Stock index futures will open 15 minutes earlier than the stock market and close 15 minutes later. And you can use the early 15 minute trend of stock index futures to "predict" the trend of the stock market that day. Stock index futures opened earlier than the stock market, which can really digest the previously announced news to some extent.
Analysts believe that the opening and closing of the stock market are almost the same as those of stock index futures, so the trend of stock index futures is often equal to "predicting" the trend of the stock market that day.
In fact, when we predict the stock market according to the news, it is often not very accurate. There is a simple reason. What you see is indeed a lot of interest rate cuts, but at the same time there are also a lot of bad news to "hedge". Under such circumstances, it is often difficult to grasp who wins or loses from both sides of the news, and after the launch of stock index futures, its early trend will tell you the result of "hedging"-who is the big winner.
2. Use the futures index to "predict" the spot trend.
The charm of the futures market lies in letting you really know the price. Does the charm of stock index futures lie in letting you really know the price in the spot market?
Of course, although stock index futures have foresight and early reaction to a certain extent, this early reaction cannot be understood as decisive. Just like real-time weather forecast, it may be right or wrong, but the real weather in the future will not change under the influence of false alarm.
3. Look at the futures index positions-know where the main force is going.
"According to the stock index futures positions, trading volume, basis (= spot price-futures price) and other indicators, it can provide some new ideas for investors to operate stocks." Analysts said.
Stock index futures not only announce trading volume, but also announce positions. Because the stock index futures adopt the big single declaration system, investors can not only see how many positions they hold, but also see the seats they hold.
Liu, a senior analyst of mainland futures, said, for example, small positions represent few people participating, while large positions represent many people participating, and the market differentiation is quite large. Many people are bullish and many people are bearish. If everyone is bullish and a few are bearish, then the position will be small. The bigger the position, the greater the probability that the market outlook will change! !
In the operation of stock index futures, we can see whether those "big households" are bullish or bearish. The sum of positions held by many parties in "big households" is often inconsistent with the sum of positions held by empty parties. If many parties are far greater than the empty side, it means that the strength of the main bulls is greater than that of the main bears. 4. Look at the price difference change-predict whether to bargain-hunting or escape from the top.
The spread refers to the price difference between the spot market and the futures market, and between the near and long-term contracts. Properly used, this price difference can also be a "magic weapon" to judge the market trend.