The provincial development and reform commission collected the information and data of the price changes of agricultural and sideline products and agricultural means of production in our province in early May, and compared it with the average price of agricultural and sideline products in the whole province in late April. The conclusion is that the prices of agricultural means of production such as grain, cash crops, livestock and poultry, vegetables, aquatic products, chemical fertilizers and pesticides have increased greatly. Among them, the prices of wheat, corn and dried potato increased by 4.67%, 1.33% and 44.44% respectively. However, the prices of soybeans, mung beans, special flour and special flour decreased, and the average price of flour decreased by about 6%.
Among cash crops and processed products, the price increases of peanuts, peanut oil and flue-cured tobacco all exceeded 20%, exceeding the average increase of sesame and peanuts 16.4%, with the highest increase in April.
The most direct price changes affecting residents are pork, mutton, rabbit meat and chicken and duck eggs, which have increased by 10%, 13.43%, 5%, 24.565, 438+0%, 20.37% and 23.6% respectively. After a slight increase in the price of eggs in mid-April, it has recently shown a rapid and sharp upward trend, and the price increase covers all parts of the province. It is preliminarily estimated that the price of eggs in the whole province will increase between 1 yuan-1.3 yuan per kilogram. Since May, pork prices have been rising all the way, with the increase of Jinan, Qingdao and other big cities exceeding 16%. The increase of meat prices in supermarkets, specialty stores, rural markets and farmers' markets throughout the province is generally between 13%-8%, which is higher than during major festivals.
The data shows that the prices of Chinese cabbage, Chinese cabbage, spinach, rape, cucumber, pumpkin, carrot, mung bean sprouts and chrysanthemum have also increased to varying degrees. Experts believe that seasonal vegetable prices are generally lower, and it is normal for anti-seasonal vegetable prices to be high. The phenomenon of seasonal vegetable prices rising this year is beyond the normal range and deserves attention.
In seafood, the prices of small yellow croaker, large yellow croaker, black herring, grass carp and silver carp increased by 4.09%, 92.6 1%, 90.54%, 3.67% and 20% respectively. The prices of carp, crucian carp, hairtail and laver increased by 1. 19%, 28.59%, 5.89% and 54.68% respectively, which is also a rare increase this year.
Recently, the price increase of agricultural means of production is also relatively high. The prices of domestic urea, ammonium bicarbonate, phosphate fertilizer and compound fertilizer increased by 5%, 6. 12%, 65% and 7.95% respectively. The prices of trichlorfon, dichlorvos and omethoate in pesticides increased by 4.55%, 10.84% and 2.38% respectively.
In view of the rising prices of agricultural and sideline products, the provincial development and reform commission conducted a follow-up survey on the market and found that the supply of grain and oil, meat and eggs, vegetables and agricultural means of production was tight in all kinds of markets in the province. Whether it is sufficient and whether the purchase and sale order is normal. So far, there has been no panic buying. In addition, the reporter learned from relevant parties that at present, 60% of the goods on the market are in a balance between supply and demand, and 40% are in oversupply, and there is basically no shortage of supply.
Why are the prices of agricultural and sideline products generally rising? Many experts interviewed by the reporter analyzed that the prices of agricultural and sideline products have risen sharply recently due to five major reasons.
First of all, the policy of benefiting farmers has led to a "recovery" increase in food prices. The general view is that the price increase of agricultural and sideline products is the normal return of China's agricultural products prices hovering at low prices for a long time. Now the rising prices of agricultural products are a positive response to the policy of benefiting farmers.
Second, the sharp increase in demand for agricultural products has pushed up prices. Due to the development and utilization of bioenergy, the demand for agricultural products such as corn has increased greatly, which has led to the rise of corn prices, which in turn has led to changes in the prices of agricultural products such as feed and caused a chain reaction.
The third is that the appreciation of the renminbi has led to an increase in the prices of agricultural products. The appreciation of RMB not only increases the export cost of agricultural and sideline products, but also attracts a large amount of foreign exchange to be converted into RMB for domestic circulation. Under the condition that the quantity of agricultural and sideline products remains unchanged, the rise of RMB means the general increase of agricultural and sideline products prices.
Fourth, the overall rising factors drive the prices of agricultural and sideline products to rise. In fact, this round of price increase is not only agricultural and sideline products, but also the rise of house prices, stocks, gas and oil prices, which has driven the general price increase of other products; The price increase of agricultural means of production will inevitably lead to the price increase of agricultural and sideline products.
Fifth, the international market is related to the rising prices of agricultural and sideline products. At this point, the futures prices of major international agricultural products have risen sharply for many months in a row, driving up the prices of domestic agricultural and sideline products.
Despite this, experts believe that there are no commodities that are in short supply and overheated consumption in the current market, and the prices of most agricultural and sideline products have risen within a reasonable range.