This round of price adjustment is the first downward adjustment in 2020, and the decline is also the highest since 2065 438+24: 00 on June 2009 (gasoline and diesel decreased by 465 and 445 yuan/ton respectively). In June 65438+1October 65438+April this year, the first round adjustment of domestic refined oil prices ran aground. After this price adjustment, the price adjustment of refined oil in 2020 showed a pattern of "one stranded and one falling". According to Zhongyu Information's calculation, if gasoline and diesel are lowered by 420 yuan/ton and 405 yuan/ton respectively, it is equivalent to the price increase of 89#0.30, 92#0.32, 95#0.3 and 0#0.34 yuan/liter.
According to China News Network, after this downward adjustment, the cost of social oil will be greatly reduced, and a car with a 50-liter fuel tank will cost about 16 yuan less. In terms of logistics and transportation, taking a truck with a load of 50 tons as an example, the fuel consumption of a heavy load of 100 kilometers is about 40L, and the monthly running speed is 10000 kilometers. After the price adjustment is realized, the monthly fuel consumption cost will increase by about 1360 yuan. For private cars, based on the 420 yuan/ton reduction of gasoline this time, the car owner will reduce the fuel consumption cost by about 5 1.2 yuan per month for the car that runs 2000 kilometers and consumes 8 gasoline per 100 kilometers per month.
Xu Na, an analyst at Zhuo Chuang Information, pointed out that during the current price adjustment cycle, the international crude oil price started to decline for five days from the close of 1 to 2 1, and then the fear of increasing US oil inventories and slowing demand hit the market, and crude oil suffered another setback. Under this influence, the change rate of domestic crude oil is always in the negative range and continues to fall deeply.
According to the principle of "once every 10 working day", the next price adjustment window of domestic refined oil will open at 24: 00 on February 8. Xu Na believes that it remains to be seen whether the demand for crude oil can recover in the later period. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries may consider deepening production cuts to stabilize the oil market, and oil prices are expected to bottom out in the near future. However, if the demand recovery is insufficient, the possibility of further decline in oil prices cannot be ruled out. Therefore, at the beginning of the next pricing cycle, the rate of change of crude oil may still be at a low level, and the possibility of continued downward adjustment of domestic refined oil prices is not ruled out.
International oil prices fell for the fourth consecutive week. Concerns about the slowdown in oil demand caused by the epidemic continue to ferment. Although the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies may discuss further production cuts, the news curbed the decline in crude oil prices, but European and American crude oil futures still fell to the lowest level in more than a year.
As of February 3rd, US crude oil closed at 50. 1 1 USD/barrel, the lowest since June 20th19, down 1.45 USD, down 2.8% from the previous trading day. Cloth crude oil closed at 54.45 USD/barrel, the lowest since February was 3 1 and 20 18, down 3.765438 USD +0.
U.S. crude oil fell 20.8% from the high of $63.27 per barrel set by1October 6, 65438, and Burundi crude oil futures fell 2 1% from the recent high of $69.02 per barrel set by 20 19. China also took measures to prevent the spread of the epidemic, and some public transport stopped. With the decrease of personnel flow, domestic consumption of refined oil products has been greatly reduced.
Source:? China Economic Net
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