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202 1 how to judge the top deviation and bottom deviation of MACD?
202 1 how to judge the top deviation and bottom deviation of MACD?

It is not difficult to judge the top deviation and bottom deviation of MACD. Let's first understand what top deviation and bottom deviation are. The following is how to judge the top deviation and bottom deviation of MACD introduced by Xiaobian, hoping to help everyone.

How to judge the top deviation and bottom deviation of MACD?

MACD top deviation and bottom deviation are the analysis and judgment of MACD technical indicators and stock prices.

When the stock price rises for a period of time, the stock price hits a new high, but MACD does not hit a new high, then this is the top deviation of MACD;

After a period of decline, the stock price hit a new low, but MACD did not hit a new low. This is the bottom deviation of MACD.

When there is a top deviation, the stock price will generally fall. Especially after the stock price falls below the 20-day moving average, or after the 5-day dead fork 20-day moving average, it is the last chance to escape.

After the bottom deviation trend is formed, the stock price tends to rebound to a certain extent.

Then, after the trend of top deviation and bottom deviation appears, does the top deviation fall and the bottom deviation rise?

The answer is no.

After the top deviation occurs, the probability of falling is very high. Moreover, there is often a lot of room for decline. Therefore, when there is a top deviation, we must pay attention to controlling risks.

However, there are also some stocks that do not fall sharply after the top deviation, and resist the falling gravity caused by the bottom deviation through constant small shocks. It will rise again after a period of consolidation. Such stocks are often long-term bull stocks.

After the bottom deviation appears, the stock price does not necessarily rise.

Some stocks often deviate from the bottom twice or even three times before the stock price can rebound to a certain extent. Therefore, you can't buy impulsively as soon as you encounter the bottom deviation, and it's easy to buy a set!

Use MACD to capture the best selling (shorting) points as follows:

Adjust the relevant parameters of MACD-MACD parameters to: 8, 13, 9; The moving average parameters are 5 10 and 30 respectively. After setting the parameters, it is time to find a selling point. ? Because a stock has many selling points, here are two most effective and commonly used methods to escape from the top:

The first selling point or relative top-refers to the stock price sideways after a sharp rise, thus forming a relatively high point. Investors, especially those with a large amount of funds, must ship at the first selling point or reduce their positions. How to judge the establishment of "the first selling point"? That is, "the stock price is sideways, and the MACD dead fork is sold". That is to say, when the stock price continues to rise sideways, the moving averages on the 5th and 10 have not yet formed a dead fork, but the MACD takes the lead in the dead fork, and the day of the dead fork is "the first? When the selling point is formed, it should be sold or lightened.

For the setting of this parameter, the author summarizes some experiences for readers' reference:

1. As far as individual stocks are concerned, the values of DIF line and MACD line marked on the vertical axis of MACD are very important. Generally speaking, the dead fork of MACD indicator at high level is often effective. The high position of this parameter is above+1.5, and some super-strong stocks can reach the range of 3 to 6. As long as the dead fork appears in these ranges, the price can often be bearish in the middle line, during which there will generally be a rebound, but there is no new market.

Second, as far as individual stocks are concerned, the effective interval of the golden intersection of the MACD indicator DIF and the MACD line should be below -0.45 on the vertical axis, otherwise it is of little significance, but the trend of some super-strong stocks may be an exception, which needs to be comprehensively judged by other indicators.

3. Generally speaking, when the DIF line and MACD line continue to climb up, away from the red column line, the red column line continues to shrink or even the green column line appears, we should be alert to the high-level dead fork of the indicator and the turning point of the price trend.

Four, with special emphasis on the use of deviation as an indicator. When the price continues to rise and hit a new high, the MACD indicator fails to touch the previous high point, which means that the price may fall back at any time; The upward force is not strong. Similarly, we can also summarize the situation when prices continue to fall.

The death of this indicator is issued before the price falls, and the golden cross is generally issued after the price rises.

Six, the judgment of some oversold stocks should be based on the average system (55 days, 120 days, 250 days).