I thought the sixth round of adjustment could be reversed. Who would have thought that the price of refined oil began to rise again?
Of course, it is the majority of fuel owners who are saddened by this. Once used to "95 full", it has now become a rhetoric. Many cyclists say that if oil prices continue to rise, they may choose to travel on foot or by bike.
As of March 24th, it is the fifth working day of the new round of oil price adjustment.
Compared with the expected increase per ton 1 15 yuan, the oil price is still in a bright and stranded state.
So far, domestic oil prices have been adjusted five times, big and small, and each adjustment is a substantial increase. The five-fold increase has exceeded 1.60 yuan.
Many car owners think that the sixth round of price adjustment. It may be the first decline in the year, but what I didn't expect was that the price of refined oil actually started to rise again.
Relevant institutions said that at 24: 00 on March 3, 2022, the domestic refined oil price adjustment window will be opened again.
If the international oil price is maintained at around 100 USD, the domestic refined oil price may be lowered. However, the current situation has not developed as people feared. International oil prices soared again, and Brent crude oil futures prices rebounded rapidly, reaching about 120 USD.
Domestic car owners have complained that the expected sharp downward adjustment has become a bubble, which may usher in a deeper price increase.
The price and ranking of No.92 gasoline in 3 1 region in China are shocking and helpless:
The first place is Hainan, 9.76 yuan per liter; Tibet ranks second, 9.5 1 yuan per liter; Third place, Yunnan. 8.79 yuan per liter; Guizhou fourth, 8.78 yuan per liter; Sichuan ranked fifth, with 8.74 yuan per liter.
After that, the city oil price is not listed, but from the top five oil prices, it can be seen that the national oil price has risen to a certain extent, and it is still unknown whether it is accepted by car owners. It can also be seen that two cities have entered the "9 yuan era".
Barclays Bank predicts that the average price of oil in 2022 will be about $77, higher than the average price of $73 per barrel last year. This round of oil price rise may be the latest start. If this trend continues, it is likely to break through the highest point in 2008, but after the economic downturn, it may return to between 80~ 100 dollars again.
Domestic oil prices will be greatly affected by international crude oil prices, so what are the factors that affect international oil prices? The most prominent factors are mainly the following aspects.
The first is the investment trend of oil from all sides. Investment in oil from different aspects tends to decline, which is likely to bring about an imbalance between oil supply and demand. As we all know, the rise of any commodity price is caused by the imbalance between supply and demand. When the supply is less than the demand, the price will naturally be raised, and oil is no exception.
In the international market, in order to cope with climate change and avoid the investment risks of investment products such as fossil energy, the support of banks and pipeline bond markets for fossil energy has decreased accordingly, and the decline in support from relevant institutions will also directly affect the market's investment in oil and the supply of oil production capacity.
Second, there is a strong demand for oil. The demand for oil in various parts of the world will definitely lead to a high range of oil prices. For example, the behavior of oil-producing countries such as the United States, Saudi Arabia and Russia will have a great impact on oil supply and price.
The epidemic in 2020 had a great impact on oil production, and 202 1 improved and stabilized, but at the same time, the economic impact brought by the epidemic did not completely disappear, and it took some time for the local economy to recover its demand for oil.
Third, the impact of clean energy. As we all know, clean energy is in a good development trend in various regions in recent years, which can not be underestimated for the replacement of many high-pollution traditional energy sources, but the long-term price of clean energy for various fossil energy sources, including oil, is gradual.
Fourth, because the cost of clean energy is lower than that of traditional fossil energy, the market share is gradually increasing. If these renewable energy sources can account for 10%~ 15% of the total energy consumption, the price of fossil energy will be well suppressed, but it will definitely take a long process.
Domestic oil prices rose for six consecutive years, and the two cities entered the "9 yuan era". Are new energy vehicles more fragrant?
With the gradual promotion of new energy, taxis in many first-tier cities have been replaced with new energy, and "green licenses" can be seen everywhere in many second-and third-tier cities. Nowadays, many young people are quite optimistic about the appearance of new energy vehicles, speed up power, reduce consumption and save money, and abandon fuel vehicles and choose new energy vehicles.
But at the same time, many old drivers and friends pay more attention to the lasting power of fuel vehicles and the auxiliary configuration of gearboxes.
So how to choose between fuel vehicles and new energy vehicles?
At present, the new energy vehicles on the market mainly include pure electric vehicles, hybrid electric vehicles and fuel electric vehicles. In fact, when choosing new energy vehicles and fuel vehicles, it is impossible to distinguish the advantages and disadvantages in the first few years of buying a car. Many models will not appear until 5 to 8 years after buying a car.
From the cost point of view, the fuel price of a fuel truck plus 92 is seven yuan per liter, and the fuel consumption per 100 kilometers 10L is equivalent to fifty cents. If it is 100km, the cost will be 70 yuan.
On the other hand, taking Roewe as an example, the power consumption of 100km is about 16.5L, and it can run for about 300km on a single charge. 1km is a dime when converted into RMB, which is about 30 yuan when charging. This consumption only reaches 1/3 of the fuel consumption of fuel vehicles. If it is one year 1 10,000 kilometers, then new energy vehicles will save about 4,000 yuan compared with ordinary fuel vehicles.
Not to mention the maintenance cost. According to the calculation of 5000km of primary maintenance for fuel vehicles, the primary maintenance fee for vehicles with 65438+ 10,000 ~ 300,000 yuan ranges from 500~ 1000 yuan, which is about 1500 yuan every year.
The maintenance cycle of new energy vehicles is about 65,438+000 km. At present, the national policy requires new energy vehicles to be guaranteed for eight years or 65,438+500 km, and the maintenance cost in this respect is about 500 yuan.
In this way, if there is no special requirement for fuel vehicles, it is a more economical decision to choose new energy vehicles.
The soaring oil price is the general trend, and I'm afraid it won't change these days. Many car owners in big cities abandon their cars and walk, or take public transportation such as buses and subways. After all, the slogan of "95 full" is not affordable for everyone.
It is inevitable that the surge in international oil prices will drive up domestic oil prices. With the promotion of new energy vehicles, many car owners will also choose new energy. As for what kind of transportation mode to choose, you need to comprehensively consider your own economic strength and hobbies. Will you choose a new energy vehicle or a fuel vehicle? Welcome to discuss in the comments section.