Everyone is a stock trader, and everyone knows that if you want to make a profit in the stock market, you must analyze the stock in advance. Through the analysis of the stock, I want to judge the next trend, so as to grasp the current situation and finally make a profit. There are two kinds of stock analysis: one is fundamental analysis and the other is technical analysis. Fundamental analysis is not only to judge the trend of the stock through the so-called news such as the policies promulgated by the state, the performance of the company, and the demand degree of the products produced by the enterprise in the market. Analysis from cause to effect. Seriously, this analysis is of little use. When you heard the news, the stock either didn't go up much or went up completely. This is caused by the current situation of China stock market: the imperfection of the state system and the imperfection of the stock market. Based on the current situation of China stock market, this analysis is obviously inappropriate. Stock prices often do not follow the news changes, or start ahead of time before the news appears. Just give a few examples. The reduction of state-owned shares was suspended. Shall we announce the good news? How much did the market rise? The reduction of state-owned shares has stopped. Shall we announce the good news? How much did the market rise? 5. 19 market, any good news? How much did the market rise? This is the market, and then look at individual stocks. Does everyone know about the Oriental Boiler? It used to be called ST East Pot. In March, 2004, with the approval of Shanghai Stock Exchange, the company was restored from "ST East Pot" to "Oriental Boiler" because of its excellent performance. Why not make good news? The stock should have soared, right? How much did it go up? Not much. But you see, before you took off your hat, it began to rise from June 2002 to February 2003, and it formed an upward trend, rising all the way. How much did it go up in March 2004? Therefore, fundamental analysis is unreliable and can only be used as a reference, not as a decisive factor.
Below I mainly tell you about technical analysis. Different from basic analysis, technical analysis is a method to judge the results by the results, and the next trend of stocks is judged by the research and analysis of charts and K-charts. For example, stocks have formed an upward trend, which is the result. We can infer the next rise of the stock price through the result that the stock has formed an upward trend. This is the result from the result, and this is the technical analysis. How to conduct technical analysis? This requires learning three axioms of technical analysis first.
The first axiom of the three axioms of technical analysis: the stock price is inclusive and digests everything.
What determines the price of a product? Determined by value? Yes, that's what our middle school political economy says, but it is generally believed in western countries that prices are determined by the relationship between supply and demand, and this is also the case in reality. For example:
How much is a bottle of disinfectant? How much was a bottle during SARS in 2003? When the relationship between supply and demand changes, so does the price. So is the stock price. Buy > sell = stock price rises, buy and sell, and stock price falls = buy.
1. The stock price can directly reflect the reasons that affect the price fluctuation.
A stock has gone up. Why did it go up? I bought more than I sold. Why do you buy more than you sell? I don't know
I know the stock price has gone up. The stock price has gone up, which may be good news. But what is good, I don't know and I don't need to know. This is the second point of the first axiom:
2. The stock price can know the quality of things in advance.
The second axiom of the three axioms of technical analysis: the stock price runs in a trend way.
What is the trend? The so-called trend is a continuous and directional fluctuation. How to judge the trend? In the K-line chart, when the relative high point and relative low point of a stock rise in turn, it is an upward trend. When the stock is relatively high.
The decrease of relative low point is in turn a downward trend. Nothing else can be called an upward trend or a downward trend. When the stock is in an upward trend, the stock price tends to keep rising, while when the stock is in a downward trend, the stock price tends to keep falling.
The third axiom of technical analysis: history will repeat itself, but it is not a simple repetition.
This is easy to understand. The stock has pulled back from the previous high point, and it may pull back next time, but the time, intensity and size of the pull-back are definitely different. The stock rebounded from the previous low and may rebound next time, but the time, strength and size of the rebound
It must be different.
These are the three axioms of technical analysis.
One: the stock price is inclusive and digests everything.
1. The stock price can directly reflect the reasons that affect the price fluctuation.
2. The stock price can know the quality of things in advance.
Second, the stock price runs in a trend way.
Three: history will repeat itself, but it is not a simple repetition.