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The right deals are always those that are profitable from the beginning!
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Give everyone a risk-free way to make money in one day, which has been verified in actual combat.
Before looking at this method, you must first make sure that you are not a profiteer, because this method is a risk-free and meager profit transaction.
This method has been verified in actual combat: in nine months, the fund of 5 1 10,000 has become 79,000, and it is growing steadily almost every month.
The operation of investing in Beihai Jiaren Island is very similar to this idea, but what I said is simpler than her method.
Method: 1) only do it once a day, and open the position after the market is formed after the opening; 2) Entering the market when the price trend is slow, the price will go in an unfavorable direction after opening the position, and the position will be closed unconditionally, and it will not be done for the second time on the same day; 3) After the opening price moves to the favorable side, set a stop loss at the confirmed opening price, no longer pay attention to the market through the condition sheet or the automatic stop loss function of the lightning hand, and close the position before closing.
This method will not give you huge profits, and you may lose money every day for a while, but as long as you seize the market once, you will come back.
The desire and greed of human heart make this simple and effective method seldom used.
In a few days, a set of day trading rules that have been verified in actual combat will be released.
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The trading system has two core purposes, 1, to control a single loss; 2. Ensure the consistency of the transaction.
Many people think that you can make a lot of money with the trading system, which is the most deadly. The trading system will never bring you profits, and it will always be your own experience that will bring you profits.
Short-term speculative trading is the art of probability, so you must have consistent trading rules in order to get a certain profit. Random trading is a dead end, so I won't say why here.
Most people know the consistency of trading, which is mainly reflected in the consistency of opening and stopping. Few people pay attention to the consistency of closing positions, so many people don't make any money even if the winning rate is high and the stop loss is strict. This place is a question of consistency of closing position.
Many people deal with profit orders, or die for profit orders and end up losing money; Or run away once you make a profit, which is impossible to help you make a profit. Modify your rules and establish the principle of consistency in closing positions.
According to my experience, I will incorporate time and scope hedging into the liquidation rules.
-There are many irregular fluctuations and random trends in the intraday futures trading of the investment island god, so it is difficult to make an accurate judgment. According to my previous trading experience, I have summarized the following eight feasible trading routines, provided that I follow the trend and judge some feasible intervention points after getting the right direction.
The first type: after the opening in early trading, there will generally be an irregular fluctuation and then a breakthrough in one direction. If you fall back a little, you will step in. Generally, the profits will be great in a short time, which is suitable for Man Cang to intervene! The stop loss condition is that the price moves rapidly in the opposite direction.
The second formula: retreat and intervene after Fang Xiangming on the same day. The intervention points are generally retracement 1/2, 1/3, 2/3. The following situations cannot be involved. The price adjustment of 1 is too fast, indicating that the adjustment time is not enough. 2. The price retracement is too large, exceeding 2/3, indicating that the market has no resistance. 4.
The third type: the price chasing intervention after the price retracement hit a new high or a new low in the day, provided that the volume of transactions is instantly enlarged and can be followed by the trend, and the stop loss condition is that the price retraces the withdrawal point.
The fourth type: it belongs to the technique of touching the top and hunting the bottom Generally, you do less, earn some money and cut some losses! Make up your mind to get out! ! When the price rises or falls, it meets the resistance of heavy volume.
The fifth type: it is the chasing technique in the process of rising or falling. When the price hits a new high or a new low, the volume of transactions increases sharply, and there is still a lot of room for profit, often relying directly on the board! This method has the fastest profit rate, and the stop loss condition is that the price quickly retreats.
Sixth: the intervention method when the intraday market is in a relatively dull infinite consolidation. The volume is obviously small, and suddenly there will be a larger volume, and then it will decrease immediately, so that the price will move in the opposite direction of the volume trend, intervene in the short term, close the position at one end of the interval or wait for similar intervention opportunities again. This kind of market is generally unprofitable, and its maneuverability is not strong. Stop loss condition is continuous heavy volume!
Seventh: after some competition, the rising board or the falling board is closed within a day, but it is opened immediately. Rely on the board again after retreating, and the volume of transactions continues to enlarge. At this time, if the sealing board is not reliable, you can intervene in the opposite direction to maximize profits in a short time! The stop loss condition is that the price moves in the direction of the disk and is resolutely out! The best example is that at the beginning of the year, soybean oil made a profit from the daily limit to the daily limit of 1000.
Eighth formula: time-sharing diagram intervention method, although simple, is very effective. If the intraday pressure is high, the price will be sold above the average price line or suppressed by the average price line. On the other hand, if the support is strong, the price will be bought below the average price line or at the support. Generally, a good intervention point has a large transaction volume.
Day trading is quite accidental, so we should do some routines that we are sure of and develop an inherent technology! Therefore, it is not necessary to master them all. One or two tricks are enough to laugh at the market, wait for your familiar routine, follow up in time, and easily complete the transaction.
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The only difference between amateur speculators and professional speculators is that ......
Amateur speculator:
0 yuan earned 10 yuan for the first time, 10 yuan for the second time and 100 yuan for the third time. Later he gave up gambling.
Professional speculator:
The first speculation earned 1 yuan 10 yuan, the second speculation earned 2 yuan, 20 yuan voted for 3 yuan three times, and then went back to the first one to continue.
So the first difference between amateurs and majors lies in the management of funds, not technology.
The United States has lost money on subprime loans and can make up for it through diplomacy. You can rob oil when it is expensive. So no one can predict the economy.
So the second difference is not to predict unless you can get inside information. People who can't predict, can't judge by ups and downs, and always be vigilant.
Doing the first point can make you live forever, and understanding the second point can make you earn money.
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Almost all investors start their futures trading career from the short-term way of fast-forward and fast-out, but this is not a real short-term trading, which is different from the real short-term trading in form and spirit. Most investors may have experienced this similar but different trading state, and he also thinks it is short-term trading. However, real short-term trading is like making money in a game, and short-term trading with different forms and different spirits is like spending money in a game, which is completely different.
Successful short-term trading is like making money in the game, but it is not easy to make money in the game! Short-term trading mainly depends on investors' sense of disk, rather than rational analysis of a large number of fundamental information. The fluctuation of price in a day mainly comes from the emotions and psychology of traders and the role of funds, especially in the volatile market, which is also an ideal market for short-term traders. And a good sense of disk can not be formed overnight, it needs to pay a huge or even painful price! Short-term trading is easy to imitate, but not easy to succeed! Because short-term trading needs investors' hearts to match the fluctuation rhythm of the market, at least in most cases. Short-term trading has very high requirements for investors, and there is no room for hesitation in entering and leaving the market. Winning or losing often depends on one thing. The sensitivity of quick stop loss and profit liquidation will exceed the imagination of ordinary investors. Short-term trading seems easy to achieve, but it is actually difficult. You can even trade with short-term traders, and it's really him who makes you lose money in the end. Normal people use their brains to decide their actions, while short-term traders use their hearts to decide their actions, which can even be said to be the first or instinctive reaction to trading. Short-term trading does not need universally recognized reasons. It is a physical and mental behavior, an art and a realm. You can sum it up, but it is difficult to reach its height. The mode of short-term trading is only suitable for oneself, and it is difficult to organize it into teaching materials. Successful short-term trading is a happy trading, a trading that makes money in the game, and a short-term trading that imitates people is a trading that tortures people and spends money on playing games.
Successful short-term trading needs long-term trading experience accumulation, not reading books to learn, learning is not knowledge but ability and comprehensive quality. Successful short-term traders are like top artists, easy to imitate but difficult to reach their level. But the fun of playing games will lead most people to choose short-term trading with similar appearance but different spirit. They are spending money on playing games until they run out of money.
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There is a saying that fund management is the core of futures trading. They tell you that learning capital strategy can reduce risks and expand profits, but others don't agree with this view. They believe that Kaiping's pursuit of perfection is the key to profitability, and capital management is only a measure taken when capital is too large.
In fact, neither the former nor the latter actually understand the key points of fund management. As far as the transaction itself is concerned, the fund management strategy will neither help you reduce the risk nor improve your profitability.
If you are interested, or conditions permit, I suggest you read some books about casino capital strategy, which can systematically introduce what I will say next, but it seems that all gambling books in Chinese mainland (regardless of their value) are banned.
The original intention of fund management is not to open positions by stages, increase income and reduce risks. In fact, from the perspective of a single profit probability, such a strategy is ineffective. If you have used such means in actual combat, you will feel deeply, so I won't talk nonsense.
Let's talk about our topic through an example. Let's look at a simple profit-loss ratio problem. If you lose 50%, 10000 becomes 5000 yuan, but on the basis of 5000 yuan, you have to make a profit of 100% to become 10000 yuan. Conversely, 10000 capital gain 100% becomes 20000, and 20000 capital only needs to lose 50% to return to the starting point.
What did you find? Based on the fact that the profit-loss ratio of your opening funds is completely unequal, this is the essential probability drive of the final death of most retail investors. No matter how well you do it, you are susceptible to overwhelming probability.
On the surface, the reasonable explanation is that you can use 1 0,000 yuan to make second-hand candy, while you can only make 1 hand candy with 5,000 yuan. But in fact, it is much more complicated to explain clearly. I won't elaborate on this. Interested friends can read related books systematically. Next, talk about the capital strategy to solve this problem.
Here are some quantitative data. Note that the following quantification has no specific substantive significance, just to illustrate the problem.
The total amount of funds (A for short) we say here refers to the limit of funds you are willing to pay for the transaction, including the rights and interests in your current futures account and the funds you may need to invest in the future. Before entering this market, you must clearly know the total amount of money you have prepared for this adventure. There is no point in talking about it without a clear plan.
We will refer to a large number of historical market trends when formulating trading rules. If you are an excellent trader, you should probably know the general situation of an extremely unfavorable factor found in your trading rules. For example, there will be a continuous stop loss in the trading rules in a certain period of time, and the accumulation of stop loss during this period will have a destructive impact on the equity of funds, leading to a low position operation in the next opportunity.
Remember that the capital damage value (B for short) in this case is just a rough figure, and then multiply it by 3. As for why it is 3, I have seen this number in a book introducing gambling betting strategies. I have used this number for several years.
The last amount, a-3b=c, and C is the amount of funds you are using now.
In other words, after any unfavorable situation based on your trading rules occurs, the amount of funds you execute has not changed. To put it figuratively, if you make 10 hand candy now, then your capital must ensure that no matter what happens, you can still make 10 hand candy in a reasonable period of time, otherwise you may be a victim of probability.
In fact, this is to resolve the asymmetry of the increase and decrease of the profit-loss ratio into absolute numerical equivalence. As long as you have the same number of hands in a planning period, the break-even point can be relatively equivalent.
In the face of overwhelming probability, we are very small, and expecting a miracle is the most immature performance. In order not to be a funerary object in probability, you must have a reasonable fund layout. As for those who are going to play with 1 from beginning to end, I suggest you buy lottery tickets. In fact, the probability of 1 buying 5 million lottery tickets in hand is much greater than the probability of earning 5 million through futures.
This is what I call fund management.
If you don't understand what I'm saying, maybe you don't understand it yet, or maybe I'm talking nonsense.
-The technical analysis in the Great God Futures said a lot. The classics are all in the book. It depends on how you use them. This has to be accumulated according to your own experience. Whether it is K-line, moving average or indicator, it has been verified for hundreds of years. Don't doubt it now. You need to sum up the lessons of your failure seriously.
It can be said that the methods that can be discussed in the forum are immature, and no one teaches you how to do it in the forum with their own successful methods (experience is money in the futures market, and doing so is equivalent to giving your own money to everyone). I hope that friends who love to discuss will understand this road, because futures people are all from newcomers to old futures.
Only the feet know whether the shoes fit or not.
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Everyone knows that profit comes from the advantages of winning percentage and odds, but the relationship between them is contradictory in many cases (I think most people understand), and most traders are sacrificed in this contradiction. Some simple trading strategies can completely eliminate this contradiction.
First, simply pursue the winning rate.
Transaction content: Stop loss and take profit have the same range, and the odds are 1. The winning rate is completely simplified, and the range is determined according to different varieties.
Key to trading: the selection of varieties is very important, and the trend is mainly defined in the link with long trading cycle.
Second, simply pursue odds.
Transaction content: here, the winning rate will no longer be the content of the transaction, reasonable stop loss+fixed-period dead profit list; Reduce the number of stops by regularly controlling the number of transactions.
For example, take a trading day as the trading cycle: generally, for example, trading twice a day, with a fixed stop loss. If the position is in line with the market, the profit statement will be kept until the close.
Key to trading: look for varieties that are more active and easy to make a big market. If you trade twice a day, the odds must exceed 4 to have trading value.
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