When experts enter the market, they will refer to technical analysis to find buying opportunities. The following will introduce relevant technical analysis to investors. Because the domestic stock and futures market has only been running for more than 10 years, the participants in the early market are not very common, and the market is often operated by several large households, and the price distortion often occurs in the market, which violates the principle that technical analysis needs more participants. Therefore, the technical trend of China futures and stock market has its own characteristics in China, and it does not fully refer to the trend of foreign classic technical graphics. Technical analysis method refers to the method that investors invest according to the model with predictive value in transaction data, and then get it through investigation and current price situation. Gann theory: Gann angle line, square, wheel in wheel, etc. As a mature technical analysis investor, you need to learn all the above analysis methods. Suffering is a pleasure. The basis of technical analysis is that history will repeat itself. According to the past price trend, we can count the success rate of various graphics or technical indicators when they signal up or down. If investors choose graphics or technical indicators with high success rate to trade, the gains will outweigh the losses. Only in this way can they know fairly well before actual combat. From the perspective of probability theory, how much is good and how much is bad. John Bulinger, the father and founder of the Bollinger Band, spent his whole life studying. The son of the stock reviewer is an internet addict, and all his pocket money is given to the internet bar. Last month, I sold my walkman to raise money for the Internet. I sold my electric guitar again last week. I sold my school bike yesterday. The stock critic flew into a rage when he knew it, and shouted, Bastard! Is it easy for your mother and I to scrimp and save on these things? Why don't you know how to improve? The son disagreed: Why don't I make progress? When doing stock reviews, I often say that buying is an apprentice and selling is a master! Many of the more than 30 experts mentioned that they rely heavily on their own technical analysis trading system in the process of trading decision-making, especially when the market is chaotic, they can resolutely implement the established trading plan, so that investors can maintain a consistent probability of winning. For example, Soros, Soros and his chief assistants Stanley druckenmiller, richard dennis, Andrew Busch, stanley kroll and others, when looking for the general direction, they can combine basic analysis with technical analysis to find a perfect and accurate starting point. When experts enter the market, they will refer to technical analysis to find buying opportunities. The following will introduce relevant technical analysis to investors. As the domestic stock and futures market only operated for 10 years, the participants in the early market were not very common, and the market was often operated by several large households, and the market price was often distorted, which violated the principle that technical analysis needed more participants. Therefore, the technical trend of China futures and stock market has its own characteristics in China, and it does not fully refer to the trend of foreign classic technical graphics. Therefore, investors should be treated differently according to the characteristics of the domestic market. Technical analysis Technical analysis refers to the method that investors invest according to the model with predictive value in transaction data, and then get it through investigation and current price situation. There are many methods and patterns in this method. Some just use visual charts, such as K-line chart and bitmap; Others use computers to systematically search for "optimized" computer models. According to the popular analysis theory, there are five mainstream technical analysis methods: 1k-line diagram: Japanese candle diagram and richard dennis's famous "turtle trading system" all adopt this theory. 2 Technical index system: commonly used indicators such as rsi, kdj and moving average. Gann theory: Gann angle line, square, wheel in wheel, etc. Wave theory: Eliot's five-period theory of wave theory: Fibonacci number, solar terms, etc. According to the characteristics of market trends, it is divided into: 1. 2. Consolidation Analysis As a mature investor in technical analysis, it is necessary to learn the above analysis methods, and suffering is a pleasure. Especially in the initial stage of learning to invest, don't determine your own style too quickly, try a variety of transaction analysis methods, and constantly simulate and test in actual combat. Before it matures, you must learn from the styles and experiences of successful people who are popular in the market, because what you design behind closed doors is definitely not perfect when you are immature. You should be good at learning the experiences, styles and analytical methods of successful people. The most ideal trading signal is that five mainstream technical analysis methods confirm each other. Technical analysis and probabilistic technical analysis are based on the fact that history will repeat itself. According to the past price trend, the success rate of signaling by various graphs or technical indicators is counted. If investors choose graphics or technical indicators with high success rate to trade, the gains will outweigh the losses. Only in this way can they know fairly well before actual combat. There will be no ambiguity about the direction of the market! There is no absolute chance of winning in the investment market. Technically speaking, any kind of figure is neither completely good nor completely bad, but it is relative, that is, most of it is good or most of it is bad. From the perspective of probability theory, how much is good and how much is bad. Personally, if the probability of success of a signal sent by a certain kind of graphics or technical indicators is: 1.90%: bold heavy position operation; For example, the flag type is 93.5% and 2.80%, which can be operated at the position above 1/3; 3.70%, which can be operated in positions above 1/4; Below 4.70%, never participate. The so-called 90%, that is, 100 signals of a certain kind of graphics or technical indicators, 9 times to make money; 1 time broken, lost. I can use the profit of 1 time to make up for the loss of 1 time. Even if 1 times is not enough, it can be used twice, so there is still 7 times of net profit. If you stick to it, the profit for one year will be considerable. These success rates require investors to draw scientific conclusions through a large number of statistical data. On June 5438+ 10, 2004, I ran into an old employee of Long-term Capital Company in the United States, who is now the vice president of the large-value trading department of Goldman Sachs, and introduced me to the relevant analysis methods of Wall Street in the United States. They all pay attention to quantitative statistical analysis. I also learned from Vice President Li about the trading methods of the "long-term capital company" which was very popular in the United States and the inside story of 1998' s near collapse. Some graphics or technical indicators will send out very special signals. Even if 1 only rises very well, even if it is multiplied several times, other similar graphics may fail nine times. The signal sent by this graphic technical index is not universal, which can not explain the problem at all. Even making money depends on luck. Of course, this calculation method is only based on the number of transactions, regardless of the increase or decrease. If you consider the rise and fall, if you take 5% as the stop loss point, 5% will fail when the loss occurs, but there is no upper limit for the rise, then the profit will be considerable.