Whenever there is a correction in the market or individual stocks, a question will emerge in investors' minds: Is it time to enter the market for bargain hunting? In fact, in every decline, there are indeed many hunters. The following are some successful operation skills _ the secret of accurate bargain-hunting and escaping from the top compiled by Bian Xiao for your reference only, hoping to help you.
What are the opportunities for bargain hunting?
In fact, the key to the success of "bargain-hunting" lies in the choice of timing. The following are three situations that easily lead to the failure of bargain hunting:
First, after a period of rising, the market suddenly plunged from a high level.
This is usually a sign that the market trend will reverse, but there are three kinds of people who are very likely to have the impulse to enter the market at this time: those who gave up a large part of their profits because they sold too early in the early stage, those who cut their meat because they were afraid of another big drop at the beginning of the market recovery, and those who wanted to make a big profit later because they heard that their colleagues and neighbors had made money in stock trading.
Second, the market fell for several days in a row, and the decline was also considerable.
Usually, investors who have successfully escaped from the top to make money in the early stage, when they see that the stock price is lower than the last purchase price and hear many experts in the media assert that they can never fall below the support level, they subjectively think that the opportunity to make money is coming again, so they return to the market again. But whether it is the bottom or not will never depend on the subjective will of some people, so this way of bargain-hunting is usually copied halfway up the mountain.
Third, on the way down in the market, there suddenly appeared great and substantial good news, and you blindly entered the market for bargain-hunting based on your own judgment or the judgment of some experts.
Experience shows that whether a news that can affect the market trend is good or bad, whether it should prompt the market to reverse or continue to fall, is not determined by some people's subjective will, but depends on the result of the game between long and short sides, so the result of rushing into the market for bargain hunting is mostly ominous.
So, when should we choose to enter the market to ensure success? To sum up, there should be the following characteristics: the market will not fall when it is bad, or even go high and low; The overall market turnover has shrunk to the level of land turnover; All major sectors have fallen beyond recognition, and no one has been spared; The bearish voice in the media is still endless.
What are the operating skills for successful bargain hunting?
Bottom-hunting: you must have reverse thinking and patience.
We can simplify the shape of the bottom into two types, a pointed bottom and a round bottom. The sharp bottom is also a V-shaped reversal, which shows that the stock price rises rapidly and the slope is large. Its formation is generally due to the accelerated decline in the early stage, which leads to the oversold and high deviation rate of each index, resulting in retaliatory rise, and sometimes the sudden emergence of major good news in the process of decline will also constitute a V-shaped reversal.
There is a very practical trick to deal with the sharp bottom, that is, "the more you fall, the more you buy." The sharp drop is sometimes caused by the strong shock of the dealer, deliberately making the graphics ugly and dangerous. When the weak-willed man was knocked down, he began to pull up sharply. In fact, this provides a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for those stocks that are clear-headed and good at reverse thinking, because the short-term sharp fluctuation of stock price brought by the sharp bottom is the easiest to bring rich returns to stocks.
The round bottom is much more stable than the sharp bottom, which is characterized by long-term platform consolidation and long-term low transaction. Of course, it is not excluded that some stocks construct an arc bottom by slightly oscillating at the bottom. It is really difficult to determine the best time to intervene in the round bottom, which requires great patience, because you never know when the stock price will really start, and the stock will only be dead and boring before it starts. If retail investors want to get involved in such stocks, they will be foolproof only after they really start, and buying the second lowest point is also a good result.
As for how to judge a startup, it is necessary to analyze the stock price in combination with the transaction volume. As long as the stock price rises slowly and gets rid of the platform, and the trading volume rises steadily, it can be preliminarily judged that the stock price starts. It should be noted that most of them will be full of twists and turns after they start.
Escape from the top: give the last profit to others
Corresponding to the two forms of the bottom, the top also has two forms: spire and dome. In the past, the stock market peaked at most, and the stock index peaked quickly in the last madness. However, at present, the stock market adopts dome shape at most, and the stock index begins to fall after building a platform at a high level for several days or releasing a few crows in an arc, which seems to have gradually become a trend.
For retail investors, the spire shape is easier to master than the dome shape. As long as you stay calm when the market is crazy, you can usually escape from the top. The main sign that the stock entered the final pull-up stage is the continuous amplification of the sun and the surge in trading volume. It is very dangerous when the turnover rate of stocks reaches more than 20%. The stock may peak at any time in the next few days. Although there are several big possibilities, rational stocks should be sold promptly and decisively, and the final profits will be given to others.
The top three killing secrets with the highest accuracy of bargain hunting, escaping from the top
In fact, the stock market is not complicated, but people's hearts are complicated. The so-called "three unique skills" refers to the comprehensive use of horses, horses and horses to judge the market. It is the foundation of the Red Gate and belongs to Aauto Quicker martial arts. After nearly five years of repeated summary and improvement, I have now entered the realm of great success. The accuracy of daily forecast is 70%-75%, and the accuracy of top judgment can reach about 90%. Summary: When the KDJ index falls below the May moving average at the same time, the steady investors should clear their positions in time, and the aggressive investors can temporarily reduce their positions to half positions, because there may be a 1-2 counter-draw xiaoyang line in the later period. However, when the closing price stands above the May moving average, the stock index does not hit a new low, and the direction line J value turns upside down or KDJ crosses, aggressive investors can wait for Man Cang to rise, and the steady type is better with semi-warehouse rolling operation.
As a practical example, let's take a look at the trading points on the monthly chart of the Shanghai Composite Index in recent years:
(1) sold1:165438+1October 487 1.78 in 2007. At this time, KDJ's dead fork fell below the May moving average and then rebounded.
(2) Buy 1: 1990.66 points in June 2009. At this point, it closed above the May moving average and was at the bottom of KDJ.
(3) 10 00+2989.29 2: 2065438+65438 sold. At this time, KDJ's dead fork fell below the May moving average and then rebounded.
(4) Buy 2: 2065438+2638.80 in August 2000. At this time, the closing price stood above the May moving average, the stock index did not hit a new low, and the J value of the direction line turned upward.
(5) It was sold at 3:20 165438+2743.47 on May, when KDJ was dead-forked and fell below the May moving average.
In addition, with the introduction of stock index futures, it is difficult to reproduce the unilateral market in the future, and the box shock will become the norm. At this time, we can simply judge and operate according to the J value of the direction line in the KDJ index, that is, when the J value is above 100, it will rise and sell, and when the J value is below the 0 axis, it will be absorbed in batches.
Secondly, let's look at the trading points on the weekly chart of the Shanghai Composite Index. Similar to the method of judging the moon line, it is also based on the gains and losses of horses (5). The difference between the two is that the MACD indicator is added to the weekly line. Specific to the recent trend, because the 2680 point line is the lower rail support line of the convergence triangle formed in recent years, if it breaks, the consequences will be serious, and the bulls will defend it to the death. So this week, both sides will go back and forth in the 2700-2750 area.