(This article is from Baidu Library and shared with the landlord. )
One indicator: MACD
Moving average: 30-day moving average
A skill: weekly two gold forks catch bull stocks.
One: buy "small" and sell "small"
This is a simple way to capture the best trading point by using MACD.
Here "big" and "small" refer to the big green column, small green column, big red column and small red column of MACD. In operation, we generally ignore the two white and * * * curves of DIF and MACD in the figure, and we only pay attention to the changes of red and green columns.
There is a saying in Cao Gui's debate, which is called "assemble, then descend, and finally run out". In the stock market, whenever the head and bottom are formed, the market will provide us with two or more opportunities (entry or exit). After "big red" comes "little red" and after "big green" comes "little green".
When an aggressive decline or an aggressive rise begins, we should first avoid its momentum and continue to wait and see. In other words, after a wave of decline, when the stock is at the lowest price, a wave of "big green columns" appears on the MACD. Don't consider entering the market at first, wait for the first wave of rebound (red column appears). When the MACD bottomed out for the second time, a "small green column" appeared (the green column is obviously smaller than the big green column in front). When the small green column flattens or contracts, it means that the falling force has been exhausted, and this is the best buying point, which is called buying small (that is, buying on the small green column).
The same is true of the obvious rise. When the first wave is pulled up (red column appears on MACD), don't consider shipping. When the first Bora comes back and rises again for the second time, a "red column" appears on MACD (the red column is obviously smaller than the red column in front), indicating that the upward momentum is insufficient, so it is necessary to consider leaving the market for shipping. It's a small sell.
In other words, when the market "gathers", whether it is rising or falling, we should wait and see; When the market "falls again", we will consider entering the market or reducing the position; When the "three exhausts" are exhausted, you should chase after the gains in heavy positions, or kill the shipments.
Of course, this method can also be used for trading in time-sharing systems.
To sum up, the formula of this method is: buy small and sell small (buy small green column and sell small red column), the front is big and then small (that is, the front is big green column or red column, and the back is often small green column or red column).
Two: "weekly secondary gold fork" to catch big bull stocks
Because the highest level of actual combat operation is "from avenue to simplicity", there is only one moving average in each cycle in actual combat operation: the 30-day moving average. Only use this 30-day moving average to analyze the trading market or individual stocks.
When the stock price (weekly chart) rebounds after a period of decline and breaks through the 30-week line, we call it "weekly golden fork", which is just that the banker is opening a position. We should not participate, but wait and see; When the stock price (weekly chart) breaks through the 30-week line again, we call it "the second golden fork of the weekly line", which means that the dealer's washing is over and it is about to enter the pull-up.
During the promotion period, the market outlook will have a larger increase. We should pay close attention to the trend of stocks. Once its daily system or time-sharing system (60 minutes, 30 minutes) sends out a buying signal (such as MACD's little green column buying point), we should not hesitate to enter the market to buy the stock. In addition, it can also extend the conditions for the "second golden fork of the moon line" to produce bull stocks. It can be said that 90% of big bull stocks have this condition.
For example, Changan Automobile's share price (weekly closing price) broke through the 30-week line on April 12, 2002, forming the first golden fork; On June 25, 2002 10, the stock price broke through the 30-week line again, forming what we call the "weekly secondary golden fork". Let's look at its monthly chart again: on April 28, 2000, the stock price (monthly closing price) broke through the March line, forming the first golden cross, and on April 30, 2002, the stock price broke through the March line again, forming what we call the "monthly second golden cross"
On June 4, 2002, the share price (weekly closing price) of FAW Car broke through the 30-week line, forming the first golden fork; On June 2003, 65438+1October 10, the stock price once again broke through the 30-week line, forming what we call the "weekly secondary golden fork".
On March 8, 2002, the stock price (weekly closing price) of Shanghai Airport broke through the 30-week line, forming the first golden fork; On June 29, 2003, at 65438, the stock price broke through the 30-week line again, forming what we call the "weekly second golden fork".
Three. Principle: Multi-period vibration
Multi-cycle mainly refers to the seven cycles of month, week, day, 60 minutes, 30 minutes, 15 minutes and 5 minutes. Month and week can be divided into one cycle, and 60 minutes and 30 minutes can be divided into one cycle. Multi-cycle * * * vibration means that any buying point or selling point must have two or more cycles to issue the buying point or selling point (of course, the more the better) before it can be considered for entering the market to buy or sell, and the buying point issued in one cycle is not considered.
Specifically, when trading points are issued on the monthly chart or weekly chart (these two periods can be combined and only one trading point can be identified), at this time, one of its daily chart or time-sharing system (60 minutes, 30 minutes) also needs to issue trading points (such as trading points issued by red and green MACD or trading points issued by 30-day moving average) before buying or selling can be considered. If there are no trading points in the daily or time-sharing system, even if trading points are issued on the monthly or weekly lines, they should not be considered. Only when there are two or more cycles to issue trading points can we consider entering the market.
If it is short-term, that is, when a 60-minute chart or a 30-minute chart sends out trading points (these two periods can be drawn together, as long as there is one trading point), then one of its 15-minute chart or 5-minute chart must also send out trading points (such as the red trading point of MACD, the small green trading point or the trading point of the 30-day moving average) before considering buying or selling. If the 15-minute chart or the 5-minute chart has no trading points, even if the 60-minute chart or the 30-minute chart issues trading points, it should not be considered. Only when there are two or more cycles to issue trading points can we consider entering the market.
Of course, if there are trading points on both the monthly and weekly charts, it means that the strength of the market outlook will be great. Once the daily chart or time-sharing system issues a trading point, it will be held in a heavy position for a long time. (Because this is a trading point issued for more than two cycles) So is the time-sharing system.
It should also be emphasized that it doesn't matter what indicators are used here. It doesn't matter whether I use MACD or you use KDJ. What's important is that it takes several cycles to send out the purchase point.
4. Earn only what you can.
Because of the unknowability of the whole market, it is impossible to quantitatively analyze and describe the whole market. Any investment analysis theory is bound to be fuzzy and subjective. However, in the actual investment operation, there must be no ambiguity and subjectivity. This is the dilemma of the harmonious unity of investment analysis and judgment theory and investment actual combat theory.
The way we take is to admit that we are small, that we can do nothing at some time, and give up the illusion of knowing all the market rules. In actual combat. We only do markets and opportunities that we can understand and grasp, and we will not reluctantly do markets and opportunities that we cannot understand and grasp. The pursuit of perfection is the greatest enemy of success. This perfectionism will make it impossible for us to maintain inner peace and balance. Calm down and give up uncertain and uncertain market opportunities frankly to ensure that our investment activities are completely under our control.
Therefore, our actual combat operations must be based on objectivity and quantification as much as possible. We only earn our own profits from the market opportunities that can be obtained stably. What we pursue is inevitable success, not accidental luck. At the same time, the quantification and objectification of the actual trading operation signal is also the most important standard for us to evaluate and measure the operation quality.
Every investor must bear in mind that you are a market tracker, and all its practical actions must be based on objective signals from the market, not self-righteous predictions. This is the key to decide whether an investor is professional or not.
Wait patiently for a major market opportunity to make a profit. When significant market profit opportunities appear, there must be enough funds to participate, which is the key to successful investment.