongly short, and investors are induced to conclude that the stock market will continue to fall sharply and panic selling through the obvious weakness of the disk. Recently, with the sharp decline, leading stocks have plunged, and the index has fallen rapidly. At this time, investors should be more alert to bear trap. The judgment of bear market trap is mainly based on news, capital, macro-fundamentals, technical analysis, market sentiment and so on:
The first is the analysis of news.
The main funds often use the advantages of propaganda to create a short atmosphere. Therefore, when investors encounter negative market conditions, they should be extra careful. Because it is under the heavy bombardment of all kinds of bad news that mainstream funds can easily open positions.
Second, from the volume analysis.
The trading volume of the bear market trap is characterized by the fact that with the continuous decline of the stock price, the volume can always be in an irregular contraction state, and sometimes there will even be an infinite empty drop or an infinite plunge on the disk, and the trading of individual stocks in the disk is also very inactive, creating an atmosphere for investors with no future trend. It is in this pessimistic atmosphere that the main force can easily build positions on dips, thus forming bear trap. Don't blindly copy the bottom, seize the real opportunity! )
Third, from the macro-fundamental analysis.
It is necessary to understand the policy factors and macro-fundamental factors that fundamentally affect the strength of the market, and analyze whether there are substantial negative factors. If there is no particularly substantial short-selling factor in the stock market policy background, but the stock price continues to plummet, it is easier to form a bear trap.
Fourthly, from the technical form analysis.
Bear trap's K-line trend is often manifested as a chain reaction in which several long yinxian lines plummet continuously, running through various strong support levels, and sometimes even accompanied by a downward gap, causing market panic; In the form analysis, bear trap often deliberately caused the technical form to be broken, which made investors mistakenly think that there was a huge room for decline in the market outlook, and they threw out their stocks one after another, allowing the main force to undertake a large number of cheap stocks at a low level. In terms of technical indicators, bear trap will lead to serious deviation of technical indicators, and it is not a deviation of one or two indicators, but often a synchronous deviation of multiple indicators for multiple periods.
Five, from the perspective of market sentiment analysis
Due to the long-term decline of the stock market, a heavy lock will be formed in the market, and the popularity will be exhausted in the quilt. But it is often at the moment when the market sentiment is extremely depressed, which just shows that the stock market is not far from the real bottom. It is worth noting that after four years of sluggish bear market, the systemic risk of a sharp decline in the index is very small. If you are excessively bearish on the market outlook, it is inevitable to fall into a new bear market trap.