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The price increase of grain is crazy. Wheat has surpassed 1.8 yuan. Has the spring of rural planting come? What do you think of this?
It is beneficial for farmers to raise grain appropriately, which can arouse their enthusiasm for growing grain. The price of wheat 1.8 is not too high, grain has gone up, and other pesticides and fertilizers have also gone up artificially. Now, the country is urging farmers not to starve their land.

Rising food prices are not a good thing for farmers.

No matter how much it goes up, it won't go up. The price increase is also temporary, mainly because of the food shortage caused by the Ukrainian-Russian war. But it doesn't mean that there is a shortage of food, which has little impact on China. China has sufficient grain reserves, even if it doesn't grow grain for three years. Many people may say that the increase in food prices is good for farmers. Actually, you think too much. Once the price of grain increases, all materials will double. Generally speaking, it is the farmers who suffer. Obviously, the price of grain has not risen for decades, but it has risen a little every year, but the ups and downs are not limited to the seeds of pesticides and fertilizers. In the end, farmers can't profit from growing grain.

This year's grain price increase has nothing to do with rural spring, but I think it has something to do with farmers' winter. Why? Many countries can't import food from Russia because businessmen can't get up early and all kinds of media are reporting the Russian-Ukrainian war. Because Russia's grain output is also one of the best in the world, it will raise the price of grain. Of course, the war between Russia and Ukraine will also raise food prices for two to three years, because their war cannot be planted and exported.

What is the specific reason for this price increase?

In fact, a big reason is the problem of supply, that is, the eruption of Tonga volcano and the war in Ukraine this year may have a major impact on food supply. Pessimism about global grain output leads to a sharp rise in grain prices in the futures market, while the spot market naturally follows the pricing of the futures market.

There is also the large-scale issuance of US dollars last year, which led to excessive currency and pushed up food prices. The combination of these two factors has pushed up the price of food.

A kilo of wheat is 1.8 yuan, and the yield of an acre of land is 1.000 kg, so the income of an acre of wheat is 1.8 * 1.000 yuan = 1.08 yuan. At present, land rotation, chemical fertilizer, seeds, pesticides, weeding, irrigation, harvesters, transportation and so on are also very expensive. Wheat has only increased by a few cents over the years, but look at the prices of other things in life.

Farmers' income from growing grain

Always can't keep up with the pace of rising prices, and some even euphemistically say: "Food can't go up in price, which is people's livelihood. If food also becomes a market economy, many poor people will not be able to afford food. "

Rising food prices have little impact on people's lives. People's wages have increased by 100 times compared with the 1980s, and food prices have increased by two or three times. Compared with the increase of people's wages and other items, the increase of food prices is the lowest, and as long as it does not exceed two yuan per catty, food prices are acceptable to people.

Calm observation, calm response, foreign food prices, domestic food prices do not necessarily appear, just like foreign oil and gas prices, domestic prices do not necessarily rise, while foreign oil and gas prices, domestic oil and gas prices will certainly rise. According to the fact that the domestic grain output is very stable and there is a bumper harvest every year, it is unrealistic to estimate the crazy rise of domestic food prices. Therefore, it is estimated that the spring of rural planting has come, and there is little difference in peacetime.