Is there a big change in the supply of live pigs in China? With the increase of pig price, the appearance price of IOUs is also on the rise, and the increase of IOUs in some markets is 300-500 yuan/ton.
Please see the following analysis for details:
1, local market analysis:
Nowadays, the national pig price shows a large-scale upward trend, and the phenomenon of slaughtering enterprises raising prices to collect pigs has increased significantly.
By region:
The price of pigs in the northern region is mainly rising.
Sanyuan pigs outside Heilongjiang rose by 0. 1 yuan/kg, and the mainstream price was 7.6-8.0 yuan/kg; Jilin rose by 0. 1 yuan/kg, and the mainstream price was 7.6-8.2 yuan/kg; Liaoning rose by 0. 1 yuan/kg, and the mainstream price was 7.7-8.2 yuan/kg.
Farmers' reluctance to sell is obvious, and the supply of live pigs in the market is tight, but the consumer side has not actively boosted it. The increase in pig prices is only supported by tight supply.
The southern region has risen across the board.
Guangdong foreign sanyuan pigs rose by 0. 1 yuan/kg, and the mainstream price was 8.7-9. 1 yuan/kg; Guangxi rose by 0. 1 yuan/kg, and the mainstream price was 7.7-8.3 yuan/kg; Hainan rose by 0. 1 yuan/kg, and the mainstream price was 8. 1-8.6 yuan/kg.
The market expectation is strong, and the big market has a certain premium.
2. White and pork price data information
According to the market treasure, the wholesale price of white bars in the national wholesale market today is mainly steady and rising.
White bars in some markets rose by 300-500 yuan/ton.
Due to the increase in the cost of collecting pigs, the price of white bars passively followed suit.
However, after the price increase, the sales pressure is greater, and the actual transaction price is lower than the opening price.
The price of Beijing Xinfadi white striped pig is 9.5- 10.5 yuan/kg, up 0. 1 yuan/kg; The rear buttock tip is 5.5- 10.5 yuan/kg, and the high price is increased by 0.5 yuan/kg.
Pork belly 9.0- 14.5 yuan/kg.
3. Progress of live pig futures:
On June 13, the main contract of live pig futures opened at 190 10 yuan/ton, and closed at 19 195 yuan/ton, up by 3. 14%.
Settlement price 19 175 yuan/ton.
Today, the spot price shows a rising trend from north to south.
Driven by spot prices, futures prices rose sharply in intraday trading.
At present, the spot price of futures is still around 2000 points, indicating that the market has strong bullish expectations for the market outlook.
4. Pig market outlook.
On the whole, the pig price has been consolidating around 8 yuan/Jin for several months.
Last weekend, it finally ushered in a breakthrough, breaking through the 8 yuan/Jin mark.
Among them, the price of pigs in Northeast China has risen to 7.7-8.2 yuan/kg, and the price of pigs in parts of North China is in 8.5 yuan/kg.
However, the rise in the south is not obvious, and the phenomenon of north-south inversion appears in some areas.
With the large-scale rise of pig prices, the bullish expectations of farmers may heat up, and market treasure predicts that pig prices may still rise in recent days.
However, the current demand is still weak, and the market demand for large chemical fertilizers is not high in hot weather. Pigs fattened for the second time before may be slaughtered this month.
It is suggested that farmers arrange slaughter reasonably and be careful about pressing the fence.
What source: what original author supports the agricultural market package:
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