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Where are the "heroes" of xiong'an new area's Millennium Plan? What changes will it bring to China's economy? What impact will it have on the world economy?

0 1. Why does xiong'an new area develop faster and have more space than Shenzhen and Pudong New Area?

Xiong'an new area planning and construction takes a specific area as the starting area for the first development, with the starting area of about 100 square kilometers, the medium-term development area of about 200 square kilometers and the long-term control area of about 2000 square kilometers.

I don't know this data, but I came out as soon as I compared its space. Shenzhen Special Economic Zone, with an area of 199 1.64 square kilometers and a population of1.38 million, started from 0 in 1980 and has developed to this point in 37 years. Pudong New Area, with an area of 12 10 square kilometer and a population of 5.475 million, was approved in 1992 and has been developing for 25 years. The goal of xiong'an new area in the future is to control 2,000 square kilometers, which shows that the economic scale will catch up with Shenzhen.

As we all know, China's reform and opening up has a "Shenzhen speed", and Pudong has also developed very rapidly after being approved, but Ba Jin believes that xiong'an new area will develop faster than Shenzhen and Pudong. This judgment is mainly based on three factors:

First, the starting point of development is different.

The economic base of xiong'an new area's initial development is far from comparable to that of 1980 and 1992. 1980 China's GDP was 458.8 billion, Guangdong's GDP was 25 billion, and Shenzhen's GDP was19.79 million. 1992, China's GDP was 2.7 trillion, and Shanghai's GDP was11400 million; In 20 17, China's GDP will approach 70 trillion, and the combined GDP of Hebei, Beijing and Tianjin will exceed 7 trillion. The GDP of the three counties included in xiong'an new area is now close to 20 billion, so their development starting point is completely different.

Second, relying on different population bases.

1980, Shenzhen was a small fishing village with no people at all, mainly relying on the population of 52 million in Guangdong Province. 1990 Shanghai's registered population and floating population are about140,000; Xiong'an new area relies on 74 million yuan, Beijing 2 1.729 million yuan and Tianjin 1.562 million yuan, not to mention an adjacent Henan province with a population of more than 65.438+0 billion. Therefore, in terms of population base, the starting point of xiong'an new area is much higher than the first two.

Third, the scale of talents is different.

What does development depend on? In the final analysis, it depends on talent! At present, China graduates 67 million college students every year, which is not comparable to Shenzhen and Pudong New Area in the 1960s and 1970s. It is no exaggeration to say that as long as xiong'an new area handles its policies properly, a large number of young talents will flock to xiong'an new area.

02. Where are the "heroes" of xiong'an new area's Millennium Project?

There is no doubt that this is a strategic decision of the country and is of great significance. In Ba Jin's view, its significance is twofold:

1. Evacuate Beijing's non-capital functional area.

As the capital of China, Beijing is very ill in big cities. Due to many opportunities and great development space, although Beijing's household registration is difficult, there are still a large number of people pouring into Beijing, with a total population of 2 1.73 million (as of 20 16), including 89 million floating population. Beijing is so crowded that if it is not adjusted, the diseases in big cities will become more and more serious, which will affect the development of economy and social civilization in the long run.

Based on this background, Beijing needs to gradually evacuate some of its non-capital functions and develop a new model of economic development with concentrated population. In fact, Tianjin has already taken over some of Beijing's non-capital functions before, but one Tianjin is far from enough, so the country began to make up its mind to integrate Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei. In other words, Beijing is preparing to evacuate some non-capital population and resources to areas adjacent to Beijing in Hebei.

In particular, because Beijing is already too crowded, there is actually not enough room for development. In this case, sustainable development will be affected if space expansion is not carried out. If we evacuate to Hebei now, some points released by Beijing will be used as seeds to drive the whole Hebei region, thus forming an economic growth region centered on the capital.

Second, accelerate industrial transformation and upgrading and supply-side reform in China.

Zhang Changfu, vice-president and secretary-general of China Steel Association, once described that "the global steel output ranks first in China, second in Hebei and third in Tangshan". This statement is not a joke, but a fact. This fact illustrates three points:

First, it shows that China plays the most important role in the world steelmaking industry; Second, it shows that there are some surpluses in some industries in China; Third, China's industrial restructuring, transformation and upgrading have reached an urgent point, and China must carry out supply-side reform.

With the establishment of xiong'an new area, Beijing's non-capital function has been directly transferred to xiong'an new area, which means that Hebei has gained a high-end economic growth point. Think about it, if it is adjusted, will economic restructuring, industrial upgrading and supply-side reform be improved? The innovation ability brought by Beijing to Hebei will accelerate the transformation and upgrading of Hebei's economy. The transformation and upgrading of Hebei's economy will also drive the transformation and upgrading of the national economy, which really kills two birds with one stone.

It is no exaggeration to say that with this policy, Hebei can develop its economy horizontally in the future!

Third, adjust the regional economic structure of China.

Tracing back to the history of China, we will find a rule that a country is generally strong in the north and weak in the south. In Rhea's view, the fundamental reason behind this lies in two aspects:

1. Northern China has been invaded by nomadic people for generations. In order to prevent nomads, the Great Wall was built from the Qin Dynasty to the Qing Dynasty. In this context, a dynasty that dares to make its capital in the north must have a powerful imperial court's ability to suppress the nomadic people in the north. Moreover, if the capital is located in the north and the emperor guards the border, the country will be more vigilant and pay more attention to the adaptation of national security and economic development, and there will be no absurd situation of "directly making Hangzhou a border state".

2. Historically, agriculture in the north was dominated by plain agriculture, and non-agricultural industries and businesses in the south were more developed. If the north loses its land, it will be homeless and difficult to survive. There is no place to support people in the south, so it is very good to live by craft and business in a different place. And the south is much better than the north, which is often harassed by nomadic people. Therefore, relatively speaking, the south is often superior to the north in economy, but it is weaker than the north in the sense of national hardship.

However, for China, the capital is in the north. When the northern economy is prosperous, the country will be stable and prosperous. On the contrary, the northern economy is weak, and the country is often relatively weak. Therefore, for China, developing the northern and inland economies is the direction for China to become a powerful country.

For China, the development of the southeast coastal economy is only necessary for the phased development of China's economic docking with western countries from the sea in the 30 years before the reform and opening up, but it is by no means all. China really entered its own strategic strategy, starting from the development of the western region, and the "Belt and Road" strategy is moving from the internal development of the western region to internationalization. However, we have to say that the western and northern directions of China are much weaker than the eastern and southern directions. Therefore, if our country wants to grow and develop, it must develop the economy in the west and north.

In the north, of course, Beijing, the capital, is the most economically developed, so if we outline a Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region with Beijing as the center and extend it to the Bohai Economic Circle, the economic development of northern China will usher in a new and great change. Think about it. When China's economy is no longer in a state of balance, the south is more important than the north, and the east is more important than the west, how developed should China's overall economy be and how strong its comprehensive strength should be?

Therefore, the strategic significance of xiong'an new area to China at present lies in that by establishing xiong'an new area, the proportion of the north in China's macro-economic development can be further enhanced, which can greatly expand the development space of China and improve the national security level of China.

Therefore, Ba Jin believes that the establishment of xiong'an new area this time will have a great impact on the long-term regional economic imbalance in China, and play a very important role in the sustainable development of China's economy and the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.

4. Form the strategic heart of "One Belt, One Road" with Beijing as the center, and outline the world economic development center with China as the core driving force.

The picture above is a schematic diagram of the Belt and Road Initiative. This schematic diagram is very incomplete now, which is limited by past history. Today's "Belt and Road" schematic should also include:

1. The land extends from Xi 'an to the central, eastern, northern and southern parts of China, connecting the whole of China to the Silk Road Economic Belt.

2. The starting point of the "21Century Maritime Silk Road" should start from the Bohai Sea, and it can cross the South China Sea and enter the Indian Ocean to connect the Middle East, Africa and Europe. In the future, it can enter the Pacific Ocean eastward and the Arctic Ocean northward.

Once xiong'an new area is developed, it will form an iron triangle with Beijing and Tianjin, which will have a great impact on the regional economy and will bring strong impetus to the economic development of the Belt and Road Initiative.

5. Outline the blueprint for the development of Chinese urban agglomerations.

China has a large population. Although it has a vast territory and abundant natural resources, there are few places suitable for living and less arable land. In this case, if China wants to develop well, it must develop into urban agglomerations, and mutually beneficial industrial complementarities should be formed between urban agglomerations, so as to solve the problem of sustainable economic development in China.

Once xiong'an new area is built, the future is actually a new city. As can be seen from the map, once xiong'an new area is developed, xiong'an new area, Beijing and Tianjin will form an "iron triangle" of economic development. This kind of development has a strong demonstration role, which will promote all localities to follow their own urban agglomerations.

Once China develops into an urban agglomeration, the rapid realization of large-scale agricultural production and the development opportunities brought by the development of urban agglomeration will promote the great economic development of China. Therefore, the future xiong'an new area Games will have a strong demonstration effect on the reduction of urban agglomerations in China, and will have a significant and far-reaching impact on the economic development of China.

China's GDP now accounts for more than one third of the GDP growth of the world economy. If China activates China's macro-economic potential through the above reforms, it will inevitably have great attraction and great influence on the world economy. Countries that develop cooperation with China earlier will receive huge dividends.

The author thinks that China is reviving, and these major actions of China will change China and the world, and we were born in this era. At this stage, roll up your sleeves and work hard, and you will certainly achieve excellent results! ! !

Look at the world economic research, and then discuss China's economy, all kinds of life jokes. I like to study the international situation and hot events, and have in-depth research on spot crude oil (asphalt), natural gas, gold, silver, copper and other commodities, as well as foreign exchange and futures. Investment is a game with yourself. What is important is what mentality you have, face the ups and downs of the market calmly, and don't be eager for quick success! Buddha is destined to cross the river, and it is merciful to have no chance. I am a mortal with only one heart.