First of all, the world rice price may rise sharply. The reason why the prices of rice and other grains remain relatively stable is that the current output of rice and related grains exceeds people's demand. When the supply can meet the demand, the price will naturally not fluctuate greatly. As a big exporter of rice and other cereals, India exports a large amount of cereals every year, especially the total amount of rice it exports has accounted for 35%-40% of the national rice trade. Therefore, if India exports rice to the outside world now, it will have a certain impact on the global rice supply and will also bring about an increase in rice prices.
Secondly, India's ban on the export of broken rice will damage the quality of life of the poor in some countries to a certain extent, and may even lead to a situation where there is no food. In addition to being a big rice exporter, India's rice export price is also low. Moreover, India will also export broken rice. Although the taste and quality of broken rice are not comparable to other high-quality rice, the price of broken rice is far lower than that of high-quality rice. For economically underdeveloped countries, such as Nigeria and Benin, broken rice is also a precious food for their residents, enabling them to fill their stomachs in a lower way.
In addition, the increase of rice tariff price will also affect the increase of other food prices to some extent. Because food crops such as rice and flour are substitutes. In other words, for people in some areas, they can eat both rice and pasta. When the price of rice rises, they will tend to buy flour and other food substitutes, which will also lead to the price increase of flour and other food substitutes.