The industry believes that the recent increase in pig prices is mainly affected by factors such as the slow pace of slaughter at the breeding end and the hoarding of goods in some areas.
For the pig price in the second half of the year, the overall rebound is expected to be mainly seasonal.
In the third quarter, it was above the break-even line of the pig industry. Seasonal consumption in the fourth quarter led to a rebound in pig prices, which is expected to return to the normal profit range.
1, local market analysis:
According to market data, today's national pig prices are mainly stable, and the phenomenon of slaughtering enterprises raising prices to collect pigs has increased compared with yesterday.
By region:
The price of pigs in the northern region has risen steadily.
Sanyuan pigs outside Heilongjiang are stable, and the mainstream price is 7.5-8.0 yuan/kg; Jilin is stable, and the mainstream price is 7.6-8.0 yuan/kg; Liaoning rose by 0. 1 yuan/kg, and the mainstream price was 7.6-8.0 yuan/kg.
Farmers are still bullish on the market outlook, but the downstream products are in poor condition, and the willingness of slaughter enterprises to collect pigs at low prices still exists. The price of pigs is mainly low, supplemented by low prices.
The main line in the southern region is stable.
Sanyuan pigs outside Guangdong are stable, and the mainstream price is 8.9-9.3 yuan/kg; Guangxi rose by 0. 1 yuan/kg, and the mainstream price was 7.6-8.3 yuan/kg; Hainan is stable, and the mainstream price is 8.0-8.4 yuan/kg.
The delivery of pork is general, the sales of white strips in slaughter enterprises are not good, and the resistance to the rise of pig prices still exists.
2. White and pork price data information
According to the market treasure, the wholesale price of white bars in the national wholesale market today shows a narrow adjustment trend.
Terminal demand is poor, traders are not enthusiastic about receiving goods, and weak consumption restricts the upward trend of pig prices.
The price of Beijing Xinfadi white striped pig is 9.5- 10.7 yuan/kg, with a partial drop of 0.5 yuan/kg; The rear hip tip is 9.0- 10.5 yuan/kg, which is the same as yesterday.
Pork belly 12.0- 13.5 yuan/kg, the highest price 14.5 yuan/kg, down by 0.5 yuan/kg.
3. Progress of live pig futures:
On May 23rd, the opening price of the main pig futures contract was 19065 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 19 100 yuan/ton, down 0.47%.
Settlement price 18970 yuan/ton.
The epidemic affected consumption, food and beverage consumption was limited, coupled with slow production capacity, market sentiment was suppressed, and the futures price of the main contract was once again adjusted back to 19000 yuan/ton.
4. Pig market outlook.
Judging from the difficulty of collecting pigs in slaughter enterprises, it is still difficult for slaughter enterprises to collect pigs today.
Farmers are more eager to rise, and the market standard pigs are reduced.
For the market in the second half of this year, some experts believe that the pig industry is above the break-even line in the third quarter, and the profit is not great.
In the fourth quarter, driven by seasonal consumption, pig prices are expected to return to the profit range.
However, if the market is in line with expectations, it may lead to an imbalance in the supply and demand structure.
What source: what original author supports the agricultural market package:
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