Low oil prices are not conducive to environmental protection. More and more cars increase carbon dioxide emissions, which leads to global warming. For human beings to have green mountains and green waters for generations and enjoy the fresh northwest wind. The people are happy that the oil price is raised a little.
Modern people lack physical exercise, the problem of three highs, physical decline, and the myopia rate of young and middle-aged people is extremely increasing. All kinds of physical hazards not only hurt the masses, but also waste medical resources. Oil prices go up and car prices go down. Residents can travel by bike or walk quietly on the road 1 1. You can keep fit and enjoy the natural beauty. Why not? You don't have to worry about living to be 99.
People suffer from traffic congestion, which destroys their mood and produces a lot of road rage, which greatly affects social order. There are also traffic hazards, and how many family tragedies are caused by accidents caused by car accidents every year. The increase in oil prices is still too small, there will be fewer cars on the road, and traffic jams will not be blocked.
Low oil prices are not conducive to economic development and make people lazy. Oil prices are at a high point, such as more than ten yuan per liter. Local people will be more motivated, office workers will be more dedicated, farmers will love the land more, and entrepreneurs will have more entrepreneurial enthusiasm. What a beautiful scene, a prosperous blueprint is in front of you, and you deserve a well-off life.
High oil prices are conducive to social stability. In a big family, you, me and him are all devoted to their careers and have less leisure activities. People don't have dinner, don't go to bars, and fight less. Time is busy charging, no time for extramarital affairs, and marriage is happier. People's happiness index is higher.
Generally speaking, there is no harm in raising oil prices. In order to meet the voice of residents, oil prices may be raised at a high price at the end of the month!
When boiling water, everyone knows that when the water is about to boil, the chef will turn down the fire, otherwise, some water will evaporate. Of course, it will not be adjusted too low, and people who eat late are not allowed! Whether it is rising or falling, as long as the water enters the pot, the rest will not be affected by it.
Import the fourth barrel, the fifth barrel or even the hundredth barrel of oil as soon as possible to see if the price will be reduced. Just like we have a private gas station here, the price of gasoline is reduced by 1.3 yuan/liter, and as a result, Sinopec also reduced the price by 1.3 yuan/liter. If there is no private gas station to cut prices, Sinopec will cut prices unless its skull is crushed.
The rise and fall of oil prices are influenced by many factors. For example, the relationship between supply and demand, the trend of the dollar, international oil prices and so on. 202 1 The sixth oil price adjustment will be made at the end of March, two weeks ahead of the adjustment time. According to the adjustment statistics of 19 in March, the change rate of crude oil reached 2.2 1%, and the international oil price dropped by 7%. It is expected that the oil price will drop by 105 yuan/ton (exceeding the downward adjustment of oil price), but this is only the beginning. There are still many factors that affect how the oil price changes and whether it will be lowered.
You and I can't decide whether to go up or down
In recent days, international oil prices have started to fall again. Among them, on March 18, the international crude oil futures price plummeted by about 7%, achieving the fifth consecutive trading day decline. At the close of the day, the price of light crude oil futures for April delivery in the New York Mercantile Exchange fell by 4.6 USD/barrel to close at 60 USD/barrel, a decrease of 7.12%; London Brent crude oil futures for May delivery fell by 4.72 USD/barrel to close at 63.28 USD/barrel, a decrease of 6.94%.
First of all, we must know that the domestic pricing mechanism is not fully in line with the world. When the international oil price changes, in order to stabilize the domestic refined oil price, the government has played a macro-control function and set the adjustment range of refined oil price. The upper limit of regulation is $0/30 per barrel, and the lower limit is $40 per barrel, that is, when the oil price in the international market is higher than $0/30 per barrel, the highest retail price of gasoline and diesel oil will not be mentioned or raised less; When it is less than $40, the maximum retail price of gasoline and diesel will not decrease; When it runs between 40~ 130 USD per barrel, the domestic refined oil price mechanism will be adjusted normally, and it will go up when it goes up, and it will go down when it goes down. Undoubtedly, the benefits of this will reduce the impact of international turmoil on China's oil prices, and enable China to effectively avoid the "inflation" crisis caused by high oil prices. But this will also cause China to maintain a "floor price" no matter how the international oil price falls.
It can be seen that if the international oil price continues to decline, the domestic oil price may not change much at the end of the month, and the possibility of downward adjustment is still relatively small. (personal opinion)
On March 20th, international crude oil prices both closed up on Friday, with an increase of more than 2%, after a sharp drop of more than 7%. The rebound after a sharp drop will certainly weaken another round of statistical decline in the domestic oil price cycle. The domestic market is closed on weekends, and there is still a long time to go before the price adjustment date. At the same time, the domestic oil price is slow to follow up, and the change will still be relatively large. If the downward trend can be maintained, oil prices are expected to fall for the first time at 202 1.
New oil price adjustment time: March 3 1 day at 24: 00, because the domestic market is closed for the weekend, the latest statistics still predict that the cumulative downward adjustment range of oil price is 105 yuan/ton, which is converted into 0.08-0.09 yuan/liter. Now it depends on whether the decline can continue to increase between the beginning and the adjustment.
International oil prices both closed up, while American oil rose more than 2%, and fell for five consecutive trading days before the end of the session. At the close, new york crude oil futures in April closed up 1.42 USD, or 2.37%, to 6 1.42 USD/barrel; In May, Brent crude oil futures closed up 1.25 USD, or 1.98%, at 64.53 USD/barrel.
Affected by the rising international oil price, the oil price of 202 1 has been adjusted five times, but all of them are on the rise, and even the stranded adjustment has never happened, let alone the oil price has fallen. Now enter a new round of oil price adjustment. Can the first oil price drop of 202 1 be realized as long as there is no international oil price surge in the future 1 1 day?
Drivers all over the country are looking forward to a big drop in oil prices, but they always feel that there is no future. Years later, the rising oil prices again and again made us lose confidence. The time is confirmed this time, but I'm not sure whether it will go up or down. The downward adjustment of foreign oil prices to the domestic market may not necessarily follow. Therefore, it is normal not to expect too much. It's time to drive for gas. Don't feel bad if you really go up, and don't be happy if you fall. Look at this matter correctly, mainly because we can't control it [cover our faces]
At 24: 00 on March 3, 20265438, the domestic refined oil price adjustment window will be opened again. By the first two domestic working days of the current refined oil price adjustment cycle, the change rate of crude oil is -2. 1 1%. According to this estimate, the oil price is expected to be lowered after the "nine consecutive rises", which is good news for car owners.
As the world epidemic has not completely changed, it still takes a long time for the world economy to recover, which has suppressed the global oil demand expectation and the international oil price has entered an adjustment trend. Therefore, the downward adjustment of domestic refined oil prices on March 3/KLOC-0 is a high probability event.
It is more difficult. Now there are more and more cars, the threshold for buying is getting lower and lower, and now the districts and counties are becoming more and more unrestricted. The demand for oil is greater than in winter, so it is more difficult to fall. But for ordinary people, it is definitely necessary.