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Pork was “strong” in August. Analysis of related factors. Will the market fall or rise?

As a necessity of life, the price trend of pork has always worried the hearts of the people. For consumers, the price of meat is cheaper and better every month. As for farmers, the decline in meat prices has brought a negative impact on the price of live pigs. To a certain extent, pork is related to people's daily life. At the end of July, it rose to 20 yuan per catty in many places. In August, the market price began to fall. The overall price was around 18 yuan per catty, and some supermarkets even dropped to 20 yuan per catty. 15 yuan per catty.

Therefore, a stable comprehensive meat price can help "consumers" and "farmers" find a balance point.

Everyone is more concerned about the subsequent trend. Is the price of meat really falling? Let’s analyze it together below.

1. Pig market futures affect the decline in meat prices

Judging from the live pig futures 2209 contract, the pig price fell from a high of 13,290 to 19,965 in the early stage, a drop of about 20%, while 19,000 As a more important point, there are certain restrictions on market adjustment.

It is less likely that futures pigs will continue to fall. From the perspective of social fundamentals, the magnitude of the decline has already appeared, and the follow-up is mainly due to the delay of time.

2. The influence of both supply and demand sides of the pig market

From the perspective of the pig supply side of the market, pigs from July to August are mainly piglets at the beginning of the year. As we all know, pigs are affected by extreme weather during the week. Affected by changes, due to extreme low temperatures at the beginning of the year and the continued downturn in the market, the number of livestock on the breeding side has been relatively reduced, which has reduced market production capacity.

Especially in early July, the previous price drop led to changes in the breeding stock.

With the early support, many people gradually exited the market due to losses, resulting in a decline in production capacity.

From the market demand side, August is about to usher in the Beginning of Autumn, and the market weather is gradually turning colder. For autumn and fat replenishment, the market consumption of live pigs will increase, especially during the Mid-Autumn Festival and The arrival of the National Day will stimulate market consumption, demand will increase, and meat prices will also rise.

From a national policy perspective, the current meat price is generally within a controllable range. In the future, the pig market will gradually develop in an orderly manner. The state will provide certain market subsidies. In addition, futures, purchase and storage and other controls will be established. Measures are of great significance for stabilizing the market.

On the whole, the pork market consumption has a certain trend, and the overall situation will be stable. From the perspective of breeding, it is better to implement it at a better price. After all, there are too many uncontrollable factors in the market.

August has arrived, pork has a certain upward trend, and there is certain upward support in the second half of the year.

For pig prices, the overall price will remain at 18 to 20 yuan per catty.

Therefore, the overall pork price will not change much, so there is no need to worry too much.

What do you think of this? Friends are welcome to leave comments and let’s communicate eagerly together!