Before looking at this method, you must first make sure that you are not a profiteer, because this method is a risk-free and meager profit transaction.
This method has been verified in actual combat: in nine months, the capital of 5 1 10,000 has changed to 79,000, and it is growing steadily almost every month.
Method:
1, only once a day, and open the position after the market is formed;
2. Enter the market when the price trend is slow. After opening the position, the price goes against the trend, and the position is closed unconditionally, and it will not be done on the same day;
3. After the opening price moves to the favorable side, set a stop loss at the confirmed opening price, no longer pay attention to the market through the condition sheet or the automatic stop loss function of the lightning hand, and close the position before closing.
This method will not give you huge profits, and you may lose a little money every day for a while, but as long as you seize the market once, you will come back.
The desire and greed of human heart make this simple and effective method seldom used.
The trading system has two core purposes:
1, controlling a single loss;
2. Ensure the consistency of the transaction.
Many people think that you can make a lot of money with the trading system, which is the most deadly. The trading system will never bring you profits, but it will always be your own experience that will bring you profits.
Most people know the consistency of trading, which is mainly reflected in the consistency of opening and stopping. Few people pay attention to the consistency of closing positions, so many people don't make any money even if the winning rate is high and the stop loss is strict. This place is a question of consistency of closing position.
Many people deal with profit orders, or cling to profit orders and end up losing money; Or run away once you make a profit, which is impossible to help you make a profit. Modify your rules and establish the principle of consistency in closing positions.
According to my experience, I will incorporate time and scope hedging into the liquidation rules.
Because of irregular fluctuations and random trends, it is difficult for expert traders to accurately judge intraday futures trading. Have you summed it up with your past trading experience? Eight feasible trading routines, provided that after the general direction is right, follow the trend and judge some feasible intervention points.
First, after the opening in the morning, there is usually an irregular fluctuation and then a breakthrough in one direction. After a small callback, take advantage of the trend to intervene. Generally, it is profitable in a short time, which is suitable for Man Cang to intervene. The stop loss condition is that the price moves rapidly in the opposite direction.
Second, retreat and intervene after the Great Fang Xiangming that day. The intervention points are generally retreat 1/2, 1/3, 2/3, and intervention is not allowed under the following circumstances.
1, the price retracement speed is too fast, indicating that the adjustment time is not enough;
2. The price retracement is too large for more than 2/3;
3. Unlimited retracement indicates that there is no resistance in the market;
4. Horizontal movement after retracement indicates that sideways has replaced the trend, and prices will continue to retrace or stagnate.
Third: the price retracement intervenes after hitting a new high or a new low in the day, provided that the trading volume is instantly enlarged and can follow the trend, and the stop loss condition is that the price retraces the withdrawal point.
Fourth, it belongs to the method of bargain-hunting. Generally, it does little. If you make money, you will run, and if you lose money, you will cut it. Determined to go out. When the price rises or falls, it meets the resistance of heavy volume.
Fifth, it is the chasing technique in the process of rising or falling. When the price hits a new high or a new low, the trading volume increases sharply. The general profit margin is still very large, and the market is directly dependent on the board. This method has the fastest profit rate, and the stop loss condition is that the price quickly retreats.
Sixth: intervention method: the market is in a relatively dull and infinite consolidation in the same day, and the trading volume is obviously small, and suddenly there will be a large trading volume, and then it will be reduced immediately, so that the price will move in the opposite direction of the trading volume trend, short-term intervention, closing the position at one end of the interval or waiting for similar intervention opportunities again. This kind of market is generally unprofitable, and its maneuverability is not strong. Stop loss condition is continuous heavy volume.
Seventh: after some competition, it closed at the daily limit, but then opened. Rely on the board again after retreating, and the volume of transactions continues to enlarge. At this time, if the plate seal is unreliable, it can be reversed to maximize profits in a short time. The stop-loss condition is that the price moves in the direction of the board and is resolutely out. The best example is that at the beginning of the year, soybean oil made a profit from the daily limit to the daily limit of 1000.
Eighth: time-sharing diagram intervention method. Although the method is simple, it is effective. If the pressure is high, the price is above the intraday moving average or suppressed by the moving average, sell it. On the other hand, if the support is strong and the price is below the moving average or there is support, buy it. Generally, a good intervention point has a large transaction volume.
There are more and more opportunities for day trading, so we need to do some routines that we are sure of and develop an internal technology. Therefore, it is not necessary to master them all. One or two tricks are enough to laugh at the market, wait for your familiar routine, follow up in time, and easily complete the transaction.
Almost all investors start their futures trading career from the short-term way of fast-forward and fast-out, but this is not a real short-term trading, which is different from the real short-term trading in form and spirit. Most investors may have experienced this similar but different trading state, and he also thinks it is short-term trading. However, real short-term trading is like making money in a game, while short-term trading with different forms and different spirits is like spending money in a game. The two are definitely different.
Successful short-term trading is like making money in a game, but it is not easy to make money in the game. Short-term trading mainly depends on investors' sense of disk, rather than rational analysis of a large number of fundamental information. The fluctuation of price in a day mainly comes from the emotions and psychology of traders and the role of funds, especially in the volatile market, which is also an ideal market for short-term traders. And a good sense of disk can not be formed overnight, it needs to pay a huge or even painful price. Short-term trading is easy to imitate, but not easy to succeed. Because short-term trading needs investors' hearts to match the fluctuation rhythm of the market, at least in most cases.
Short-term trading has very high requirements for investors, and there is no room for hesitation in entering and leaving the market. Winning or losing often depends on one thing. The sensitivity of quick stop loss and profit liquidation will exceed the imagination of ordinary investors. Short-term trading seems easy, but it is actually difficult. You can even trade with a short-term trader, but in the end he will make you lose money. Normal people use their brains to decide their actions, while short-term traders use their hearts to decide their actions, which can even be said to be the first or instinctive reaction to trading. Short-term trading does not need a universally recognized reason. It is a physical and mental behavior, an art and a realm. It can be summarized, but it is difficult to reach his height. The mode of short-term trading is only suitable for oneself, and it is difficult to organize it into teaching materials. Successful short-term trading is a happy trading, a profitable trading in the game, and an imitative short-term trading is a tormenting trading, that is, spending money to play the game.
Successful short-term trading requires the accumulation of long-term trading experience, rather than learning by reading books. Not knowledge, but ability and comprehensive quality. Successful short-term traders are like top artists, easy to imitate but difficult to reach their level. But the pleasure of playing games will lead most people to choose short-term trading with similar appearance but different spirit. They spend their money on playing games, or even spend it all.
There is a saying that fund management is the core of futures trading. They tell you that learning capital management strategies can reduce risks and expand profits, but others disagree with this view. They believe that Kaiping's pursuit of perfection is the key to profitability, and fund management is only a measure taken when funds are too large.
In fact, neither the former nor the latter actually understand the key points of fund management. As far as the transaction itself is concerned, the fund management strategy will neither help you reduce the risk nor improve your profitability.
If you are interested, or if conditions permit, I suggest you read the basic books of casino fund management strategy. These books can systematically introduce what I am going to say next, but it seems that all gambling books in Chinese mainland have been banned.
The original intention of fund management is not to build positions in stages, increase income and reduce risks. In fact, from the perspective of a single profit probability, such a strategy is ineffective. If you have used such means in actual combat, you will feel deeply, so I won't talk nonsense.
Let's talk about our topic through an example and look at a simple profit-loss ratio problem. 10000 loses 50% and becomes 5000, and gains 100% on the basis of 5000 becomes100; Conversely, 10000 capital gain 100% becomes 20000, and 20000 only needs to lose 50% to return to the starting point.
What did you find?
The profit-loss ratio based on your opening capital is completely unequal. In fact, this is the essential probability drive of the final death of most retail investors. No matter how well you do it, you are susceptible to overwhelming probability.
On the surface, the reasonable explanation is that you can use 1 0,000 yuan to make second-hand candy, while you can only make 1 hand candy with 5,000 yuan. But in fact, it is much more complicated to explain clearly. I won't elaborate on this. Interested friends can read related books systematically. Let's talk about the capital strategy to solve this problem.
Here are some quantitative data. Note that the following quantification has no specific substantive significance, just to illustrate the problem.
The total amount of funds (A for short) we mentioned here refers to the limit of funds you are willing to pay for the transaction, including the rights and interests in your current futures account and the amount you may need to invest in the future. Before entering this market, you must know the total amount of money you have prepared for this adventure. There is no point in talking about it without a clear plan.
We will refer to a large number of historical market trends when formulating trading rules. If you are an excellent trader, you should probably know a general situation in which your trading rules find extremely unfavorable factors. For example, there will be a continuous stop loss in the trading rules at a certain time, and the accumulation of stop loss during this period will have a destructive impact on the equity of funds, leading to a low position operation in the next opportunity.
Remember that the capital damage value (B for short) in this case is only an approximation. Then multiply it by 3. As for why it is 3, I saw a lot of numbers from a book introducing gambling betting strategies. I have used this number for several years.
The last amount, a-3b=c, and C is the amount of funds you are using now.
In other words, after any unfavorable situation based on your trading rules occurs, the amount of funds you execute has not changed. For example, if you make 10 hand candy now, your capital must ensure that you can still make 10 hand candy in a reasonable time no matter what happens, otherwise you may be a victim of probability.
In fact, this is to resolve the asymmetry of the increase and decrease of the profit-loss ratio into absolute numerical equivalence. As long as you open the same number of hands in a planning period, the break-even point can be relatively equal.
In the face of overwhelming probability, we are very small, and expecting a miracle is the most immature performance. For the funerary objects under the immature probability, you must have a reasonable capital layout. As for those who are going to play with 1 cash from beginning to end, I suggest you buy lottery tickets. In fact, the probability of 1 buying 5 million lottery tickets with sugar in hand is far greater than the probability of earning 5 million through futures.
This is what I call fund management.
If you don't understand what I'm saying, maybe you don't understand it yet, or maybe I'm talking nonsense.
Only the feet know whether the shoes fit or not.
Everyone knows that profit comes from the advantages of winning percentage and odds, but the relationship between them is contradictory in many cases (I think most people understand this), and most traders are sacrificed in this contradiction. Some simple trading strategies can completely eliminate this contradiction.
1, pure pursuit of winning percentage.
Trading content: stop loss and take profit are the same, that is, the odds 1, and the pursuit of winning rate is completely simplified. As for the degree, it depends on the variety.
Key to trading: the selection of varieties is very important, and the trend is mainly defined in the link with long trading cycle.
2, simply pursue odds.
Transaction content: here, the winning rate will no longer be the content of the transaction, reasonable stop loss+fixed-period dead profit list; Reduce the number of stops by regularly controlling the number of transactions.
For example, taking a trading day as the trading cycle, it is generally traded twice a day with a fixed stop loss. If the position is in line with the market, the take profit order will be held until the close.
Key to trading: look for varieties that are more active and easy to make a big market. If you trade twice a day, the odds must exceed 4 to have trading value.
Original link: intraday risk-free futures profit method