There is a great demand for eggs in China, so there are also many areas for laying hens. For farmers, the efficiency of laying hens is their most concerned issue. What about the egg market in the second half of the year? Let's have a look.

Eggs are common food on the table, and many people like to eat them.

There is a great demand for eggs in China, so there are also many areas for laying hens. For farmers, the efficiency of laying hens is their most concerned issue. What about the egg market in the second half of the year? Let's have a look.

First, the new changes in the laying hens industry

At present, there are mainly these changes in the laying hen industry, that is, the number of laying hens continues to recover and the proportion of egg powder increases; The difference between Taobao chicken and eggs is too big; Protein gap under African swine fever; Suddenly eggs turn to business; The occurrence of classical swine fever affects the proportion of egg substitution; Fluctuations in pig prices, etc. , are all factors affecting the laying hens industry.

Second, the price of eggs in the second half of the year is 20 19

The second half of every year is the peak season for eggs, especially in August and September.

The temperature is high in August and September every year, and the heat is not conducive to hens laying eggs. Moreover, when school starts in August and September, the demand for eggs in school canteens has greatly increased.

At this time, when the market demand exceeds the output, the price of eggs will rise.

In various festivals, such as Christmas and New Year's Day, the demand for eggs will also increase.

Coupled with the influence of African swine fever, at this time, consumers will turn their attention to meat substitutes-eggs, thus increasing the demand for eggs.

At present, farmers and breeding enterprises have a high enthusiasm for directly subsidizing chicks. It is predicted that in the second half of 20 19, the price of eggs will increase under the stimulation of considerable profits from chicken washing and breeding. It is predicted that the peak price will be around 4.5 yuan.

Three. Egg futures market 20 19

At present, under the theme of pig price fermentation, it is difficult to stop speculation, which will affect egg futures and spot prices for a long time.

In addition, the high price of eliminated chickens supports the logic of accelerating the elimination of production capacity after every sharp drop in spot, which may lead to off-season.

Finally, the failure of broilers sounded the alarm for eggs. Under the background that laying hens are constantly filling the column, it can be expected that eggs may also fall sharply similar to broilers.

Under the background of high profits and high compensation this year, it is difficult to change the idea of shorting the industry. If the investors do more in the context of swine fever, they will not defect collectively in the first half of the year. As long as the spots of eggs cannot be completely falsified, the hearts of both sides will be entangled for a long time. The earliest time of counterfeiting is in the current decline, and every off-season and peak season in the future will be a window of counterfeiting time.

This is a process that needs to be balanced. Paying attention to the price and supply and demand of live pigs and broilers at the same time will help to grasp the expected strength of the funders and finally step on the beat of the market, rather than simply looking at the spot price.

The above is an introduction to the egg forecast in the second half of 20 19. As can be seen from the contents and data, the price of eggs is affected by many aspects, and African swine fever is the most influential one at present. Therefore, if swine fever is completely solved in the second half of the year, it will have a certain impact on the egg market. In short, from the current point of view, the egg industry is ok in the second half of the year, and we will wait and see.