The price of cattle is also rising day by day, which is higher than last year's 2 yuan.
Recently, the price of urea has also begun to join in the fun, ushered in different degrees of growth.
The price of peanuts is fierce, and it continues to run at a high level under the influence of farmers and traders.
Chicken prices "take off"
Last week, the price of domestic broilers rose in an all-round way, which was six days.
Among them, the fast chicken rose to 6.6 1 yuan, with an increase of 0.9 1 yuan; Medium-speed chicken rose to 7.76 yuan, and the price rose to 1.23 yuan; Slow Chicken rose 6.79 yuan, and the price rose 1. 18 yuan.
With the overall increase of chicken price, broiler breeding has turned losses into profits at present.
Chicken prices can continue to rise, I think it is inseparable from four logics:
1. The weather has been improving recently, creating a good consumption environment and driving the growth of broiler demand.
2. The broiler supply end entered the gap period before the Spring Festival, and the broiler supply decreased.
3. The price of live pigs has risen for two weeks in a row, driving up the prices of other meat products.
4. The epidemic situation is comprehensive and stable, and the catering industry and tourism industry have recovered significantly.
Considering that the demand for chicken consumption is likely to increase further in the future, the gap of chicken supply will continue for some time, and it is expected that the price of chicken will continue to rise slightly.
The price of cattle is rising.
It is understood that the current fattening cattle prices in Hebei are 17.3- 18.6 yuan, Tianjin Huangbaihua 17.5- 18.4 yuan, Heilongjiang Angus 17.3- 18.4 yuan and Liaoning fattening cattle/kloc. Xinjiang 17.5- 18.4 yuan, Anhui 17.4- 18.5 yuan, Guizhou 17.3- 18.6 yuan.
Compared with two months ago, the price of cattle has increased by about 2 yuan.
On the one hand, the rebound of beef price benefited from the continuous recovery of catering industry, which led to the increase of beef consumption demand. Due to the epidemic situation years ago, the amount of beef hoarded by residents was low, which accelerated the recent recovery of beef demand.
On the other hand, thanks to the reluctance of the breeding end to sell in the last half month, and even the second fattening, the price of live pigs has been stimulated to rise for two weeks, which has led to a rebound in cattle prices.
In addition, the price of beef cattle has been unsatisfactory in the past year, and farmers' reduction of production capacity has become the mainstream, which has promoted the upward trend of beef cattle prices.
Subsequent beef consumption demand will continue to improve with the recovery of the catering industry. However, due to the long period of cattle breeding and the influence of diseases, China suspended the import of beef from Brazil, which means that the beef supply is difficult to change in the short term. It is expected that beef prices will continue to fluctuate within a narrow range.
Urea also comes to join in the fun.
In recent days, the market price of urea has continued to rise, with Shandong rising 10-20 yuan/ton, and the mainstream turnover of small and medium-sized particles is around 2740-2760 yuan/ton.
Henan raised the price 10-20 yuan/ton, and the mainstream ex-factory price of small and medium-sized particles was about 2730-2750 yuan/ton.
Individual enterprises in Anhui raised the price by 10-20 yuan/ton, and the mainstream ex-factory price of small particles was around 2750-2820 yuan/ton.
Jiangxi prices rose 10 yuan/ton, Guangdong prices rose by 20 yuan/ton, Hebei prices rose by 20-50 yuan/ton, and Jiangsu market prices rose by 20-30 yuan/ton.
The logic of urea price increase is as follows:
1. Recently, the new single transaction of urea enterprises increased, and the market passively followed up the price increase.
2. Some areas began to apply agricultural green manure to increase market demand.
3. Compound fertilizer plants and plate plants still maintain the rhythm of just purchasing. Prior to this, the decline in urea prices pushed enterprises to replenish stocks.
At this stage, although the purchasing enthusiasm of traders and downstream farmers has declined due to the rising price of urea, and it is mainly cautious, urea manufacturers have a firm mentality. Considering the strong demand of urea manufacturers, it is expected that the price of urea will remain firm in the short term.
However, the recent downward adjustment of futures prices will restrict the rise of urea prices to some extent.
The price of peanuts is fierce
Driven by the recent rising peanut prices, the price of Baisha rice in Henan Province rose to 5.9-6.0 yuan, Haihua in Shandong Province rose to 5.6-5.65 yuan, Liaoning Province rose to 5.9-6 yuan, and Jilin Province rose to 5.9-6.0 yuan.
In the short term, peanut prices still have strong support:
1. At present, the supply of surplus peanuts at the grass-roots level is limited, and the loading capacity of peanuts is not large.
Traders refuse to sell at a low price, and farmers are unwilling to sell.
3. The transaction of imported rice is average, which has a weak impact on the domestic peanut price.
Short-term peanut prices are expected to continue to run at a high level, but the long-term trend of loose peanut supply will be gradually realized.
On the one hand, since the second half of last year, the price of peanuts has been maintained at a high level, and the profit from planting peanuts is good, which helps to increase the planting area of peanuts.
On the other hand, the global soybean high-yield residents have basically been finalized, soybean output has increased by 7% year-on-year, and the global soybean supply has remained loose.
On the demand side, the operating rate of peanut oil factory has dropped significantly compared with the same period of last year, first, because of weak consumer demand, and second, because the current purchase price of peanuts is higher than the same period.
Under the influence of strong supply and weak demand, peanut prices will weaken in the long run.