In August, broilers finally reached the 4 yuan mark. Unexpectedly, September came, and the market for meat-and-wool chickens declined rapidly. At present, the mainstream price has basically dropped to 3.9 yuan/Jin. This made many people wonder that colleges and universities started in September. It stands to reason that the consumption demand for group meals of broilers has increased, but why is the market depressed?
In fact, in the final analysis, the production capacity is still high. By the end of July, the output of broilers was 47 1 100 million, and the output was 103.62 tons, an increase of 1.57% from the previous month and an increase of 22.45% year-on-year. It can be seen that the supply is on the high side. Although the school started, because many places staggered the school, the consumption of group meals was not as much as expected, and the market was weak, making it difficult for the broiler market to support the rise.
With the decrease of temperature, the survival rate of broiler culture increased by 1-2%. It is estimated that the slaughter amount of broilers will increase by 3-5% in mid-September, which is bound to reduce the acquisition difficulty of slaughtering enterprises again, which is not conducive to the price increase in the later period.
Judging from today's price, Shandong broiler market is 3.87-3.95 yuan/kg, such as Heze 3.95 yuan/kg and Linyi 3.87 yuan/kg; Henan 3.87-3.97 yuan/kg, such as Jiaozuo chicken price 3.97 yuan/kg, Xinxiang 3.87 yuan/kg; Hebei 3.85-3.95 yuan/kg, such as Tangshan 3.85 yuan/kg, Baoding 3.95 yuan/kg; Jiangsu 3.90-3.92 yuan/kg.
Of course, the market for hairy chickens does not rise, which is actually related to the return of pork prices to normal prices. At present, the pork market is generally around 10- 15 yuan. Many people have also accelerated their purchasing power and reduced their consumption demand for broilers, so the price has dropped.
02. The price of sheep is very high
The recent live sheep market can be described as rising against the wind. Since late August, with the temperature drop in the north, people's consumption demand for mutton has increased, driving the price of sheep to rise. Especially in June-August, due to the slow increase in sheep prices, many people speed up the sale of sheep, and some people are afraid to make up the column, which makes the supply of fattened sheep in the later period low, and its price also rises.
Judging from today's sheep price, Qiqihar 30 kg male lamb 800 yuan, old ewe 12 yuan/kg; 800 yuan, a 30 kg male lamb, and 600 yuan, a female lamb; Tongyu 26 kg mutton 750 yuan, the market has increased; Huaibei fattening Hu sheep 130 kg, purchase price 17.5 yuan/kg, old ewe 14.5 yuan/kg. Generally speaking, the price has risen obviously. Shandong Zhaoyuan 140 kg sheep 15.5 yuan/kg.
On the whole, the prices of both live sheep and lambs have experienced a wave of skyrocketing. Live sheep have rebounded from the previous 12- 13 yuan to 15- 16 yuan/kg, which can be described as positive, but it is actually a "retaliatory rebound" that supports the price increase of sheep. In the early stage, the price of sheep fell excessively, and sheep farmers fell into losses.
03, freshwater fish accelerated decline.
The freshwater fish market has been depressed recently. In fact, the market began to decline in July, and the markets of carp, stickleback, mandarin fish and crucian carp all ushered in a downturn. By the end of August, fish farmers were afraid that the number of new fish would increase and the price of fish would fall again, so that the supply of new fish in the market was too high, and fish dealers took the opportunity to lower the price.
Taking grass carp as an example, the grass carp in the Pearl River Delta has fallen below the 6 yuan mark, and the mainstream price is 5.7-6.3 yuan/kg; However, the listing volume of Changde and Jingzhou production areas is also on the high side, and the price of Tangkou has also dropped to 7-8 yuan, which is bearish about 2 yuan compared with the previous 9 yuan mark.
Except grass carp, the market of other fish is not very good. For example, the price of carp pond mouth dropped to 5.5 yuan/kg, which was basically the same as in previous years. For example, Huaibei 1.8-3 kg carp, 5.2 yuan/kg. Crucian carp is no exception, for example, Tangkou in Chongqing 10 yuan/kg, Tangkou in Yueyang/7.5 yuan/kg, Meishan 9- 1 1 yuan, and Xiangyun crucian carp in Changde dropped to 6.5-8 yuan/kg.
The freshwater fish market has fallen. In the final analysis, there are so many new fish in the market that there is price stampede, and fish farmers need to rationally control the price of freshwater fish.
However, in the market, the market for freshwater fish is still on the high side. Take my hometown as an example: crucian carp 18 yuan/kg, silver carp 9 yuan/kg, bream 1 1 yuan/kg, grass carp 12 yuan/kg and stickleback fish 2 1 yuan. However, with a large number of freshwater fish on the market in autumn, I believe its market price will also be affected and will decline.
04. The price of eggs rose steadily.
With the arrival of the traditional peak season in September, the price of eggs ushered in a wave of rebound, especially the arrival of the school season, which also increased the consumption demand of eggs. Recently, the demand for goods from middlemen has been positive, which has also stimulated the rebound of egg prices.
From the market point of view, the average price of producing area is 4.73 yuan/kg, and the average price of selling area is 4.98 yuan/kg. For example, Guangzhou rebounded by 0. 1-0. 15 yuan, and the egg price was 4.98-5. 1 yuan/kg; Hebei rebounded by 0.04-0. 1 yuan, and the price was 4.75-4.82 yuan/kg; Shandong rebounded by 0.05-0. 1 1 yuan, and the egg price was 4.7 1-4.8 yuan, but Qingdao sold 5. 15 yuan; Jiangsu and Anhui rebounded by 0.05-0.07 yuan, and the price of eggs was 4.65-4.77 yuan/kg.
The rebound of the egg market is, in the final analysis, the stimulus of recent consumer demand. Eggs themselves are essential ingredients for students every day. In addition, the number of laying hens was low this year, reaching165438+73 million at the end of July, which led to a rebound in egg prices.
However, with the decrease of temperature, the production performance of laying hens has improved. It is expected that the price of eggs will stabilize from mid-September, and will drop slightly after the Mid-Autumn Festival, or fall to around 4.0 yuan after the National Day.