Current location - Trademark Inquiry Complete Network - Futures platform - What is the reason for the sharp drop in gold prices?
What is the reason for the sharp drop in gold prices?
According to analysis, the recent plunge in international gold prices is due to the different economic fundamentals of different countries and the different monetary policies of different countries, which makes the dollar continue to strengthen; In addition, due to the expansion of crude oil and the low global inflation rate, these have brought downward pressure on gold prices.

It is understood that the price of gold has fallen recently, which is the first consecutive annual decline since 2000. The reason is that the Federal Reserve (Fed) does not buy its bond plan, and the price of crude oil has fallen, which greatly reduces the necessity of gold as a hedge against inflation.

In addition, with the outflow of gold and exchange traded funds (ETFs), gold entered the market, releasing a bearish signal, which made the price trend of gold worse.

Moreover, from the current situation, the psychological impact of the Fed's withdrawal from QE policy on the gold price is slowly being digested, but the actual impact of the deterioration of the safe-haven function of gold and the increase in the attractiveness of the US dollar on the gold price is slowly rising. It is expected that the price of gold will still fall in the future, but it will be supported by about 1 100 USD.

In the short-term trend, if the gold ETF strengthens its liquidation, the international gold price is likely to continue to fall.

First of all, gold investment is mainly divided into physical gold, gold T+D, paper gold, spot gold, international spot gold (commonly known as London gold), futures gold, gold advance payment and people's livelihood gold, which are eight popular forms of gold investment.

Physical gold, buying and selling gold in kind by buying and selling gold bars and ornaments. Physical gold: in the form of 1: 1, that is, no matter how much gold is purchased in any currency, it can preserve its value, and it can only buy up, but not down, with a large amount of investment and complicated procedures and expenses. It's hard to tell true from false.

Gold T+D: The leverage ratio is 1: 5. The transaction is divided into three time periods, two-way transaction, no price difference. The disadvantage is that the transaction is inactive and there is a premium. You can choose a bank. The advantage is that the bank provides it, but the disadvantage is that the bank fee is ridiculously high.

Paper gold: Paper gold is the unique business of China Construction Bank, China Industrial Bank and China Construction Bank in China. Paper gold is a paper transaction of gold, and the transaction record of investors is only reflected in the "gold passbook account" opened by individuals in advance, and does not involve the withdrawal of physical gold. The profit model is to buy low and sell high, so as to obtain the difference profit. Paper gold is actually profitable through speculative trading, rather than investing in physical gold. The advantage is that banks provide it, but the disadvantage is that there is no leverage and the cost is too high.

Spot gold: the domestic handling fee is about 7/ 10000, and it is traded 24 hours a day. The time price is in line with the international gold price market. The T+0 trading mode allows two-way operation to buy up and down, and the leverage ratio is relatively low, which is 1: 12.5. It is the only investment product in China that adopts the market maker system and can extract physical gold.

International spot gold: commonly known as London gold, spot gold is also called speculative London gold or international gold, and the leverage ratio is updated to 400 times. On 20 13, the FXCM global gold exchange was opened, with a maximum leverage of 400 yuan and a maximum foreign exchange of 400 yuan. No time limit, online trading, T+0 trading form, 24-hour continuous trading from Monday to Friday, and two-way buying. The gold code is XAU _ USD or gold, which can simulate 200 times of lever learning by default.

Futures gold: refers to a futures contract with the gold price in the international gold market at a certain time in the future as the trading target. The profit and loss of investors buying and selling gold futures is measured by the difference between the time of entry and exit, which is the physical delivery after the contract expires.

Gold advance payment: Gold advance payment business, also known as gold extension business, is a relatively mainstream gold investment method in China. For example, the gold advance payment business launched by the northern gold and silver industry uses 25 times or 50 times leverage, and only needs to pay 2% or 4% advance payment, so as to realize the purchase and sale of the gold target contract, and close the position through the e-commerce system to achieve the purpose of obtaining the price difference.

Minsheng Gold: Minsheng Gold is the abbreviation of Minsheng Gold Accumulation Plan business, which refers to the gold investment business provided by China Minsheng Bank to domestic individual customers with RMB as the transaction settlement currency, which can realize the withdrawal of physical gold. Customers can buy at a low price and sell at a high price according to the fluctuation of gold price, earn the difference or make an appointment to withdraw the spot. The advantage is that it is provided by the bank, which can extract physical gold and enjoy the benefits of gold production and the profits brought by the rise in gold prices.